From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20–7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(9:37) 4-J.Elliott 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston.
3–0
Q2
9:42
CHI
(9:42) 1-C.Parkey 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
3–3
Q2
0:03
CHI
(:03) 1-C.Parkey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
3–6
Q3
5:26
PHI
(5:26) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9–6
Q3
5:20
PHI
4-J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston.
10–6
Q4
14:17
CHI
(14:17) 1-C.Parkey 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
10–9
Q4
9:09
CHI
(9:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PHI-29-A.Maddox, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
10–15
Q4
1:01
PHI
(1:01) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 19-G.Tate for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-L.Floyd].
16–15
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. CHI closed at 0%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q4
0:10
CHI
(:10) (Field Goal formation) 1-C.Parkey 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-T.Hester), Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
57% → 16%
-41%
-2.39
Q4
1:01
PHI
(1:01) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 19-G.Tate for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-L.Floyd].
38% → 60%
+22%
+3.98
Q4
0:44
CHI
(:44) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 33 for 25 yards (29-A.Maddox) [56-C.Long].
45% → 63%
+19%
+1.65
Q3
0:58
CHI
(:58) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 21 for 45 yards (37-T.Sullivan).
38% → 55%
+16%
+2.86
Q2
5:27
PHI
(5:27) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 13-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 38-A.Amos [96-A.Hicks] at CHI -3. Touchback.
56% → 41%
-15%
-4.34
Q2
14:25
PHI
(14:25) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle intended for 28-W.Smallwood INTERCEPTED by 58-R.Smith at CHI 35. 58-R.Smith to CHI 35 for no gain (28-W.Smallwood).
62% → 48%
-14%
-4.91
Q4
1:55
PHI
(1:55) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 17-A.Jeffery to CHI 2 for 11 yards (38-A.Amos).
38% → 52%
+14%
+2.51
Q4
9:09
CHI
(9:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PHI-29-A.Maddox, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
68% → 79%
+12%
+2.48
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 43%
15:00 PHI 1-C.Parkey kicks 65 yards from CHI 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 43%
15:00 PHI 1 & 10 (15:00) (Shotgun) 28-W.Smallwood right guard to PHI 27 for 2 yards (58-R.Smith). EPA -0.5WP 43%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
14:23 PHI 2 & 8 (14:23) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 28-W.Smallwood to PHI 49 for 22 yards (23-K.Fuller). EPA +2.1WP 42%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_1
13:43 PHI 1 & 10 (13:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz to CHI 34 for 17 yards (23-K.Fuller). EPA +1.1WP 48%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRPOSTCOVER_3
13:12 PHI 1 & 10 (13:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete short right to 13-N.Agholor. EPA -0.5WP 53%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_1
13:08 PHI 2 & 10 (13:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 33-J.Adams right guard to CHI 32 for 2 yards (52-K.Mack). EPA -0.4WP 51%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12:24 PHI 3 & 8 (12:24) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 17-A.Jeffery to CHI 20 for 12 yards (23-K.Fuller). EPA +1.9WP 48%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRINCOVER_1
11:46 PHI 1 & 10 (11:46) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles left guard to CHI 23 for -3 yards (52-K.Mack). EPA -1.0WP 56%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
11:01 PHI 2 & 13 (11:01) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz to CHI 17 for 6 yards (58-R.Smith). EPA +0.1WP 53%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANT2_MAN
10:17 PHI 3 & 7 (10:17) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles sacked at CHI 25 for -8 yards (94-L.Floyd). EPA -1.5WP 52%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:37 PHI 4 & 15 (9:37) 4-J.Elliott 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston. EPA +0.9WP 46%
9:32 CHI 4-J.Elliott kicks 60 yards from PHI 35 to CHI 5. 15-J.Bellamy to CHI 21 for 16 yards (36-De.Hall; 54-K.Grugier-Hill). EPA -0.5WP 51%
9:24 CHI 1 & 10 (9:24) 24-J.Howard right guard to CHI 27 for 6 yards (53-N.Bradham). EPA +0.4WP 50%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
8:49 CHI 2 & 4 (8:49) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 18-T.Gabriel to CHI 32 for 5 yards (32-R.Douglas). EPA +0.6WP 50%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
8:09 CHI 1 & 10 (8:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 84-B.Braunecker to CHI 38 for 6 yards (24-C.Graham). EPA +0.2WP 53%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSCREENCOVER_3
7:32 CHI 2 & 4 (7:32) (Shotgun) 33-T.Mizzell right tackle to CHI 37 for -1 yards (77-M.Bennett). EPA -1.1WP 53%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
6:54 CHI 3 & 5 (6:54) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 12-A.Robinson II to CHI 45 for 8 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +1.7WP 50%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_3
6:13 CHI 1 & 10 (6:13) 79-B.Sowell reported in as eligible. 24-J.Howard right tackle to CHI 45 for no gain (53-N.Bradham). EPA -0.5WP 55%SINGLEBACK 6 OL, 1 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
5:32 CHI 2 & 10 (5:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep left to 29-T.Cohen. EPA -0.9WP 53%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRpressureGOCOVER_3
5:26 CHI 3 & 10 (5:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short right to 24-J.Howard (29-A.Maddox). EPA -1.6WP 50%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRpressureFLATCOVER_6
5:19 CHI 4 & 10 (5:19) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 55 yards to end zone, Center-48-P.Scales, Touchback. PENALTY on PHI-50-L.Reynolds, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at CHI 45 - No Play. EPA +0.5WP 48%
5:10 CHI 4 & 5 (5:10) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 49 yards to PHI 1, Center-48-P.Scales, out of bounds. EPA +0.6WP 48%
5:01 PHI 1 & 10 (5:01) (Shotgun) 28-W.Smallwood left tackle to PHI 5 for 4 yards (26-D.Bush). EPA +0.1WP 52%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
3:29 CHI 1 & 10 (3:29) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short middle to 33-T.Mizzell (53-N.Bradham). EPA -0.5WP 57%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRANGLECOVER_3
3:25 CHI 2 & 10 (3:25) 24-J.Howard left guard to PHI 42 for 6 yards (53-N.Bradham). EPA -0.1WP 55%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
2:46 CHI 3 & 4 (2:46) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short middle to 18-T.Gabriel (53-N.Bradham). EPA -1.8WP 56%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_1
2:41 CHI 4 & 4 (2:41) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 35 yards to PHI 7, Center-48-P.Scales, downed by CHI-33-T.Mizzell. EPA -0.3WP 52%
2:28 PHI 1 & 10 (2:28) 43-D.Sproles right tackle to PHI 8 for 1 yard (59-D.Trevathan). EPA -0.5WP 52%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:46 PHI 2 & 9 (1:46) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete short left to 17-A.Jeffery. EPA -0.7WP 50%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_2
1:39 PHI 3 & 9 (1:39) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles left guard to PHI 18 for 10 yards (26-D.Bush). EPA +1.9WP 47%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:01 PHI 1 & 10 (1:01) 28-W.Smallwood right end to PHI 17 for -1 yards (96-A.Hicks). EPA -0.8WP 54%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
0:19 PHI 2 & 11 (:19) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 17-A.Jeffery pushed ob at PHI 30 for 13 yards (23-K.Fuller). EPA +1.6WP 52%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
0:00 PHI END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 55%
Quarter 2
15:00 PHI 1 & 10 (15:00) 9-N.Foles pass deep right to 17-A.Jeffery ran ob at CHI 40 for 30 yards. EPA +2.0WP 55%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_3
14:25 PHI 1 & 10 (14:25) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle intended for 28-W.Smallwood INTERCEPTED by 58-R.Smith at CHI 35. 58-R.Smith to CHI 35 for no gain (28-W.Smallwood). EPA -4.9WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRANGLECOVER_6
14:21 CHI 1 & 10 (14:21) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky left tackle to CHI 34 for -1 yards (53-N.Bradham). EPA -0.7WP 52%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
13:43 CHI 2 & 11 (13:43) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 87-A.Shaheen to CHI 40 for 6 yards (27-M.Jenkins). EPA -0.0WP 49%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_3
12:58 CHI 3 & 5 (12:58) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 17-A.Miller to CHI 42 for 2 yards (34-C.LeBlanc). PENALTY on PHI-77-M.Bennett, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at CHI 42. EPA +2.0WP 49%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
12:26 CHI 1 & 10 (12:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 29-T.Cohen to PHI 24 for 19 yards (32-R.Douglas). EPA +1.3WP 58%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRWHEELCOVER_3
11:47 Timeout #1 by CHI at 11:47. EPA +0.0WP 62%
11:47 CHI 1 & 10 (11:47) (Shotgun) 29-T.Cohen left end to PHI 24 for no gain (32-R.Douglas). EPA -0.4WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
11:06 CHI 2 & 10 (11:06) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 24 for no gain (27-M.Jenkins). EPA -0.6WP 60%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_3
10:19 CHI 3 & 10 (10:19) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky scrambles left end ran ob at PHI 18 for 6 yards (27-M.Jenkins). CHI-10-M.Trubisky was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. EPA -0.8WP 58%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:42 CHI 4 & 4 (9:42) 1-C.Parkey 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. EPA +0.4WP 55%
9:38 PHI 1-C.Parkey kicks 65 yards from CHI 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 44%
9:38 PHI 1 & 10 (9:38) 28-W.Smallwood left guard to PHI 35 for 10 yards (38-A.Amos). EPA +0.5WP 44%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
9:07 PHI 1 & 10 (9:07) 28-W.Smallwood right tackle to PHI 35 for no gain (91-E.Goldman; 94-L.Floyd). EPA -0.5WP 45%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
8:25 PHI 2 & 10 (8:25) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 13-N.Agholor ran ob at PHI 46 for 11 yards. EPA +1.3WP 44%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_0
7:57 PHI 1 & 10 (7:57) 43-D.Sproles left tackle to CHI 49 for 5 yards (58-R.Smith). EPA +0.1WP 47%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
7:16 PHI 2 & 5 (7:16) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles left end to 50 for -1 yards (27-S.McManis). EPA -0.9WP 49%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
6:40 PHI 3 & 6 (6:40) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep middle to 19-G.Tate to CHI 22 for 28 yards (38-A.Amos). CHI-27-S.McManis was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. EPA +2.7WP 46%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressurePOST2_MAN
6:02 PHI 1 & 10 (6:02) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles right guard to CHI 21 for 1 yard (91-E.Goldman). EPA -0.5WP 58%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
5:27 PHI 2 & 9 (5:27) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 13-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 38-A.Amos [96-A.Hicks] at CHI -3. Touchback. EPA -4.3WP 56%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureGOCOVER_4
5:18 CHI 1 & 10 (5:18) 24-J.Howard left end to CHI 21 for 1 yard (53-N.Bradham). EPA -0.5WP 59%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
4:36 CHI 2 & 9 (4:36) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right intended for 12-A.Robinson II INTERCEPTED by 29-A.Maddox at CHI 28. 29-A.Maddox ran ob at CHI 28 for no gain. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short right to 12-A.Robinson II (29-A.Maddox). EPA -0.6WP 58%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
4:31 CHI 3 & 9 (4:31) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep right to 12-A.Robinson II (29-A.Maddox). EPA -0.8WP 55%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_6
4:21 CHI 4 & 9 (4:21) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 46 yards to PHI 33, Center-48-P.Scales. 43-D.Sproles to PHI 32 for -1 yards (44-N.Kwiatkoski). EPA -0.0WP 52%
4:10 PHI 1 & 10 (4:10) 28-W.Smallwood left tackle to PHI 30 for -2 yards (58-R.Smith; 96-A.Hicks). EPA -0.8WP 45%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
3:22 PHI 3 & 12 (3:22) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 19-G.Tate to PHI 36 for 6 yards (27-S.McManis). EPA -0.3WP 39%EMPTY 0 RB, 2 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_4
2:45 PHI 4 & 6 (2:45) (Punt formation) 1-C.Johnston punts 53 yards to CHI 11, Center-45-R.Lovato, out of bounds. EPA +0.0WP 40%
2:38 CHI 1 & 10 (2:38) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 18-T.Gabriel to CHI 12 for 1 yard (32-R.Douglas). EPA -0.4WP 58%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
2:00 CHI 2 & 9 (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 17-A.Miller to CHI 21 for 9 yards (24-C.Graham). Penalty on PHI-93-T.Jernigan, Defensive Offside, declined. EPA +0.6WP 57%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
1:52 CHI 1 & 10 (1:52) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 17-A.Miller to CHI 44 for 23 yards (37-T.Sullivan). EPA +1.3WP 59%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_3
1:27 CHI 1 & 10 (1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 49 for 7 yards (32-R.Douglas). EPA +0.2WP 63%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_3
1:07 CHI 2 & 3 (1:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep middle to 87-A.Shaheen (37-T.Sullivan). EPA -0.4WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressurePOST
1:04 CHI 3 & 3 (1:04) (Shotgun) 30-B.Cunningham right guard to PHI 47 for 2 yards (55-B.Graham). PENALTY on PHI-53-N.Bradham, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 47. EPA +0.8WP 61%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
0:59 CHI 1 & 10 (:59) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 35 for 7 yards (24-C.Graham). EPA +0.3WP 64%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
0:36 CHI 2 & 3 (:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep right to 17-A.Miller (34-C.LeBlanc). The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. EPA -0.5WP 69%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_1
0:26 CHI 3 & 3 (:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 18-T.Gabriel to PHI 23 for 12 yards (32-R.Douglas). EPA +0.8WP 66%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_3
0:21 Timeout #2 by CHI at 00:21. EPA +0.0WP 70%
0:21 CHI 1 & 10 (:21) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep middle to 18-T.Gabriel (37-T.Sullivan). EPA -0.5WP 70%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressurePOSTCOVER_3
0:13 CHI 2 & 10 (:13) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short middle to 29-T.Cohen. EPA -0.2WP 69%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureSCREENCOVER_2
0:09 CHI 3 & 10 (:09) (Shotgun) 24-J.Howard right guard to PHI 11 for 12 yards (37-T.Sullivan). EPA +0.5WP 67%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
0:03 Timeout #3 by CHI at 00:03. EPA +0.0WP 69%
0:03 Timeout #1 by PHI at 00:03. EPA +0.0WP 69%
0:03 CHI 1 & 10 (:03) 1-C.Parkey 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. EPA +0.1WP 69%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 68%
Quarter 3
15:00 CHI 4-J.Elliott kicks 62 yards from PHI 35 to CHI 3. 15-J.Bellamy to CHI 17 for 14 yards (36-De.Hall). EPA -0.6WP 68%
14:53 CHI 1 & 10 (14:53) 24-J.Howard left guard to CHI 16 for -1 yards (91-F.Cox). EPA -0.9WP 68%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
14:15 CHI 2 & 11 (14:15) (Shotgun) 18-T.Gabriel right end to CHI 37 for 21 yards (32-R.Douglas). EPA +2.4WP 65%PISTOL 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
13:28 CHI 1 & 10 (13:28) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 87-A.Shaheen to CHI 37 for no gain (53-N.Bradham). EPA -0.5WP 70%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_3
12:49 CHI 2 & 10 (12:49) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson II to CHI 46 for 9 yards (32-R.Douglas). EPA +0.6WP 69%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
12:05 CHI 3 & 1 (12:05) (Shotgun) 24-J.Howard left guard to PHI 49 for 5 yards (27-M.Jenkins). EPA +0.6WP 71%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
11:24 CHI 1 & 10 (11:24) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 46 for -5 yards (sack split by 93-T.Jernigan and 55-B.Graham). EPA -1.1WP 74%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:38 CHI 2 & 15 (10:38) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 84-B.Braunecker to PHI 45 for 9 yards (58-J.Hicks). EPA +0.0WP 70%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRHITCHCOVER_3
9:51 CHI 4 & 6 (9:51) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 28 yards to PHI 17, Center-48-P.Scales, fair catch by 43-D.Sproles. EPA -0.6WP 66%
9:43 PHI 1 & 10 (9:43) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 22 for 5 yards (59-D.Trevathan). EPA -0.1WP 36%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_3
9:06 PHI 2 & 5 (9:06) 43-D.Sproles left tackle to PHI 21 for -1 yards (91-E.Goldman). EPA -0.8WP 36%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:21 PHI 3 & 6 (8:21) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete deep left to 86-Z.Ertz. PENALTY on CHI-38-A.Amos, Unnecessary Roughness, 14 yards, enforced at PHI 21 - No Play. EPA +2.1WP 34%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:14 PHI 1 & 10 (8:14) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short left to 43-D.Sproles pushed ob at PHI 39 for 4 yards (38-A.Amos). EPA +0.0WP 39%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_3
7:53 PHI 2 & 6 (7:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 19-G.Tate to PHI 40 for 1 yard (59-D.Trevathan). EPA -0.7WP 38%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_3
7:09 PHI 3 & 5 (7:09) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short left to 19-G.Tate ran ob at PHI 49 for 9 yards. EPA +1.8WP 35%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_1
6:37 PHI 1 & 10 (6:37) PENALTY on CHI, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 49 - No Play. EPA +0.6WP 42% 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
6:15 PHI 1 & 5 (6:15) (No Huddle) 43-D.Sproles left tackle to CHI 43 for 3 yards (58-R.Smith). EPA -0.1WP 45%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:32 PHI 2 & 2 (5:32) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete deep left to 80-J.Matthews. PENALTY on CHI-20-P.Amukamara, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at CHI 43 - No Play. EPA +2.1WP 47%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:26 PHI 1 & 10 (5:26) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +2.0WP 54%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRPOST
5:20 PHI 4-J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston. EPA +0.1WP 63%
5:20 CHI 4-J.Elliott kicks 65 yards from PHI 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 37%
5:20 CHI 1 & 10 (5:20) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short middle to 18-T.Gabriel (32-R.Douglas). EPA -0.6WP 37%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_1
5:15 CHI 2 & 10 (5:15) (Shotgun) 24-J.Howard right guard to CHI 27 for 2 yards (77-M.Bennett, 91-F.Cox). EPA -0.6WP 35%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
4:38 CHI 3 & 8 (4:38) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 87-A.Shaheen to CHI 34 for 7 yards (34-C.LeBlanc) [56-C.Long]. EPA -0.2WP 32%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_6
3:58 CHI 4 & 1 (3:58) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 49 yards to PHI 17, Center-48-P.Scales, out of bounds. EPA -0.2WP 33%
3:47 PHI 1 & 10 (3:47) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 86-Z.Ertz pushed ob at PHI 28 for 11 yards (23-K.Fuller). EPA +0.7WP 65%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_6
3:13 PHI 1 & 10 (3:13) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 43-D.Sproles to PHI 38 for 10 yards (58-R.Smith). EPA +0.7WP 67%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
2:25 PHI 1 & 10 (2:25) 43-D.Sproles left tackle to PHI 40 for 2 yards (52-K.Mack). EPA -0.4WP 70%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
1:52 PHI 2 & 8 (1:52) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete deep left to 17-A.Jeffery (20-P.Amukamara). EPA -0.8WP 68%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_3
1:42 PHI 4 & 8 (1:42) (Punt formation) 1-C.Johnston punts 38 yards to CHI 22, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 29-T.Cohen. EPA -0.0WP 62%
1:33 CHI 1 & 10 (1:33) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 12-A.Robinson II to CHI 34 for 12 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +0.9WP 36%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRPOSTCOVER_3
0:58 CHI 1 & 10 (:58) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 21 for 45 yards (37-T.Sullivan). EPA +2.9WP 38%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_1
0:14 CHI 1 & 10 (:14) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep right to 12-A.Robinson II. EPA -0.5WP 55%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCORNERCOVER_3
0:09 CHI 2 & 10 (:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 29-T.Cohen to PHI 20 for 1 yard (24-C.Graham). EPA -0.7WP 53%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRFLATCOVER_3
0:00 CHI END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 49%
Quarter 4
15:00 CHI 3 & 9 (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky scrambles left tackle to PHI 16 for 4 yards (27-M.Jenkins). EPA -0.9WP 49%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
14:17 CHI 4 & 5 (14:17) 1-C.Parkey 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. EPA +0.3WP 44%
14:13 PHI 1-C.Parkey kicks 60 yards from CHI 35 to PHI 5. 49-B.Scott to PHI 26 for 21 yards (36-D.Houston-Carson). EPA -0.0WP 56%
14:06 PHI 1 & 10 (14:06) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short left to 17-A.Jeffery to PHI 27 for 1 yard (94-L.Floyd). EPA -0.4WP 56%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSCREENCOVER_3
13:28 PHI 2 & 9 (13:28) 28-W.Smallwood right guard to PHI 33 for 6 yards (59-D.Trevathan). EPA +0.1WP 53%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
12:43 PHI 3 & 3 (12:43) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles right guard to PHI 35 for 2 yards (52-K.Mack). EPA -1.0WP 54%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12:08 PHI 4 & 1 (12:08) (Punt formation) 1-C.Johnston punts 45 yards to CHI 20, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 29-T.Cohen. EPA -0.5WP 52%
12:00 CHI 1 & 10 (12:00) 18-T.Gabriel right end to CHI 19 for -1 yards (58-J.Hicks). EPA -0.8WP 53%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
11:16 CHI 2 & 11 (11:16) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short left to 18-T.Gabriel. EPA -0.8WP 50%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_1
11:13 CHI 3 & 11 (11:13) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 18-T.Gabriel to CHI 38 for 19 yards (24-C.Graham) [91-F.Cox]. EPA +2.8WP 46%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRPOSTCOVER_6
10:36 CHI 1 & 10 (10:36) (Shotgun) 24-J.Howard left guard to CHI 44 for 6 yards (58-J.Hicks). EPA +0.2WP 57%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:54 CHI 2 & 4 (9:54) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 15-J.Bellamy to PHI 22 for 34 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +2.3WP 57%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRpressureGOCOVER_3
9:09 CHI 1 & 10 (9:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on PHI-29-A.Maddox, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. TDEPA +2.5WP 68%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_3
9:04 CHI TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-M.Trubisky pass to 18-T.Gabriel is complete. ATTEMPT FAILS. #52 Mack and #79 Sowell report in as eligble EPA -0.9WP 79%SHOTGUN 6 OL, 0 RB, 0 TE, 3 WR,1 DL
9:04 PHI 1-C.Parkey kicks 65 yards from CHI 35 to PHI 0. 49-B.Scott to PHI 14 for 14 yards (15-J.Bellamy; 30-B.Cunningham). EPA -0.8WP 25%
8:57 PHI 1 & 10 (8:57) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete short right to 86-Z.Ertz [52-K.Mack]. EPA -0.5WP 23%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressurePOSTCOVER_6
8:46 PHI 3 & 10 (8:46) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 13-N.Agholor to PHI 27 for 13 yards (38-A.Amos). EPA +2.1WP 18%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRINCOVER_6
8:07 PHI 1 & 10 (8:07) 43-D.Sproles right guard to PHI 29 for 2 yards (96-A.Hicks). EPA -0.3WP 23%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
7:23 PHI 2 & 8 (7:23) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete deep left to 19-G.Tate. EPA -0.6WP 22%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_6
7:15 PHI 3 & 8 (7:15) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Goedert. EPA -1.3WP 20%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WROUTCOVER_0
7:10 PHI 4 & 8 (7:10) (Punt formation) 1-C.Johnston punts 45 yards to CHI 26, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 29-T.Cohen. EPA -0.1WP 15%
7:02 CHI 1 & 10 (7:02) 24-J.Howard left guard to CHI 24 for -2 yards (53-N.Bradham). EPA -1.1WP 82%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
6:22 CHI 2 & 12 (6:22) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 17 for -7 yards (77-M.Bennett). EPA -1.2WP 79%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:38 CHI 3 & 19 (5:38) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 29-T.Cohen pushed ob at CHI 24 for 7 yards (34-C.LeBlanc). EPA -0.3WP 78%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureFLATCOVER_3
4:57 CHI 4 & 12 (4:57) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 36 yards to PHI 40, Center-48-P.Scales, out of bounds. EPA -0.3WP 76%
4:48 PHI 1 & 10 (4:48) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 17-A.Jeffery to CHI 45 for 15 yards (59-D.Trevathan). EPA +1.0WP 26%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRINCOVER_2
4:05 PHI 1 & 10 (4:05) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Goedert (27-S.McManis). EPA -0.5WP 28%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_3
4:00 PHI 2 & 10 (4:00) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert to CHI 35 for 10 yards (26-D.Bush). EPA +0.8WP 26%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRSCREENCOVER_3
3:20 PHI 1 & 10 (3:20) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 13-N.Agholor pushed ob at CHI 27 for 8 yards (58-R.Smith). EPA +0.6WP 31%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRFLATCOVER_3
3:13 PHI 2 & 2 (3:13) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 86-Z.Ertz to CHI 14 for 13 yards (38-A.Amos; 27-S.McManis) [52-K.Mack]. EPA +0.9WP 36%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureSLANTCOVER_6
2:35 PHI 1 & 10 (2:35) (Shotgun) 28-W.Smallwood left guard to CHI 13 for 1 yard (96-A.Hicks). EPA -0.4WP 45%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
1:55 PHI 3 & 9 (1:55) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short middle to 17-A.Jeffery to CHI 2 for 11 yards (38-A.Amos). EPA +2.5WP 38%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSLANTCOVER_4
1:14 PHI 1 & 2 (1:14) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles right guard to CHI 2 for no gain (52-K.Mack). EPA -0.4WP 52%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:10 Timeout #1 by CHI at 01:10. EPA +0.0WP 52%
1:10 PHI 2 & 2 (1:10) (Shotgun) 43-D.Sproles right guard to CHI 2 for no gain (52-K.Mack; 91-E.Goldman). EPA -1.0WP 52%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:05 Timeout #2 by CHI at 01:05. EPA +0.0WP 48%
1:05 PHI 3 & 2 (1:05) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass incomplete short right to 17-A.Jeffery (23-K.Fuller). EPA -1.7WP 48%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
1:01 Timeout #1 by PHI at 01:01. EPA +0.0WP 38%
1:01 PHI 4 & 2 (1:01) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 19-G.Tate for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-L.Floyd]. TDEPA +4.0WP 38%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_0
0:56 Timeout #2 by PHI at 00:56. EPA +0.0WP 60%
0:56 PHI TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 28-W.Smallwood rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT FAILS. The Replay Official reviewed the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. EPA -0.9WP 60%WILDCAT 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
0:56 CHI 4-J.Elliott kicks 58 yards from PHI 35 to CHI 7. 29-T.Cohen pushed ob at CHI 42 for 35 yards (37-T.Sullivan). EPA +0.5WP 50%
0:48 CHI 1 & 10 (:48) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete short left to 18-T.Gabriel (37-T.Sullivan). EPA -0.2WP 49%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_6
0:44 CHI 2 & 10 (:44) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 33 for 25 yards (29-A.Maddox) [56-C.Long]. EPA +1.6WP 45%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCORNERCOVER_6
0:35 Timeout #3 by CHI at 00:35. EPA +0.0WP 63%
0:35 CHI 1 & 10 (:35) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 12-A.Robinson II to PHI 25 for 8 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA -0.2WP 63%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_0
0:16 CHI 2 & 2 (:16) (No Huddle) 10-M.Trubisky spiked the ball to stop the clock. EPA -0.0WP 70% 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCOVER_0
0:15 CHI 3 & 2 (:15) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep middle to 17-A.Miller. EPA +0.1WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_0
0:10 Timeout #3 by PHI at 00:10. EPA +0.0WP 57%
0:10 CHI 4 & 2 (:10) (Field Goal formation) 1-C.Parkey 43 yard field goal is BLOCKED (90-T.Hester), Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. EPA -2.4WP 57%