From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20β7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(9:24) 6-R.Succop 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
0β3
Q1
4:35
KC
(4:35) 6-R.Succop 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
0β6
Q2
0:23
DEN
(:23) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-T.Jackson].
6β6
Q2
0:18
DEN
5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
7β6
Q3
7:40
KC
(7:40) 6-R.Succop 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
7β9
Q3
4:46
DEN
(4:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13β9
Q3
4:41
DEN
5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
14β9
Q4
0:18
DEN
(:18) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
17β9
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. KC closed at 0%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q3
4:46
DEN
(4:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
53% β 67%
+14%
+3.35
Q3
12:01
DEN
(12:01) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
59% β 46%
-13%
-3.64
Q4
7:49
DEN
(7:49) 4-B.Colquitt punts 51 yards to KC 47, Center-46-A.Brewer. 21-J.Arenas to 50 for 3 yards (85-V.Green).
59% β 70%
+11%
+0.17
Q2
0:23
DEN
(:23) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-T.Jackson].
38% β 49%
+11%
+3.33
Q1
3:12
DEN
(3:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 87-E.Decker to KC 27 for 29 yards (30-J.Brown).
31% β 41%
+10%
+3.80
Q4
8:10
KC
(8:10) 2-D.Colquitt punts 43 yards to DEN 2, Center-43-T.Gafford, downed by KC-38-N.Thorpe.
19% β 28%
+10%
+0.91
Q1
11:31
KC
(11:31) 22-D.McCluster right end to DEN 23 for 19 yards (36-J.Leonhard).
57% β 66%
+9%
+1.60
Q4
14:52
DEN
(14:52) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-E.Decker to KC 49 for 17 yards (24-B.Flowers).
71% β 80%
+9%
+2.33
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 54%
15:00 KC 5-M.Prater kicks 67 yards from DEN 35 to KC -2. 20-S.Draughn to KC 29 for 31 yards (12-M.Willis). EPA +0.8WP 54%
14:54 KC 1 & 10 (14:54) 25-J.Charles right end to KC 35 for 6 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA +0.1WP 55%
14:16 KC 2 & 4 (14:16) 40-P.Hillis left end to KC 37 for 2 yards (92-E.Dumervil). EPA -0.3WP 56%
13:39 KC 3 & 2 (13:39) 20-S.Draughn up the middle to KC 44 for 7 yards (26-R.Moore). EPA +1.1WP 55%
13:01 KC 1 & 10 (13:01) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short middle to 22-D.McCluster to DEN 49 for 7 yards (26-R.Moore). EPA +0.3WP 58%
12:29 KC 2 & 3 (12:29) 25-J.Charles left tackle to DEN 45 for 4 yards (20-M.Adams). EPA +0.4WP 60%
11:54 KC 1 & 10 (11:54) 40-P.Hillis up the middle to DEN 42 for 3 yards (20-M.Adams). FUMBLES (20-M.Adams), RECOVERED by DEN-20-M.Adams at DEN 42. 20-M.Adams to DEN 42 for no gain (73-J.Asamoah). The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 40-P.Hillis up the middle to DEN 42 for 3 yards (20-M.Adams). EPA -0.3WP 58%
11:31 KC 2 & 7 (11:31) 22-D.McCluster right end to DEN 23 for 19 yards (36-J.Leonhard). EPA +1.6WP 57%
10:54 KC 1 & 10 (10:54) 25-J.Charles up the middle to DEN 22 for 1 yard (20-M.Adams). EPA -0.4WP 66%
10:16 KC 2 & 9 (10:16) 20-S.Draughn up the middle to DEN 16 for 6 yards (20-M.Adams). EPA -0.0WP 65%
9:30 KC 3 & 3 (9:30) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 40-P.Hillis. 40-P.Hillis pass incomplete short left to 9-B.Quinn. EPA -1.6WP 64%
9:24 KC 4 & 3 (9:24) 6-R.Succop 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. EPA +0.5WP 60%
9:20 DEN 6-R.Succop kicks 69 yards from KC 35 to DEN -4. 11-T.Holliday, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 40%
9:20 DEN 1 & 10 (9:20) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to DEN 22 for 2 yards (56-D.Johnson). EPA -0.5WP 40%
8:54 DEN 2 & 8 (8:54) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 27-K.Moreno to DEN 18 for -4 yards (56-D.Johnson). EPA -1.1WP 39%
8:17 DEN 3 & 12 (8:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 14-B.Stokley INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Arenas at DEN 46. 21-J.Arenas to DEN 46 for no gain (14-B.Stokley). The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to 14-B.Stokley (21-J.Arenas). EPA -1.0WP 35%
8:09 DEN 4 & 12 (8:09) 4-B.Colquitt punts 45 yards to KC 37, Center-46-A.Brewer. 21-J.Arenas to DEN 37 for 26 yards (12-M.Willis). EPA -1.1WP 33%
7:56 KC 1 & 10 (7:56) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep right to 84-J.Newsome (20-M.Adams) [91-R.Ayers]. EPA -0.5WP 70%
7:48 KC 2 & 10 (7:48) 25-J.Charles right tackle to DEN 31 for 6 yards (20-M.Adams). EPA +0.1WP 69%
7:08 KC 3 & 4 (7:08) 9-B.Quinn pass short right to 81-T.Moeaki pushed ob at DEN 12 for 19 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA +1.8WP 67%
6:33 KC 1 & 10 (6:33) 22-D.McCluster left end to DEN 8 for 4 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA -0.1WP 73%
5:59 KC 2 & 6 (5:59) 25-J.Charles left guard to DEN 7 for 1 yard (20-M.Adams). EPA -0.6WP 73%
5:15 KC 3 & 5 (5:15) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 10-T.Copper to DEN 4 for 3 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA -1.4WP 72%
4:35 KC 4 & 2 (4:35) 6-R.Succop 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. EPA +0.1WP 70%
4:31 DEN 6-R.Succop kicks 68 yards from KC 35 to DEN -3. 11-T.Holliday pushed ob at DEN 47 for 50 yards (6-R.Succop). EPA +1.9WP 32%
4:22 DEN 1 & 10 (4:22) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at DEN 39 for -8 yards (50-J.Houston). EPA -1.4WP 36%
3:51 DEN 2 & 18 (3:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 14-B.Stokley to DEN 44 for 5 yards (21-J.Arenas). EPA -0.5WP 33%
3:12 DEN 3 & 13 (3:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 87-E.Decker to KC 27 for 29 yards (30-J.Brown). EPA +3.8WP 31%
2:30 DEN 1 & 10 (2:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 14-B.Stokley to KC 19 for 8 yards (21-J.Arenas). EPA +0.5WP 41%
2:01 DEN 2 & 2 (2:01) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to KC 12 for 7 yards (27-A.Elam). PENALTY on DEN-68-Z.Beadles, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 19 - No Play. EPA -1.2WP 42%
1:33 DEN 2 & 12 (1:33) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short left to 87-E.Decker. EPA -0.6WP 38%
1:26 DEN 3 & 12 (1:26) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short right to 88-D.Thomas. EPA -0.8WP 35%
1:22 DEN 4 & 12 (1:22) 5-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. EPA -3.8WP 32%
1:18 KC 1 & 10 (1:18) (Shotgun) PENALTY on KC-74-E.Winston, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at KC 38 - No Play. EPA -0.6WP 74%
1:18 KC 1 & 15 (1:18) 25-J.Charles up the middle to KC 36 for 3 yards (97-J.Bannan). EPA -0.2WP 72%
0:40 KC 2 & 12 (:40) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 22-D.McCluster to KC 43 for 7 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA +0.0WP 71%
0:00 KC END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 71%
Quarter 2
15:00 KC 3 & 5 (15:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn sacked at KC 42 for -1 yards (58-V.Miller). EPA -1.7WP 71%
14:27 KC 4 & 6 (14:27) 2-D.Colquitt punts 58 yards to DEN 0, Center-43-T.Gafford. 36-J.Leonhard, Touchback. EPA +0.2WP 68%
14:18 DEN 1 & 10 (14:18) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to DEN 24 for 4 yards (24-B.Flowers). EPA -0.1WP 31%
13:45 DEN 2 & 6 (13:45) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 27-K.Moreno ran ob at DEN 33 for 9 yards (27-A.Elam). EPA +1.0WP 31%
13:10 DEN 1 & 10 (13:10) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 84-J.Tamme to DEN 40 for 7 yards (56-D.Johnson). EPA +0.3WP 33%
12:35 DEN 2 & 3 (12:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 27-K.Moreno to DEN 45 for 5 yards (27-A.Elam). EPA +0.5WP 34%
12:00 DEN 1 & 10 (12:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 24-B.Flowers at KC 12. 24-B.Flowers to KC 10 for -2 yards. Lateral to 27-A.Elam to KC 20 for 10 yards (87-E.Decker). EPA -2.6WP 35%
11:44 KC 1 & 10 (11:44) 9-B.Quinn pass short right to 82-D.Bowe to KC 31 for 11 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +0.7WP 69%
11:07 KC 1 & 10 (11:07) 25-J.Charles left end pushed ob at KC 35 for 4 yards (20-M.Adams). EPA -0.2WP 71%
11:07 KC 2 & 6 (11:07) PENALTY on KC-87-S.Maneri, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at KC 35 - No Play. EPA -0.6WP 72%
10:19 KC 2 & 11 (10:19) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep left to 82-D.Bowe. EPA -0.9WP 68%
10:13 Timeout #1 by KC at 10:13. EPA +0.0WP 66%
10:13 KC 3 & 11 (10:13) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 81-T.Moeaki to DEN 49 for 21 yards (32-T.Carter) [20-M.Adams]. EPA +2.8WP 66%
9:50 KC 1 & 10 (9:50) 25-J.Charles up the middle to DEN 49 for no gain (99-K.Vickerson). EPA -0.4WP 74%
9:11 KC 2 & 10 (9:11) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short middle to 22-D.McCluster to DEN 43 for 6 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA -0.1WP 73%
8:34 KC 3 & 4 (8:34) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn scrambles left tackle to DEN 34 for 9 yards (20-M.Adams). PENALTY on KC-71-J.Allen, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 43 - No Play. EPA -1.3WP 73%
8:05 KC 3 & 14 (8:05) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 82-D.Bowe to DEN 40 for 13 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +0.4WP 69%
7:15 Timeout #2 by KC at 07:15. EPA +0.0WP 74%
7:15 KC 4 & 1 (7:15) (Run formation) PENALTY on DEN-99-K.Vickerson, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 40 - No Play. EPA +2.2WP 74%
7:15 KC 1 & 10 (7:15) 25-J.Charles up the middle to DEN 34 for 1 yard (95-D.Wolfe). EPA -0.4WP 78%
6:39 KC 2 & 9 (6:39) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 22-D.McCluster to DEN 33 for 1 yard (25-C.Harris). EPA -0.4WP 78%
5:56 KC 3 & 8 (5:56) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn sacked at DEN 42 for -9 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA -2.2WP 77%
5:23 KC 4 & 17 (5:23) 2-D.Colquitt punts 37 yards to DEN 5, Center-43-T.Gafford, fair catch by 36-J.Leonhard. EPA -0.0WP 71%
5:15 DEN 1 & 10 (5:15) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 88-D.Thomas to DEN 21 for 15 yards (24-B.Flowers). EPA +0.8WP 29%
4:49 DEN 1 & 10 (4:49) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to DEN 31 for 10 yards (27-A.Elam). EPA +0.6WP 32%
4:09 DEN 1 & 10 (4:09) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 14-B.Stokley to KC 38 for 31 yards (23-K.Lewis). EPA +1.6WP 33%
3:30 DEN 1 & 10 (3:30) (No Huddle) 27-K.Moreno left tackle to KC 30 for 8 yards (91-T.Hali). EPA +0.4WP 40%
2:52 DEN 2 & 2 (2:52) (No Huddle) 27-K.Moreno right tackle to KC 29 for 1 yard (50-J.Houston, 29-E.Berry). EPA -0.3WP 42%
2:12 DEN 3 & 1 (2:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 81-J.Dreessen to KC 28 for 1 yard (21-J.Arenas) [50-J.Houston]. EPA +0.4WP 38%
2:00 DEN 1 & 10 (2:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at KC 32 for -4 yards (50-J.Houston). EPA -0.6WP 41%
1:20 DEN 2 & 14 (1:20) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme to KC 10 for 22 yards (23-K.Lewis). EPA +1.8WP 36%
0:39 DEN 1 & 10 (:39) 27-K.Moreno right guard to KC 9 for 1 yard (56-D.Johnson). EPA -0.5WP 42%
0:32 Timeout #1 by DEN at 00:32. EPA +0.0WP 40%
0:32 DEN 2 & 9 (:32) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-E.Decker to KC 7 for 2 yards (21-J.Arenas). EPA -0.3WP 40%
0:23 Timeout #2 by DEN at 00:23. EPA +0.0WP 38%
0:23 DEN 3 & 7 (:23) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-T.Jackson]. TDEPA +3.3WP 38%
0:18 DEN 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. EPA +0.0WP 49%
0:18 KC 5-M.Prater kicks 73 yards from DEN 35 to KC -8. 20-S.Draughn, Touchback. EPA -0.1WP 51%
0:14 KC 1 & 10 (:14) 9-B.Quinn kneels to KC 19 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0WP 51%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 53%
Quarter 3
15:00 DEN 6-R.Succop kicks 65 yards from KC 35 to DEN 0. 11-T.Holliday pushed ob at DEN 42 for 42 yards (6-R.Succop). EPA +1.5WP 53%
14:53 DEN 1 & 10 (14:53) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 14-B.Stokley to KC 40 for 18 yards (23-K.Lewis). EPA +1.5WP 56%
14:18 DEN 1 & 10 (14:18) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to KC 37 for 3 yards (91-T.Hali). EPA -0.2WP 61%
13:44 DEN 2 & 7 (13:44) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-E.Decker ran ob at KC 21 for 16 yards (30-J.Brown). EPA +1.6WP 61%
13:22 DEN 1 & 10 (13:22) 27-K.Moreno left guard to KC 17 for 4 yards (92-D.Poe). EPA -0.0WP 65%
12:42 DEN 2 & 6 (12:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 81-J.Dreessen to KC 15 for 2 yards (29-E.Berry). EPA -0.4WP 65%
12:04 DEN 3 & 4 (12:04) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Thomas. EPA -1.2WP 65%
12:01 DEN 4 & 4 (12:01) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. EPA -3.6WP 59%
11:57 KC 1 & 10 (11:57) 25-J.Charles right tackle to KC 28 for 5 yards (57-K.Brooking). EPA +0.2WP 54%
11:23 KC 2 & 5 (11:23) 25-J.Charles left tackle to KC 39 for 11 yards (97-J.Bannan). EPA +1.0WP 54%
10:46 KC 1 & 10 (10:46) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 84-J.Newsome to KC 49 for 10 yards (32-T.Carter). EPA +0.6WP 57%
10:13 KC 1 & 10 (10:13) 25-J.Charles right tackle to DEN 40 for 11 yards (92-E.Dumervil). EPA +0.7WP 58%
9:40 KC 1 & 10 (9:40) 25-J.Charles up the middle to DEN 38 for 2 yards (97-J.Bannan). EPA -0.4WP 61%
9:03 KC 2 & 8 (9:03) 25-J.Charles left guard to DEN 37 for 1 yard (58-V.Miller). EPA -0.6WP 61%
8:21 KC 3 & 7 (8:21) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 82-D.Bowe to DEN 31 for 6 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA -1.2WP 59%
7:40 KC 4 & 1 (7:40) 6-R.Succop 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-T.Gafford, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. EPA +1.7WP 56%
7:35 DEN 6-R.Succop kicks 72 yards from KC 35 to DEN -7. 11-T.Holliday, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 40%
7:35 DEN 1 & 10 (7:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete deep left to 84-J.Tamme (29-E.Berry). EPA -0.5WP 40%
7:30 DEN 2 & 10 (7:30) 27-K.Moreno right tackle to DEN 35 for 15 yards (23-K.Lewis). PENALTY on KC-94-T.Jackson, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 35. EPA +1.8WP 38%
7:04 DEN 1 & 10 (7:04) (Shotgun) 21-R.Hillman left end pushed ob at 50 for 10 yards (23-K.Lewis). EPA +0.8WP 44%
6:30 DEN 1 & 10 (6:30) 18-P.Manning scrambles up the middle to KC 49 for 1 yard (94-T.Jackson). EPA -0.5WP 47%
6:06 DEN 2 & 9 (6:06) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to KC 42 for 7 yards (27-A.Elam). EPA +0.3WP 44%
5:24 DEN 3 & 2 (5:24) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 84-J.Tamme to KC 30 for 12 yards (30-J.Brown). KC-23-K.Lewis was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. Injury to K.Lewis to right shoulder. EPA +1.6WP 47%
4:46 DEN 1 & 10 (4:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +3.4WP 53%
4:41 DEN 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. EPA +0.0WP 67%
4:41 KC 5-M.Prater kicks 66 yards from DEN 35 to KC -1. 20-S.Draughn to KC 21 for 22 yards (59-D.Trevathan). EPA +0.0WP 32%
4:35 KC 1 & 10 (4:35) 25-J.Charles right tackle to KC 23 for 2 yards (97-J.Bannan). EPA -0.4WP 32%
3:56 KC 2 & 8 (3:56) 9-B.Quinn pass short left to 82-D.Bowe pushed ob at KC 34 for 11 yards (24-C.Bailey). PENALTY on KC-79-D.Stephenson, Clipping, 15 yards, enforced at KC 34. EPA -0.5WP 30%
3:21 KC 2 & 12 (3:21) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass short middle to 10-T.Copper to KC 30 for 11 yards (25-C.Harris; 52-W.Woodyard). EPA +1.2WP 29%
2:41 Timeout #1 by KC at 02:41. EPA +0.0WP 32%
2:41 KC 3 & 1 (2:41) PENALTY on KC-25-J.Charles, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at KC 30 - No Play. EPA -1.1WP 32%
2:41 KC 3 & 6 (2:41) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete short right to 25-J.Charles. PENALTY on DEN-52-W.Woodyard, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at KC 25 - No Play. EPA +2.0WP 29%
2:38 KC 1 & 10 (2:38) 25-J.Charles right guard to KC 45 for 5 yards (99-K.Vickerson). EPA +0.1WP 35%
2:02 KC 2 & 5 (2:02) 10-T.Copper left end to KC 46 for 1 yard (95-D.Wolfe). EPA -0.6WP 35%
1:26 KC 3 & 4 (1:26) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep right to 82-D.Bowe. Penalty on KC-73-J.Asamoah, Offensive Holding, declined. EPA -1.5WP 33%
1:20 KC 4 & 4 (1:20) 2-D.Colquitt punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-43-T.Gafford, Touchback. EPA -0.3WP 28%
1:11 DEN 1 & 10 (1:11) 27-K.Moreno left end to DEN 18 for -2 yards (29-E.Berry). EPA -1.0WP 73%
0:39 DEN 2 & 12 (:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 27-K.Moreno to DEN 34 for 16 yards (21-J.Arenas). EPA +1.8WP 70%
0:00 DEN END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 75%
Quarter 4
15:00 DEN 1 & 10 (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short left to 87-E.Decker. EPA -0.5WP 75%
14:57 DEN 2 & 10 (14:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short left to 87-E.Decker. EPA -0.7WP 73%
14:52 DEN 3 & 10 (14:52) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-E.Decker to KC 49 for 17 yards (24-B.Flowers). EPA +2.3WP 71%
14:19 DEN 1 & 10 (14:19) (No Huddle) 21-R.Hillman right tackle to DEN 49 for -2 yards (92-D.Poe; 94-T.Jackson). EPA -0.8WP 80%
13:38 DEN 2 & 12 (13:38) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete deep left to 88-D.Thomas. EPA -0.9WP 79%
13:33 DEN 3 & 12 (13:33) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short left to 84-J.Tamme [56-D.Johnson]. EPA -1.3WP 76%
13:28 DEN 4 & 12 (13:28) 4-B.Colquitt punts 30 yards to KC 21, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 21-J.Arenas. EPA +0.0WP 71%
13:19 KC 1 & 10 (13:19) 25-J.Charles up the middle to KC 23 for 2 yards (95-D.Wolfe). EPA -0.4WP 32%
12:40 KC 2 & 8 (12:40) 25-J.Charles left end pushed ob at KC 38 for 15 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA +1.5WP 29%
12:11 KC 1 & 10 (12:11) 25-J.Charles right end to KC 38 for no gain (96-M.Unrein). EPA -0.4WP 35%
11:28 KC 2 & 10 (11:28) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep left to 82-D.Bowe. EPA -0.8WP 32%
11:22 KC 3 & 10 (11:22) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep right to 84-J.Newsome [25-C.Harris]. EPA -1.2WP 28%
11:15 KC 4 & 10 (11:15) 2-D.Colquitt punts 50 yards to DEN 12, Center-43-T.Gafford, fair catch by 11-T.Holliday. EPA +0.8WP 25%
11:07 DEN 1 & 10 (11:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short middle to 14-B.Stokley (21-J.Arenas). EPA -0.5WP 76%
11:02 DEN 2 & 10 (11:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-K.Moreno right tackle to DEN 14 for 2 yards (50-J.Houston). EPA -0.5WP 74%
10:31 DEN 3 & 8 (10:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short right to 84-J.Tamme (29-E.Berry). EPA -1.0WP 71%
10:26 DEN 4 & 8 (10:26) 4-B.Colquitt punts 49 yards to KC 37, Center-46-A.Brewer, out of bounds. EPA +0.4WP 65%
10:18 KC 1 & 10 (10:18) 25-J.Charles left end to KC 46 for 9 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA +0.7WP 35%
9:39 KC 2 & 1 (9:39) 25-J.Charles left guard to DEN 42 for 12 yards (26-R.Moore). EPA +0.6WP 38%
9:00 KC 1 & 10 (9:00) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete short left to 82-D.Bowe (24-C.Bailey). EPA -0.4WP 36%
8:55 KC 2 & 10 (8:55) 25-J.Charles right end to DEN 45 for -3 yards (52-W.Woodyard). EPA -1.4WP 33%
8:14 KC 3 & 13 (8:14) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete short left to 82-D.Bowe. EPA -1.2WP 25%
8:10 KC 4 & 13 (8:10) 2-D.Colquitt punts 43 yards to DEN 2, Center-43-T.Gafford, downed by KC-38-N.Thorpe. EPA +0.9WP 19%
8:00 DEN 1 & 10 (8:00) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Thomas. EPA -0.4WP 72%
7:58 DEN 2 & 10 (7:58) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete short middle to 81-J.Dreessen. EPA -0.5WP 69%
7:53 DEN 3 & 10 (7:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to 14-B.Stokley (92-D.Poe). EPA -0.9WP 66%
7:49 DEN 4 & 10 (7:49) 4-B.Colquitt punts 51 yards to KC 47, Center-46-A.Brewer. 21-J.Arenas to 50 for 3 yards (85-V.Green). EPA +0.2WP 59%
7:39 KC 1 & 10 (7:39) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete short left to 82-D.Bowe. EPA -0.4WP 30%
7:34 KC 2 & 10 (7:34) 25-J.Charles left tackle to DEN 41 for 9 yards (20-M.Adams). FUMBLES (20-M.Adams), recovered by KC-87-S.Maneri at DEN 41. EPA +0.6WP 27%
6:57 KC 3 & 1 (6:57) (Run formation) PENALTY on KC-73-J.Asamoah, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 41 - No Play. EPA -1.0WP 30%
6:41 KC 3 & 6 (6:41) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete deep right to 82-D.Bowe. Penalty on KC-79-D.Stephenson, Offensive Holding, declined. EPA -1.4WP 27%
6:35 Timeout #2 by KC at 06:35. EPA +0.0WP 21%
6:35 KC 4 & 6 (6:35) 2-D.Colquitt punts 30 yards to DEN 16, Center-43-T.Gafford, fair catch by 36-J.Leonhard. EPA -0.6WP 21%
6:24 DEN 1 & 10 (6:24) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to DEN 21 for 5 yards (27-A.Elam). EPA +0.0WP 79%
5:45 DEN 2 & 5 (5:45) 27-K.Moreno left guard to DEN 38 for 17 yards (34-T.Daniels). EPA +1.2WP 81%
4:59 DEN 1 & 10 (4:59) (No Huddle) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to DEN 39 for 1 yard (29-E.Berry). EPA -0.5WP 86%
4:17 DEN 2 & 9 (4:17) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to DEN 45 for 6 yards (91-T.Hali). EPA -0.1WP 84%
3:35 DEN 3 & 3 (3:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 88-D.Thomas to KC 45 for 10 yards (30-J.Brown). EPA +1.1WP 86%
2:50 DEN 1 & 10 (2:50) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to KC 43 for 2 yards (92-D.Poe). EPA -0.4WP 90%
2:04 DEN 2 & 8 (2:04) 21-R.Hillman right guard to KC 42 for 1 yard (24-B.Flowers). EPA -0.2WP 93%
1:59 DEN 3 & 7 (1:59) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas pushed ob at KC 15 for 27 yards (30-J.Brown). EPA +2.9WP 93%
1:54 DEN 1 & 10 (1:54) 27-K.Moreno up the middle to KC 12 for 3 yards (94-T.Jackson). EPA -1.0WP 97%
1:48 Timeout #3 by KC at 01:48. EPA +0.0WP 97%
1:48 DEN 2 & 7 (1:48) 27-K.Moreno right guard to KC 15 for -3 yards (92-D.Poe). EPA -0.9WP 97%
1:04 DEN 3 & 10 (1:04) 27-K.Moreno left guard to KC 16 for -1 yards (75-R.Pitoitua). EPA +0.3WP 98%
0:18 Timeout #1 by DEN at 00:18. EPA +0.0WP 98%
0:18 DEN 4 & 11 (:18) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. EPA +0.3WP 98%
0:14 KC 5-M.Prater kicks 46 yards from DEN 35 to KC 19. 98-A.Toribio to KC 23 for 4 yards (53-S.Johnson). EPA +0.0WP 1%
0:11 KC 1 & 10 (:11) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DEN-58-V.Miller, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at KC 23 - No Play. EPA +0.0WP 1%
0:11 KC 1 & 5 (:11) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete short right to 89-J.Baldwin (52-W.Woodyard). EPA -0.0WP 1%
0:06 KC 2 & 5 (:06) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass incomplete short right to 10-T.Copper. EPA -0.0WP 1%
0:01 KC 3 & 5 (:01) (Shotgun) 9-B.Quinn pass deep left intended for 82-D.Bowe INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Bruton [92-E.Dumervil] at DEN 28. 30-D.Bruton to DEN 26 for -2 yards (82-D.Bowe). EPA -0.0WP 1%