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From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20–7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
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Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots 7–38
2007-09-23 · 2007 week 3 · NFL · Gillette Stadium (outdoors, fieldturf) · 74°F, wind 10 mph · Coaches: Dick Jauron (away), Bill Belichick (home) · Referee Scott Green · Line: New England Patriots +16.5, O/U 41
Buffalo Bills 2007 · New England Patriots 2007 · 2007 season
Score by quarter
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| NWE | 3 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
Scoring plays
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 9:30 | NWE | (9:30) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. | 0–3 |
| Q1 | 2:50 | BUF | (2:50) 23-M.Lynch left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 6–3 |
| Q1 | 2:44 | BUF | 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman. | 7–3 |
| Q2 | 5:12 | NWE | (5:12) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-B.Watson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 84-Watson 3rd straight game with a TD reception. | 7–9 |
| Q2 | 5:08 | NWE | 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. | 7–10 |
| Q2 | 1:20 | NWE | (1:20) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 4th career game vs. Buffalo, TD in all 4. | 7–16 |
| Q2 | 1:17 | NWE | 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. | 7–17 |
| Q3 | 6:26 | NWE | (6:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 10-J.Gaffney for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 7–23 |
| Q3 | 6:22 | NWE | 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. | 7–24 |
| Q3 | 3:29 | NWE | (3:29) 34-S.Morris up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 7–30 |
| Q3 | 3:26 | NWE | 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. | 7–31 |
| Q4 | 10:28 | NWE | (10:28) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 1st receiver in NFL history to have 100+ rec yards in each of his 1st 3 games with a new team. NE 81-Moss 49th career 100-yard receiving game NE 12-Brady 16th career 300-yard game. | 7–37 |
| Q4 | 10:22 | NWE | 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. | 7–38 |
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. NWE closed at 100%.
Turning points
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Win prob. | Swing | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 9:14 | NWE | (9:14) 12-T.Brady up the middle to BUF 1 for 2 yards (97-J.McCargo). FUMBLES (97-J.McCargo), RECOVERED by BUF-97-J.McCargo at BUF 1. New England challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 09:07.) | 61% → 45% | -16% | -4.68 |
| Q1 | 13:55 | BUF | (13:55) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 35 for -9 yards (27-E.Hobbs). FUMBLES (27-E.Hobbs), RECOVERED by NE-97-J.Green at BUF 35. | 45% → 30% | -15% | -5.18 |
| Q1 | 6:47 | BUF | (6:47) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short middle to 11-R.Parrish to NE 43 for 13 yards (21-R.Gay). | 32% → 43% | +10% | +2.18 |
| Q2 | 14:26 | NWE | (14:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to BUF 23 for 6 yards (55-A.Crowell, 98-L.Tripplett). | 51% → 42% | -9% | -2.22 |
| Q1 | 2:50 | BUF | (2:50) 23-M.Lynch left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 46% → 54% | +8% | +3.19 |
| Q2 | 5:12 | NWE | (5:12) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-B.Watson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 84-Watson 3rd straight game with a TD reception. | 58% → 65% | +7% | +2.38 |
| Q1 | 0:16 | NWE | (:16) NE 68-O'Callaghan eligible. 34-S.Morris left end to BUF 32 for -4 yards (25-K.Thomas). Penalty on NE-88-K.Brady, Illegal Motion, declined. | 57% → 50% | -7% | -0.99 |
| Q2 | 10:58 | NWE | (10:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 18-D.Stallworth to BUF 16 for 28 yards (26-A.Youboty, 42-J.Leonhard). | 54% → 59% | +5% | +1.71 |
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Team stats
| Buffalo Bills | New England Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 11 | 26 |
| Total yards | 211 | 488 |
| Passing yards | 101 | 311 |
| Rushing yards | 110 | 177 |
| Comp–Att | 11–21 | 23–29 |
| Passing TD | 0 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 |
| Rushing attempts | 27 | 38 |
| Rushing TD | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 1 |
| Penalties–yards | 5–30 | 2–20 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trent Edwards QB | 10 | 20 | 97 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 43.1 |
 J.P. Losman QB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marshawn Lynch RB | 20 | 74 | 1 | 3.7 | 0 |
 Dwayne Wright RB | 6 | 36 | 0 | 6.0 | 0 |
| Trent Edwards QB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed WR | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Roscoe Parrish WR | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Peerless Price WR | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.5 |
 Lee Evans WR | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Ryan Neufeld FB | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.0 |
| Marshawn Lynch RB | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Michael Gaines TE | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Schobel DE | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 John DiGiorgio MLB | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brian Moorman P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 343 | |
 Rian Lindell K | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Brady QB | 23 | 29 | 311 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laurence Maroney RB | 19 | 103 | 0 | 5.4 | 0 |
 Sammy Morris RB | 12 | 46 | 1 | 3.8 | 0 |
 Kevin Faulk RB | 2 | 14 | 0 | 7.0 | 0 |
 Heath Evans FB | 4 | 12 | 0 | 3.0 | 0 |
| Tom Brady QB | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | 1 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Randy Moss WR | 5 | 0 | 115 | 2 | 23.0 |
 Wes Welker WR | 6 | 0 | 69 | 0 | 11.5 |
| Kevin Faulk RB | 5 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Donte' Stallworth WR | 1 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 28.0 |
 Kyle Brady TE | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20.0 |
 Benjamin Watson TE | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.5 |
 Jabar Gaffney WR | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.5 |
| David Thomas TE | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adalius Thomas OLB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Jarvis Green DE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 Asante Samuel CB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Eugene Wilson FS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Randall Gay CB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Ellis Hobbs CB | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stephen Gostkowski K | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Hanson P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 59 |
Total QBR
| Quarterback | Team | QBR | Pts added | Plays | EPA | Pass | Run | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | NWE | 87.8 | 5.0 | 33 | 5.3 | 8.1 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| Trent Edwards | BUF | 21.3 | -2.3 | 24 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
Play-by-play
Show every play (153)
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
- 15:00 GAME EPA +0.0 WP 42%
- 15:00 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 76 yards from NE 30 to BUF -6. 39-J.Scobey to BUF 21 for 27 yards (58-P.Woods, 52-E.Alexander). EPA +0.0 WP 42%
- 14:56 BUF 1 & 10 (14:56) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 23-M.Lynch to BUF 25 for 4 yards (59-R.Colvin). BUF-7-J.Losman was injured during the play. PENALTY on NE-75-V.Wilfork, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 25. NE 55-Seau has just passed Bill Romanowski for 2nd most games played at LB in NFL history (today is his 244th career game) EPA +1.3 WP 43%
- 14:30 BUF 1 & 10 (14:30) 23-M.Lynch left guard to BUF 44 for 4 yards (97-J.Green, 50-M.Vrabel). EPA +0.0 WP 45%
- 13:55 BUF 2 & 6 (13:55) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 35 for -9 yards (27-E.Hobbs). FUMBLES (27-E.Hobbs), RECOVERED by NE-97-J.Green at BUF 35. EPA -5.2 WP 45%
- 13:48 NWE 1 & 10 (13:48) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss to BUF 31 for 4 yards (33-J.Greer). EPA -0.0 WP 70%
- 13:07 NWE 2 & 6 (13:07) NE 68-O'Callaghan eligible. 39-L.Maroney left guard to BUF 26 for 5 yards (52-J.DiGiorgio, 94-A.Schobel). EPA +0.1 WP 69%
- 12:32 NWE 3 & 1 (12:32) 34-S.Morris right guard to BUF 26 for no gain (98-L.Tripplett). EPA -1.0 WP 72%
- 12:10 NWE 4 & 1 (12:10) NE 68-O'Callaghan eligible. 44-H.Evans up the middle to BUF 24 for 2 yards (90-C.Kelsay, 98-L.Tripplett). EPA +1.6 WP 67%
- 11:36 NWE 1 & 10 (11:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to BUF 15 for 9 yards (95-K.Williams). EPA +0.6 WP 72%
- 10:55 NWE 2 & 1 (10:55) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 86-D.Thomas to BUF 6 for 9 yards (42-J.Leonhard). EPA +0.5 WP 73%
- 10:20 NWE 1 & 6 (10:20) 39-L.Maroney up the middle to BUF 7 for -1 yards (52-J.DiGiorgio, 90-C.Kelsay). EPA -0.6 WP 73%
- 9:39 NWE 2 & 7 (9:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 10-J.Gaffney. EPA -0.8 WP 71%
- 9:35 NWE 3 & 7 (9:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 81-R.Moss. EPA -1.3 WP 69%
- 9:30 NWE 4 & 7 (9:30) 3-S.Gostkowski 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.1 WP 67%
- 9:26 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 70 yards from NE 30 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0 WP 33%
- 9:26 BUF 1 & 10 (9:26) BUF 5-Edwards now at QB. 23-M.Lynch right guard to BUF 26 for 6 yards (54-T.Bruschi, 96-A.Thomas). EPA +0.3 WP 33%
- 8:51 BUF 2 & 4 (8:51) BUF 65-Whittle eligible. 5-T.Edwards pass deep left to 81-P.Price ran ob at BUF 42 for 16 yards. EPA +1.1 WP 33%
- 8:21 BUF 1 & 10 (8:21) BUF 73-Chambers eligible. PENALTY on BUF, Offensive 12 On-field, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 42 - No Play. EPA -0.6 WP 36%
- 8:12 BUF 1 & 15 (8:12) BUF 73-Chambers eligible. PENALTY on BUF-71-J.Peters, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 37 - No Play. EPA -0.2 WP 34%
- 8:03 BUF 1 & 20 (8:03) BUF 73-Chambers eligible. 23-M.Lynch up the middle to BUF 40 for 8 yards (54-T.Bruschi, 26-E.Wilson). EPA -0.1 WP 33%
- 7:31 BUF 2 & 12 (7:31) 23-M.Lynch right end to BUF 44 for 4 yards (50-M.Vrabel, 36-J.Sanders). EPA -0.3 WP 33%
- 6:47 BUF 3 & 8 (6:47) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short middle to 11-R.Parrish to NE 43 for 13 yards (21-R.Gay). EPA +2.2 WP 32%
- 6:11 BUF 1 & 10 (6:11) 5-T.Edwards pass short middle to 82-J.Reed to NE 22 for 21 yards (26-E.Wilson, 36-J.Sanders). EPA +1.6 WP 43%
- 5:38 BUF 1 & 10 (5:38) 23-M.Lynch left guard to NE 16 for 6 yards (36-J.Sanders). EPA +0.2 WP 47%
- 4:57 BUF 2 & 4 (4:57) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to NE 15 for 1 yard (96-A.Thomas, 50-M.Vrabel). EPA -0.5 WP 46%
- 4:20 BUF 3 & 3 (4:20) 5-T.Edwards pass short left to 86-M.Gaines to NE 10 for 5 yards (96-A.Thomas, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.8 WP 45%
- 3:34 BUF 1 & 10 (3:34) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to NE 8 for 2 yards (59-R.Colvin, 97-J.Green). EPA -0.2 WP 50%
- 2:57 BUF 2 & 8 (2:57) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short right to 83-L.Evans. EPA -0.8 WP 48%
- 2:50 BUF 3 & 8 (2:50) 23-M.Lynch left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +3.2 WP 46%
- 2:44 BUF 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman. EPA +0.0 WP 54%
- 2:44 NWE 9-R.Lindell kicks 37 yards from BUF 30 to NE 33, fair catch by 86-D.Thomas. EPA +1.0 WP 45%
- 2:44 NWE 1 & 10 (2:44) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-B.Watson to NE 42 for 9 yards (77-T.Anderson). EPA +0.7 WP 48%
- 2:08 NWE 2 & 1 (2:08) (Shotgun) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to BUF 47 for 11 yards (25-K.Thomas, 20-D.Whitner). EPA +0.5 WP 50%
- 1:25 NWE 1 & 10 (1:25) Penalty on NE-81-R.Moss, False Start, declined. PENALTY on BUF-55-A.Crowell, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 47 - No Play. EPA +0.9 WP 51%
- 0:59 NWE 1 & 10 (:59) 34-S.Morris up the middle to BUF 28 for 4 yards (51-P.Posluszny). EPA -0.0 WP 55%
- 0:16 NWE 2 & 6 (:16) NE 68-O'Callaghan eligible. 34-S.Morris left end to BUF 32 for -4 yards (25-K.Thomas). Penalty on NE-88-K.Brady, Illegal Motion, declined. EPA -1.0 WP 57%
- 0:00 NWE END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0 WP 50%
Quarter 2
- 15:00 NWE 3 & 10 (15:00) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to BUF 29 for 3 yards (51-P.Posluszny, 20-D.Whitner). EPA -0.9 WP 50%
- 14:26 NWE 4 & 7 (14:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to BUF 23 for 6 yards (55-A.Crowell, 98-L.Tripplett). EPA -2.2 WP 51%
- 14:09 BUF 1 & 10 (14:09) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to BUF 30 for 7 yards (96-A.Thomas, 59-R.Colvin). EPA +0.5 WP 58%
- 13:37 BUF 2 & 3 (13:37) 23-M.Lynch right guard to BUF 30 for no gain (75-V.Wilfork, 94-T.Warren). EPA -0.6 WP 57%
- 12:59 BUF 3 & 3 (12:59) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete deep left to 83-L.Evans (27-E.Hobbs). EPA -1.4 WP 57%
- 12:53 BUF 4 & 3 (12:53) 8-B.Moorman punts 59 yards to NE 11, Center-72-R.Neill. 83-W.Welker to NE 28 for 17 yards (57-J.Stamer). EPA -0.0 WP 53%
- 12:42 NWE 1 & 10 (12:42) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 39-L.Maroney. EPA -0.5 WP 46%
- 12:37 NWE 2 & 10 (12:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to NE 41 for 13 yards (42-J.Leonhard, 55-A.Crowell). EPA +1.3 WP 44%
- 12:05 NWE 1 & 10 (12:05) 39-L.Maroney right guard to 50 for 9 yards (51-P.Posluszny, 98-L.Tripplett). EPA +0.8 WP 48%
- 11:34 NWE 2 & 1 (11:34) 39-L.Maroney left guard to BUF 44 for 6 yards (25-K.Thomas, 51-P.Posluszny). BUF-51-P.Posluszny was injured during the play. EPA +0.1 WP 50%
- 10:58 NWE 1 & 10 (10:58) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 18-D.Stallworth to BUF 16 for 28 yards (26-A.Youboty, 42-J.Leonhard). EPA +1.7 WP 54%
- 10:19 NWE 1 & 10 (10:19) 39-L.Maroney left guard to BUF 10 for 6 yards (55-A.Crowell). EPA +0.2 WP 59%
- 9:47 NWE 2 & 4 (9:47) 39-L.Maroney right guard to BUF 3 for 7 yards (90-C.Kelsay). EPA +1.0 WP 59%
- 9:14 NWE 1 & 3 (9:14) 12-T.Brady up the middle to BUF 1 for 2 yards (97-J.McCargo). FUMBLES (97-J.McCargo), RECOVERED by BUF-97-J.McCargo at BUF 1. New England challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 09:07.) EPA -4.7 WP 61%
- 9:07 BUF 1 & 10 (9:07) PENALTY on BUF-23-M.Lynch, False Start, 0 yards, enforced at BUF 1 - No Play. EPA -0.1 WP 55%
- 9:07 BUF 1 & 10 (9:07) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short right to 83-L.Evans (26-E.Wilson). New England challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2.) EPA -0.5 WP 55%
- 9:03 BUF 2 & 10 (9:03) 5-T.Edwards up the middle to BUF 1 for no gain (75-V.Wilfork, 96-A.Thomas). EPA -0.5 WP 53%
- 8:28 BUF 3 & 10 (8:28) 23-M.Lynch left guard to BUF 1 for no gain (96-A.Thomas, 55-J.Seau). EPA -0.7 WP 51%
- 7:56 BUF 4 & 10 (7:56) 8-B.Moorman punts 75 yards to NE 24, Center-72-R.Neill. 83-W.Welker pushed ob at BUF 47 for 29 yards (57-J.Stamer). EPA +0.3 WP 48%
- 7:43 NWE 1 & 10 (7:43) 34-S.Morris right tackle to BUF 35 for 12 yards (55-A.Crowell, 20-D.Whitner). EPA +0.7 WP 50%
- 7:17 NWE 1 & 10 (7:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 10-J.Gaffney pushed ob at BUF 24 for 11 yards (26-A.Youboty). EPA +0.8 WP 54%
- 6:55 NWE 1 & 10 (6:55) 34-S.Morris up the middle to BUF 19 for 5 yards (98-L.Tripplett, 52-J.DiGiorgio). EPA +0.0 WP 58%
- 6:22 NWE 2 & 5 (6:22) (Shotgun) 34-S.Morris left tackle to BUF 11 for 8 yards (20-D.Whitner, 25-K.Thomas). EPA +0.6 WP 57%
- 5:49 NWE 1 & 10 (5:49) 34-S.Morris right guard to BUF 8 for 3 yards (77-T.Anderson, 25-K.Thomas). EPA -0.1 WP 59%
- 5:12 NWE 2 & 7 (5:12) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-B.Watson for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 84-Watson 3rd straight game with a TD reception. TD EPA +2.4 WP 58%
- 5:08 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0 WP 65%
- 5:08 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 69 yards from NE 30 to BUF 1. 39-J.Scobey to BUF 14 for 13 yards (24-M.Mitchell). EPA -0.4 WP 33%
- 5:04 BUF 1 & 10 (5:04) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short left to 81-P.Price (96-A.Thomas). EPA -0.5 WP 33%
- 5:00 BUF 2 & 10 (5:00) 5-T.Edwards pass short left to 88-R.Neufeld to BUF 20 for 6 yards (22-A.Samuel) [96-A.Thomas]. EPA +0.2 WP 31%
- 4:18 BUF 3 & 4 (4:18) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short left to 81-P.Price (21-R.Gay). Penalty on BUF-71-J.Peters, Offensive Holding, declined. EPA -1.1 WP 32%
- 4:13 BUF 4 & 4 (4:13) 8-B.Moorman punts 54 yards to NE 26, Center-72-R.Neill. 83-W.Welker to BUF 48 for 26 yards (37-G.Wilson, 88-R.Neufeld). EPA -1.2 WP 27%
- 4:01 NWE 1 & 10 (4:01) 39-L.Maroney left guard to BUF 29 for 19 yards (26-A.Youboty). PENALTY on NE-39-L.Maroney, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 29. EPA +0.8 WP 77%
- 3:28 NWE 1 & 10 (3:28) 39-L.Maroney left tackle to BUF 27 for 7 yards (55-A.Crowell, 90-C.Kelsay). EPA +0.2 WP 78%
- 2:51 NWE 2 & 3 (2:51) 39-L.Maroney left guard to BUF 22 for 5 yards (97-J.McCargo, 52-J.DiGiorgio). EPA +0.6 WP 79%
- 2:10 NWE 1 & 10 (2:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 88-K.Brady to BUF 2 for 20 yards (99-J.Jefferson, 42-J.Leonhard). EPA +2.1 WP 79%
- 2:00 NWE 1 & 2 (2:00) NE 50-Vrabel & 55-Seau eligible. 44-H.Evans right guard to BUF 3 for -1 yards (52-J.DiGiorgio, 57-J.Stamer). EPA -0.6 WP 82%
- 1:20 NWE 2 & 3 (1:20) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 4th career game vs. Buffalo, TD in all 4. TD EPA +1.7 WP 81%
- 1:17 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0 WP 83%
- 1:17 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 69 yards from NE 30 to BUF 1. 39-J.Scobey to BUF 21 for 20 yards (24-M.Mitchell, 58-P.Woods). EPA +0.1 WP 16%
- 1:13 BUF 1 & 10 (1:13) 23-M.Lynch right tackle to BUF 19 for -2 yards (55-J.Seau). EPA -0.5 WP 16%
- 0:30 BUF 2 & 12 (:30) 23-M.Lynch right end to BUF 19 for no gain (55-J.Seau, 94-T.Warren). EPA -0.0 WP 15%
- 0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 85%
Quarter 3
- 15:00 NWE 9-R.Lindell kicks 71 yards from BUF 30 to NE -1. 27-E.Hobbs pushed ob at NE 32 for 33 yards (57-J.Stamer). EPA +1.0 WP 85%
- 14:53 NWE 1 & 10 (14:53) 39-L.Maroney right tackle to NE 30 for -2 yards (90-C.Kelsay). EPA -0.9 WP 87%
- 14:21 NWE 2 & 12 (14:21) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle (94-A.Schobel). EPA -0.8 WP 84%
- 14:16 NWE 3 & 12 (14:16) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-K.Faulk to NE 34 for 4 yards (94-A.Schobel). EPA -0.7 WP 82%
- 13:43 NWE 4 & 8 (13:43) 6-C.Hanson punts 29 yards to BUF 37, Center-66-L.Paxton, out of bounds. EPA -0.5 WP 83%
- 13:36 BUF 1 & 10 (13:36) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to BUF 40 for 3 yards (75-V.Wilfork, 59-R.Colvin). EPA -0.2 WP 19%
- 13:03 BUF 2 & 7 (13:03) 23-M.Lynch up the middle to BUF 44 for 4 yards (94-T.Warren, 50-M.Vrabel). EPA -0.1 WP 19%
- 12:25 BUF 3 & 3 (12:25) 5-T.Edwards pass short left to 23-M.Lynch to BUF 46 for 2 yards (36-J.Sanders, 59-R.Colvin). EPA -1.2 WP 19%
- 11:38 BUF 4 & 1 (11:38) 8-B.Moorman punts 43 yards to NE 11, Center-72-R.Neill, fair catch by 33-K.Faulk. EPA +0.2 WP 15%
- 11:30 NWE 1 & 10 (11:30) 39-L.Maroney up the middle to NE 5 for -6 yards (95-K.Williams, 25-K.Thomas). EPA -1.3 WP 85%
- 10:55 NWE 2 & 16 (10:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NE 15 for 10 yards (25-K.Thomas). EPA +0.5 WP 83%
- 10:13 NWE 3 & 6 (10:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NE 26 for 11 yards (33-J.Greer) [90-C.Kelsay]. EPA +2.0 WP 84%
- 9:39 NWE 1 & 10 (9:39) (Shotgun) 39-L.Maroney right guard to NE 32 for 6 yards (99-J.Jefferson). EPA +0.3 WP 86%
- 9:03 NWE 2 & 4 (9:03) 12-T.Brady pass deep left to 81-R.Moss to BUF 23 for 45 yards (20-D.Whitner). NE 81-Moss now has 11,040 career rec yards. 19th player in NFL history with 11,000+ rec yards. EPA +2.9 WP 87%
- 8:17 NWE 1 & 10 (8:17) 39-L.Maroney right end to BUF 8 for 15 yards (42-J.Leonhard, 20-D.Whitner). EPA +0.9 WP 91%
- 7:39 NWE 1 & 8 (7:39) (Shotgun) 39-L.Maroney right guard to BUF 1 for 7 yards (20-D.Whitner, 25-K.Thomas). EPA +0.8 WP 92%
- 7:00 NWE 2 & 1 (7:00) NE 50-Vrabel & 55-Seau eligible. 12-T.Brady sacked at BUF 4 for -3 yards (sack split by 94-A.Schobel and 52-J.DiGiorgio). BUF 94-Schobel now has 61.5 career sacks, tied for 2nd in Bills history. EPA -1.6 WP 94%
- 6:26 NWE 3 & 4 (6:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 10-J.Gaffney for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +2.5 WP 92%
- 6:22 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0 WP 94%
- 6:22 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 73 yards from NE 30 to BUF -3. 39-J.Scobey to BUF 26 for 29 yards (36-J.Sanders). EPA +0.4 WP 5%
- 6:17 BUF 1 & 10 (6:17) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short left to 83-L.Evans [94-T.Warren]. EPA -0.5 WP 6%
- 6:14 BUF 2 & 10 (6:14) 23-M.Lynch up the middle to BUF 30 for 4 yards (50-M.Vrabel, 36-J.Sanders). EPA -0.3 WP 5%
- 5:36 BUF 3 & 6 (5:36) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards sacked at BUF 21 for -9 yards (97-J.Green). EPA -2.2 WP 5%
- 5:09 BUF 4 & 15 (5:09) 8-B.Moorman punts 37 yards to NE 42, Center-72-R.Neill, out of bounds. EPA +0.1 WP 3%
- 5:03 NWE 1 & 10 (5:03) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 81-R.Moss to NE 49 for 7 yards (20-D.Whitner, 26-A.Youboty). EPA +0.4 WP 97%
- 4:32 NWE 2 & 3 (4:32) (Shotgun) 34-S.Morris left guard to BUF 41 for 10 yards (52-J.DiGiorgio). EPA +0.8 WP 97%
- 3:59 NWE 1 & 10 (3:59) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 83-W.Welker to BUF 15 for 26 yards. Lateral to 81-R.Moss pushed ob at BUF 4 for 11 yards (25-K.Thomas). EPA +2.5 WP 98%
- 3:29 NWE 1 & 4 (3:29) 34-S.Morris up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +1.1 WP 98%
- 3:26 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0 WP 99%
- 3:26 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 71 yards from NE 30 to BUF -1. 39-J.Scobey to BUF 22 for 23 yards (58-P.Woods). EPA +0.0 WP 0%
- 3:22 BUF 1 & 10 (3:22) 5-T.Edwards pass short right to 83-L.Evans to BUF 29 for 7 yards (54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.6 WP 0%
- 2:47 BUF 2 & 3 (2:47) 5-T.Edwards pass short middle to 81-P.Price to BUF 36 for 7 yards (59-R.Colvin). EPA +0.5 WP 0%
- 2:13 BUF 1 & 10 (2:13) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short right to 82-J.Reed pushed ob at BUF 42 for 6 yards (96-A.Thomas) [94-T.Warren]. EPA +0.2 WP 1%
- 1:53 BUF 2 & 4 (1:53) 23-M.Lynch left guard to BUF 45 for 3 yards (97-J.Green). EPA -0.1 WP 1%
- 1:16 BUF 3 & 1 (1:16) 23-M.Lynch left tackle to BUF 45 for no gain (50-M.Vrabel, 55-J.Seau). EPA -1.7 WP 0%
- 0:40 BUF 4 & 1 (:40) 8-B.Moorman punts 53 yards to NE 2, Center-72-R.Neill, downed by BUF-42-J.Leonhard. ball saved from going into end zone by BUF 29-Wendling. EPA +0.7 WP 0%
- 0:28 NWE 1 & 10 (:28) 44-H.Evans right guard to NE 11 for 9 yards (33-J.Greer). EPA +0.8 WP 100%
- 0:00 NWE END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0 WP 100%
Quarter 4
- 15:00 NWE 2 & 1 (15:00) (Shotgun) 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NE 13 for 2 yards (53-M.Haggan). EPA -0.2 WP 100%
- 14:20 NWE 1 & 10 (14:20) PENALTY on BUF-90-C.Kelsay, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at NE 13 - No Play. EPA +0.7 WP 100%
- 14:00 NWE 1 & 5 (14:00) NE 68-O'Callaghan eligible. 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 88-K.Brady. EPA -0.6 WP 100%
- 13:55 NWE 2 & 5 (13:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 81-R.Moss. EPA -0.7 WP 100%
- 13:51 NWE 3 & 5 (13:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NE 28 for 10 yards (90-C.Kelsay). EPA +1.7 WP 100%
- 13:16 NWE 1 & 10 (13:16) 39-L.Maroney left end to NE 37 for 9 yards (52-J.DiGiorgio, 97-J.McCargo). EPA +0.8 WP 100%
- 12:36 NWE 2 & 1 (12:36) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NE 36 for -1 yards (25-K.Thomas, 20-D.Whitner). EPA -0.8 WP 100%
- 11:53 NWE 3 & 2 (11:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 33-K.Faulk to NE 46 for 10 yards (43-B.Scott). EPA +1.2 WP 100%
- 11:13 NWE 1 & 10 (11:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to BUF 45 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell, 20-D.Whitner) [72-R.Neill]. EPA +0.6 WP 100%
- 10:28 NWE 2 & 1 (10:28) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 1st receiver in NFL history to have 100+ rec yards in each of his 1st 3 games with a new team. NE 81-Moss 49th career 100-yard receiving game NE 12-Brady 16th career 300-yard game. TD EPA +3.9 WP 100%
- 10:22 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0 WP 100%
- 10:22 BUF 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 70 yards from NE 30 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0 WP 0%
- 10:22 BUF 1 & 10 (10:22) 5-T.Edwards pass short left to 11-R.Parrish ran ob at BUF 34 for 14 yards. EPA +0.8 WP 0%
- 9:58 BUF 1 & 10 (9:58) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete deep left to 83-L.Evans (27-E.Hobbs). EPA -0.5 WP 0%
- 9:49 BUF 2 & 10 (9:49) 23-M.Lynch left guard to BUF 46 for 12 yards (59-R.Colvin, 27-E.Hobbs). EPA +1.4 WP 0%
- 9:10 BUF 1 & 10 (9:10) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short left to 83-L.Evans [55-J.Seau]. EPA -0.4 WP 0%
- 9:07 BUF 2 & 10 (9:07) 23-M.Lynch up the middle to 50 for 4 yards (55-J.Seau, 31-B.Meriweather). EPA -0.4 WP 0%
- 8:29 BUF 3 & 6 (8:29) 5-T.Edwards pass incomplete short right to 84-R.Royal [75-V.Wilfork]. EPA -1.5 WP 0%
- 8:22 BUF 4 & 6 (8:22) 8-B.Moorman punts 22 yards to NE 28, Center-72-R.Neill, out of bounds. EPA -0.9 WP 0%
- 8:15 NWE 1 & 10 (8:15) NE 16-Cassel now at QB. 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NE 30 for 2 yards (94-A.Schobel, 52-J.DiGiorgio). EPA -0.3 WP 100%
- 7:38 NWE 2 & 8 (7:38) 39-L.Maroney right tackle to NE 33 for 3 yards (90-C.Kelsay, 98-L.Tripplett). EPA -0.3 WP 100%
- 6:59 NWE 3 & 5 (6:59) 39-L.Maroney up the middle to NE 37 for 4 yards (20-D.Whitner, 55-A.Crowell). NE 39-Maroney 2nd career 100-yard game. EPA -0.8 WP 100%
- 6:16 NWE 4 & 1 (6:16) 6-C.Hanson punts 30 yards to BUF 33, Center-66-L.Paxton, out of bounds. EPA -1.2 WP 100%
- 6:09 BUF 1 & 10 (6:09) 5-T.Edwards pass deep right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 46. 22-A.Samuel ran ob at BUF 12 for 42 yards. EPA -6.1 WP 0%
- 5:57 NWE 1 & 10 (5:57) 34-S.Morris left tackle to BUF 11 for 1 yard (52-J.DiGiorgio, 94-A.Schobel). EPA -0.4 WP 100%
- 5:17 NWE 2 & 9 (5:17) 34-S.Morris left guard to BUF 9 for 2 yards (97-J.McCargo, 90-C.Kelsay). EPA -0.5 WP 100%
- 4:38 NWE 3 & 7 (4:38) 34-S.Morris right tackle to BUF 8 for 1 yard (52-J.DiGiorgio). EPA -1.1 WP 100%
- 3:55 NWE 4 & 6 (3:55) NE 50-Vrabel & 55-Seau eligible. 44-H.Evans up the middle to BUF 6 for 2 yards (52-J.DiGiorgio, 95-K.Williams). EPA -2.5 WP 100%
- 3:50 BUF 1 & 10 (3:50) 31-D.Wright up the middle to BUF 10 for 4 yards (90-L.Smith, 36-J.Sanders). EPA -0.2 WP 0%
- 3:10 BUF 2 & 6 (3:10) 31-D.Wright up the middle to BUF 15 for 5 yards (52-E.Alexander, 32-R.Baker). EPA +0.3 WP 0%
- 2:32 BUF 3 & 1 (2:32) 31-D.Wright up the middle to BUF 19 for 4 yards (52-E.Alexander, 32-R.Baker). EPA +0.4 WP 0%
- 2:00 BUF 1 & 10 (2:00) 31-D.Wright right tackle to BUF 31 for 12 yards (32-R.Baker, 31-B.Meriweather). EPA +0.5 WP 0%
- 1:22 BUF 1 & 10 (1:22) 31-D.Wright left end to BUF 34 for 3 yards (96-A.Thomas, 31-B.Meriweather). EPA -0.4 WP 0%
- 0:41 BUF 2 & 7 (:41) 31-D.Wright left guard to BUF 42 for 8 yards (96-A.Thomas, 27-E.Hobbs). EPA -0.5 WP 0%
- 0:00 BUF END GAME