From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20β7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(11:11) 33-W.Lundy up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6β0
Q1
11:08
HST
3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
7β0
Q1
4:55
HST
(4:55) 3-K.Brown 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
10β0
Q2
14:53
JAX
(14:53) 10-J.Scobee 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
10β3
Q3
4:58
HST
(4:58) 3-K.Brown 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
13β3
Q4
4:36
JAX
(4:36) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13β9
Q4
4:32
JAX
10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
13β10
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. JAX closed at 0%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q2
2:27
JAX
(2:27) 9-D.Garrard pass intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Faggins at HOU 43. 38-D.Faggins to HOU 43 for no gain (18-M.Jones).
40% β 25%
-15%
-3.91
Q1
11:32
HST
(11:32) 8-D.Carr pass deep right to 80-A.Johnson ran ob at JAX 1 for 41 yards.
47% β 62%
+15%
+3.59
Q3
8:05
JAX
(8:05) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 92-A.Weaver (38-D.Faggins) at HOU 48. 92-A.Weaver to JAX 31 for 21 yards (63-B.Meester).
31% β 17%
-14%
-5.62
Q4
7:25
JAX
(7:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Robinson at HOU -5. Touchback.
19% β 5%
-14%
-4.13
Q2
4:41
HST
(4:41) 3-K.Brown 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley.
75% β 65%
-10%
-3.29
Q4
1:40
HST
(1:40) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 42 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith).
86% β 95%
+9%
+0.17
Q1
9:16
JAX
(9:16) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 87-G.Wrighster INTERCEPTED by 56-M.Greenwood (59-D.Ryans) [59-D.Ryans] at JAX 41. 56-M.Greenwood to JAX 41 for no gain (87-G.Wrighster).
38% β 29%
-9%
-4.23
Q4
2:05
JAX
(2:05) 2-C.Hanson punts 37 yards to HOU 37, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 25-D.Wynn. PENALTY on HOU-25-D.Wynn, Invalid Fair Catch Signal, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 37.
21% β 12%
-9%
-0.19
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
11:11 HST 2 & 1 (11:11) 33-W.Lundy up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +1.1WP 61%
11:08 HST 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. EPA +0.0WP 61%
11:08 JAX 3-K.Brown kicks 67 yards from HOU 30 to JAX 3. 32-M.Jones-Drew MUFFS catch, touched at JAX 3, and recovers at JAX 3. 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 14 for 11 yards (85-K.Walter). EPA -0.4WP 38%
11:03 JAX 1 & 10 (11:03) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 28-F.Taylor to JAX 21 for 7 yards (95-A.Maddox). EPA +0.3WP 38%
10:26 JAX 2 & 3 (10:26) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 27 for 6 yards (59-D.Ryans). EPA +0.7WP 39%
9:49 JAX 1 & 10 (9:49) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 28-F.Taylor to JAX 26 for -1 yards (56-M.Greenwood). PENALTY on HOU-38-D.Faggins, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 27 - No Play. EPA +0.4WP 39%
9:21 JAX 1 & 10 (9:21) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short left to 11-R.Williams. EPA -0.5WP 40%
9:16 JAX 2 & 10 (9:16) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle intended for 87-G.Wrighster INTERCEPTED by 56-M.Greenwood (59-D.Ryans) [59-D.Ryans] at JAX 41. 56-M.Greenwood to JAX 41 for no gain (87-G.Wrighster). EPA -4.2WP 38%
9:10 HST 1 & 10 (9:10) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 81-O.Daniels to JAX 29 for 12 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA +0.8WP 71%
8:31 HST 1 & 10 (8:31) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 84-E.Moulds pushed ob at JAX 20 for 9 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA +0.6WP 73%
8:03 HST 2 & 1 (8:03) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to JAX 18 for 2 yards (75-M.Wiley; 98-J.Henderson). EPA +0.1WP 74%
7:28 HST 1 & 10 (7:28) 33-W.Lundy left tackle to JAX 22 for -4 yards (51-C.Ingram). EPA -1.0WP 75%
6:47 HST 2 & 14 (6:47) 8-D.Carr scrambles left end ran ob at JAX 9 for 13 yards (37-D.Grant). EPA +1.1WP 72%
6:18 HST 3 & 1 (6:18) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to JAX 7 for 2 yards (55-N.Greisen). EPA +0.7WP 77%
5:45 HST 1 & 7 (5:45) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 80-A.Johnson. EPA -0.5WP 77%
5:39 HST 2 & 7 (5:39) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to JAX 6 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith). EPA -0.8WP 76%
5:01 HST 3 & 6 (5:01) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short middle to 80-A.Johnson (96-T.McDaniel). EPA -1.1WP 76%
4:55 HST 4 & 6 (4:55) 3-K.Brown 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. EPA +0.1WP 73%
4:52 JAX 3-K.Brown kicks 70 yards from HOU 30 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 29%
4:52 JAX 1 & 10 (4:52) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to JAX 21 for 1 yard (92-A.Weaver). EPA -0.6WP 29%
4:12 JAX 2 & 9 (4:12) 9-D.Garrard scrambles ran ob at JAX 34 for 13 yards (56-M.Greenwood). EPA +1.5WP 28%
3:41 JAX 1 & 10 (3:41) PENALTY on JAX-65-C.Naeole, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 34 - No Play. EPA -0.5WP 31%
3:23 JAX 1 & 15 (3:23) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 19-E.Wilford to HOU 46 for 25 yards (56-M.Greenwood) [59-D.Ryans]. EPA +1.8WP 29%
2:32 JAX 1 & 10 (2:32) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 18-M.Jones. EPA -0.4WP 33%
2:25 JAX 2 & 10 (2:25) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to HOU 44 for 2 yards (59-D.Ryans). EPA -0.7WP 31%
1:46 JAX 3 & 8 (1:46) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-R.Williams to HOU 32 for 12 yards (21-L.Sanders, 26-G.Earl). EPA +2.0WP 27%
1:05 JAX 1 & 10 (1:05) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to HOU 29 for 3 yards (96-Th.Johnson). EPA -0.1WP 35%
0:34 JAX 2 & 7 (:34) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to HOU 26 for 3 yards (52-K.Wong). EPA -0.2WP 34%
13:27 JAX 1 & 10 (13:27) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 28-F.Taylor pushed ob at JAX 34 for 2 yards (23-D.Robinson). EPA -0.4WP 39%
12:58 JAX 2 & 8 (12:58) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to JAX 35 for 1 yard. FUMBLES, recovered by JAX-11-R.Williams at JAX 39. 11-R.Williams to JAX 39 for no gain (24-C.Brown). EPA +0.0WP 38%
12:15 JAX 3 & 3 (12:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short middle to 19-E.Wilford. EPA -1.5WP 38%
12:01 HST 1 & 10 (12:01) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to HOU 26 for 6 yards (55-N.Greisen). EPA +0.3WP 65%
11:28 HST 2 & 4 (11:28) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 43-J.Cook. EPA -0.7WP 66%
11:26 HST 3 & 4 (11:26) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 84-E.Moulds pushed ob at HOU 32 for 6 yards (27-R.Mathis). EPA +1.2WP 65%
11:04 HST 1 & 10 (11:04) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to HOU 31 for -1 yards (98-J.Henderson). EPA -0.8WP 68%
10:23 HST 2 & 11 (10:23) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 80-A.Johnson (95-P.Spicer). EPA -0.7WP 64%
10:18 HST 3 & 11 (10:18) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 88-J.Putzier (37-D.Grant). PENALTY on JAX-93-B.McCray, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 31 - No Play. EPA +1.8WP 63%
10:09 HST 1 & 10 (10:09) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to HOU 40 for 4 yards (20-D.Darius, 75-M.Wiley). EPA -0.2WP 70%
9:35 HST 2 & 6 (9:35) 8-D.Carr pass deep right to 81-O.Daniels to JAX 39 for 21 yards (95-P.Spicer). EPA +1.8WP 69%
8:52 HST 1 & 10 (8:52) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to JAX 37 for 2 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA -0.4WP 74%
8:11 HST 2 & 8 (8:11) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 85-K.Walter to JAX 26 for 11 yards (37-D.Grant). EPA +1.3WP 73%
7:32 HST 1 & 10 (7:32) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to JAX 27 for -1 yards (92-R.Meier). EPA -0.7WP 76%
6:55 HST 2 & 11 (6:55) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 81-O.Daniels (98-J.Henderson). EPA -0.5WP 74%
6:49 HST 3 & 11 (6:49) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr scrambles up the middle to JAX 13 for 14 yards (20-D.Darius). EPA +2.1WP 73%
6:09 HST 1 & 10 (6:09) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 84-E.Moulds to JAX 14 for -1 yards (27-R.Mathis). EPA -0.8WP 79%
5:26 HST 2 & 11 (5:26) 33-W.Lundy up the middle to JAX 13 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith, 20-D.Darius). EPA -0.4WP 77%
4:46 HST 3 & 10 (4:46) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 84-E.Moulds. EPA -0.9WP 78%
4:41 HST 4 & 10 (4:41) 3-K.Brown 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. EPA -3.3WP 75%
4:37 JAX 1 & 10 (4:37) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete deep middle to 19-E.Wilford. EPA -0.5WP 35%
4:29 JAX 2 & 10 (4:29) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 34 for 12 yards (38-D.Faggins). EPA +1.3WP 34%
3:44 JAX 1 & 10 (3:44) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 18-M.Jones to JAX 45 for 11 yards (59-D.Ryans). EPA +0.5WP 38%
3:04 JAX 1 & 10 (3:04) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 89-M.Lewis to HOU 49 for 6 yards (56-M.Greenwood). EPA +0.3WP 41%
2:27 JAX 2 & 4 (2:27) 9-D.Garrard pass intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Faggins at HOU 43. 38-D.Faggins to HOU 43 for no gain (18-M.Jones). EPA -3.9WP 40%
2:22 HST 1 & 10 (2:22) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 43-J.Cook to HOU 44 for 1 yard (55-N.Greisen). EPA -0.4WP 75%
2:00 HST 2 & 9 (2:00) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 80-A.Johnson to JAX 45 for 11 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA +1.1WP 73%
1:32 HST 1 & 10 (1:32) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 80-A.Johnson (96-T.McDaniel). EPA -0.2WP 76%
1:28 HST 2 & 10 (1:28) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 35-S.Gado to JAX 39 for 6 yards (55-N.Greisen). EPA -0.1WP 75%
1:19 Timeout #1 by HOU at 01:19. EPA +0.0WP 76%
1:19 HST 3 & 4 (1:19) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 80-A.Johnson (95-P.Spicer). EPA -1.6WP 76%
1:06 JAX 1 & 10 (1:06) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to JAX 11 for 2 yards (59-D.Ryans). EPA -0.1WP 33%
1:00 Timeout #2 by HOU at 01:00. EPA +0.0WP 32%
1:00 JAX 2 & 8 (1:00) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-65-C.Naeole, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 11 - No Play. EPA -0.2WP 32%
1:00 JAX 2 & 13 (1:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 32-M.Jones-Drew. EPA -0.2WP 29%
0:56 JAX 3 & 13 (:56) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 24 for 18 yards (59-D.Ryans). EPA +0.7WP 27%
0:48 Timeout #1 by JAX at 00:48. EPA +0.0WP 34%
0:48 JAX 1 & 10 (:48) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 22 for -2 yards (93-J.Babin). EPA -0.2WP 34%
0:38 Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:38. EPA +0.0WP 31%
0:38 JAX 2 & 12 (:38) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 28 for 6 yards (23-D.Robinson). EPA -0.1WP 31%
0:17 JAX 3 & 6 (:17) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 39 for 11 yards (30-J.Simmons). EPA +0.1WP 31%
0:11 Timeout #3 by JAX at 00:11. EPA +0.0WP 29%
0:11 JAX 1 & 10 (:11) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 87-G.Wrighster pushed ob at JAX 47 for 8 yards (23-D.Robinson). EPA +0.1WP 29%
0:05 JAX 2 & 2 (:05) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete deep right to 19-E.Wilford (26-G.Earl). EPA -0.2WP 33%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 29%
Quarter 3
15:00 JAX 3-K.Brown kicks 61 yards from HOU 30 to JAX 9. 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 28 for 19 yards (30-J.Simmons). EPA +0.6WP 29%
14:55 JAX 1 & 10 (14:55) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 29 for 1 yard (26-G.Earl). EPA -0.3WP 30%
14:18 JAX 2 & 9 (14:18) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to JAX 32 for 3 yards (56-M.Greenwood). EPA -0.4WP 28%
13:37 JAX 3 & 6 (13:37) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short middle to 11-R.Williams. EPA -1.4WP 28%
13:31 JAX 4 & 6 (13:31) 2-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to HOU 28, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 25-D.Wynn to HOU 40 for 12 yards (50-T.Gilbert). PENALTY on JAX-52-D.Smith, Ineligible Downfield Kick, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 40. EPA -1.1WP 25%
13:20 HST 1 & 10 (13:20) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 33-W.Lundy. EPA -0.5WP 77%
13:15 HST 2 & 10 (13:15) 33-W.Lundy left tackle to 50 for 5 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA -0.2WP 75%
12:39 HST 3 & 5 (12:39) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 88-J.Putzier to JAX 40 for 10 yards (37-D.Grant). EPA +1.9WP 74%
12:05 HST 1 & 10 (12:05) 35-S.Gado up the middle to JAX 31 for 9 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA +0.7WP 79%
11:25 HST 2 & 1 (11:25) 43-J.Cook up the middle to JAX 30 for 1 yard (75-M.Wiley). EPA -0.0WP 80%
10:46 HST 1 & 10 (10:46) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete deep right to 80-A.Johnson (27-R.Mathis). EPA -0.4WP 80%
10:39 HST 2 & 10 (10:39) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 43-J.Cook. EPA -0.6WP 79%
10:33 HST 3 & 10 (10:33) (Shotgun) 8-D.Carr left end to JAX 19 for 11 yards (51-C.Ingram). EPA +1.7WP 77%
9:49 HST 1 & 10 (9:49) 35-S.Gado left tackle to JAX 23 for -4 yards (93-B.McCray). EPA -0.9WP 83%
9:07 HST 2 & 14 (9:07) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 84-E.Moulds. PENALTY on HOU-8-D.Carr, Intentional Grounding, 16 yards, enforced at JAX 23. EPA -2.2WP 80%
9:02 HST 3 & 30 (9:02) PENALTY on JAX-93-B.McCray, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 39 - No Play. EPA +0.4WP 74%
9:01 HST 3 & 25 (9:01) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 35-S.Gado. EPA -0.6WP 74%
8:54 HST 4 & 25 (8:54) 3-K.Brown 52 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. EPA -3.5WP 73%
8:49 JAX 1 & 10 (8:49) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 44 for 2 yards (52-K.Wong). EPA -0.3WP 31%
8:05 JAX 2 & 8 (8:05) 9-D.Garrard pass short left intended for 18-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 92-A.Weaver (38-D.Faggins) at HOU 48. 92-A.Weaver to JAX 31 for 21 yards (63-B.Meester). EPA -5.6WP 31%
7:56 HST 1 & 10 (7:56) 35-S.Gado up the middle to JAX 28 for 3 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA -0.1WP 83%
7:22 HST 2 & 7 (7:22) 35-S.Gado right end to JAX 24 for 4 yards (75-M.Wiley). EPA +0.0WP 84%
6:51 HST 3 & 3 (6:51) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 43-J.Cook to JAX 15 for 9 yards (51-C.Ingram). EPA +1.1WP 84%
6:18 HST 1 & 10 (6:18) 35-S.Gado up the middle to JAX 14 for 1 yard (98-J.Henderson). EPA -0.4WP 87%
5:40 HST 2 & 9 (5:40) 8-D.Carr pass to 80-A.Johnson to JAX 10 for 4 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh). EPA -0.3WP 86%
5:03 HST 3 & 5 (5:03) 8-D.Carr pass incomplete short right to 80-A.Johnson. EPA -1.2WP 85%
4:58 HST 4 & 5 (4:58) 3-K.Brown 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-7-C.Stanley. EPA +0.2WP 84%
4:55 JAX 3-K.Brown kicks 73 yards from HOU 30 to JAX -3. 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 21 for 24 yards (53-S.Orr). EPA +0.0WP 17%
4:49 JAX 1 & 10 (4:49) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete deep middle to 19-E.Wilford (24-C.Brown). EPA -0.5WP 18%
4:40 JAX 2 & 10 (4:40) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete deep middle to 11-R.Williams. EPA -0.7WP 17%
4:34 JAX 3 & 10 (4:34) 9-D.Garrard scrambles to JAX 37 for 16 yards (26-G.Earl). EPA +2.5WP 15%
3:50 JAX 1 & 10 (3:50) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 42 for 5 yards (90-M.Williams). EPA +0.0WP 19%
3:13 JAX 2 & 5 (3:13) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 32-M.Jones-Drew to HOU 37 for 21 yards (23-D.Robinson). EPA +1.5WP 18%
2:31 JAX 1 & 10 (2:31) 9-D.Garrard sacked at HOU 45 for -8 yards (93-J.Babin). EPA -1.4WP 23%
2:11 JAX 2 & 18 (2:11) 9-D.Garrard scrambles left end to HOU 39 for 6 yards (94-N.Kalu). EPA -0.4WP 19%
1:28 JAX 3 & 12 (1:28) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short middle to 87-G.Wrighster (92-A.Weaver). EPA -1.5WP 17%
1:17 HST 1 & 10 (1:17) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 15 for 4 yards (55-N.Greisen). PENALTY on JAX-96-T.McDaniel, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 15. EPA +0.6WP 86%
0:54 HST 1 & 10 (:54) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 26 for 6 yards (20-D.Darius). EPA +0.3WP 86%
0:15 HST 2 & 4 (:15) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 26 for no gain (96-T.McDaniel). HOU-96-Th.Johnson was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. PENALTY on HOU-69-C.Pitts, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 26 - No Play. EPA -1.4WP 88%
0:00 HST END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 85%
Quarter 4
15:00 HST 2 & 14 (15:00) 35-S.Gado right tackle to HOU 22 for 6 yards (51-C.Ingram). EPA -0.0WP 85%
14:28 HST 3 & 8 (14:28) 8-D.Carr pass short right to 81-O.Daniels to HOU 36 for 14 yards (20-D.Darius) [51-C.Ingram]. HOU-8-D.Carr was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. EPA +2.2WP 86%
13:57 HST 1 & 10 (13:57) 35-S.Gado right tackle to HOU 37 for 1 yard (98-J.Henderson). HT18 at QB. EPA -0.5WP 90%
13:18 HST 2 & 9 (13:18) PENALTY on HOU-72-Z.Wiegert, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 37 - No Play. EPA -0.5WP 90%
13:06 HST 2 & 14 (13:06) 18-S.Rosenfels sacked at HOU 27 for -5 yards (95-P.Spicer). EPA -1.0WP 88%
12:34 HST 3 & 19 (12:34) 35-S.Gado up the middle pushed ob at HOU 40 for 13 yards (37-D.Grant). PENALTY on JAX-29-B.Williams, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 40. EPA +3.3WP 86%
12:05 HST 1 & 10 (12:05) 35-S.Gado up the middle to JAX 40 for 5 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA +0.1WP 93%
11:25 HST 2 & 5 (11:25) 35-S.Gado up the middle to JAX 39 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith). FUMBLES (52-D.Smith), recovered by HOU-69-C.Pitts at JAX 39. 69-C.Pitts to JAX 39 for no gain (96-T.McDaniel). EPA -0.6WP 92%
10:38 HST 3 & 4 (10:38) 33-W.Lundy sacked at JAX 48 for -9 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA -2.7WP 93%
10:00 JAX 1 & 10 (10:00) 9-D.Garrard right end to JAX 27 for 9 yards (23-D.Robinson). EPA +0.8WP 12%
9:17 JAX 2 & 1 (9:17) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 28-F.Taylor to JAX 45 for 18 yards (59-D.Ryans). EPA +0.8WP 11%
8:43 JAX 1 & 10 (8:43) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 28-F.Taylor to HOU 19 for 36 yards (23-D.Robinson). EPA +2.2WP 14%
8:10 JAX 1 & 10 (8:10) 32-M.Jones-Drew right end to HOU 13 for 6 yards (52-K.Wong). EPA +0.3WP 22%
7:44 JAX 2 & 4 (7:44) 32-M.Jones-Drew left end to HOU 3 for 10 yards (24-C.Brown). PENALTY on JAX-11-R.Williams, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 13 - No Play. EPA -1.3WP 21%
7:25 JAX 2 & 14 (7:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle intended for 19-E.Wilford INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Robinson at HOU -5. Touchback. EPA -4.1WP 19%
7:17 HST 1 & 10 (7:17) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 26 for 6 yards (20-D.Darius). EPA +0.1WP 95%
6:35 HST 2 & 4 (6:35) 35-S.Gado left tackle to HOU 28 for 2 yards (95-P.Spicer). EPA -0.4WP 96%
5:51 HST 3 & 2 (5:51) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete short left to 80-A.Johnson (29-B.Williams). EPA -1.3WP 96%
5:40 JAX 1 & 10 (5:40) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 19-E.Wilford to HOU 35 for 25 yards (23-D.Robinson, 26-G.Earl). EPA +1.7WP 8%
5:14 JAX 1 & 10 (5:14) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short left to 18-M.Jones. EPA -0.4WP 12%
5:12 JAX 2 & 10 (5:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 28-F.Taylor to HOU 27 for 8 yards (93-J.Babin). EPA +0.2WP 11%
4:46 JAX 3 & 2 (4:46) (Shotgun) 28-F.Taylor up the middle pushed ob at HOU 3 for 24 yards (38-D.Faggins). EPA +2.6WP 11%
4:36 JAX 1 & 3 (4:36) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +1.1WP 19%
4:32 JAX 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0WP 25%
4:32 HST 10-J.Scobee kicks 60 yards from JAX 30 to HOU 10. 25-D.Wynn to HOU 26 for 16 yards (43-G.Sensabaugh). EPA +0.3WP 73%
4:27 HST 1 & 10 (4:27) 18-S.Rosenfels pass incomplete short left to 81-O.Daniels (20-D.Darius). Play Challenged by HOU and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by HOU.) EPA -0.5WP 74%
4:20 HST 2 & 10 (4:20) 18-S.Rosenfels pass short middle to 33-W.Lundy to HOU 29 for 3 yards (52-D.Smith). PENALTY on HOU-70-F.Weary, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 26 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 72%
4:14 HST 2 & 20 (4:14) 33-W.Lundy right tackle to HOU 22 for 6 yards (27-R.Mathis). EPA -0.2WP 69%
3:28 HST 3 & 14 (3:28) 18-S.Rosenfels pass short middle to 33-W.Lundy to HOU 31 for 9 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA +0.0WP 67%
2:42 HST 4 & 5 (2:42) 7-C.Stanley punts 37 yards to JAX 32, Center-48-B.Pittman. 34-A.Pearman to JAX 36 for 4 yards (48-B.Pittman). EPA -0.7WP 63%
2:34 JAX 1 & 10 (2:34) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete deep right to 87-G.Wrighster. EPA -0.4WP 40%
2:29 JAX 2 & 10 (2:29) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 28-F.Taylor. EPA -0.5WP 36%
2:24 JAX 3 & 10 (2:24) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 85-C.Hankton to HOU 27 for 37 yards (21-L.Sanders). HOU-72-Z.Wiegert was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. PENALTY on JAX-11-R.Williams, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 36 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 32%
2:16 JAX 3 & 20 (2:16) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete deep right to 19-E.Wilford. EPA -0.7WP 27%
2:05 JAX 4 & 20 (2:05) 2-C.Hanson punts 37 yards to HOU 37, Center-88-J.Zelenka, fair catch by 25-D.Wynn. PENALTY on HOU-25-D.Wynn, Invalid Fair Catch Signal, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 37. EPA -0.2WP 21%
1:58 HST 1 & 10 (1:58) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 35 for 3 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA -0.4WP 88%
1:54 Timeout #1 by JAX at 01:54. EPA +0.0WP 86%
1:54 HST 2 & 7 (1:54) 35-S.Gado right tackle to HOU 41 for 6 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA +0.2WP 86%
1:47 Timeout #2 by JAX at 01:47. EPA +0.0WP 88%
1:47 HST 3 & 1 (1:47) 18-S.Rosenfels up the middle to HOU 41 for no gain (92-R.Meier). EPA -1.1WP 88%
1:40 Timeout #3 by JAX at 01:40. EPA +0.0WP 86%
1:40 HST 4 & 1 (1:40) 35-S.Gado up the middle to HOU 42 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith). EPA +0.2WP 86%
1:00 HST 1 & 10 (1:00) 18-S.Rosenfels kneels to HOU 41 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0WP 95%
0:33 HST 2 & 11 (:33) 18-S.Rosenfels kneels to HOU 40 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0WP 95%