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New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills 7–17
1999-11-28 · 1999 week 12 · NFL · Ralph Wilson Stadium (outdoors, astroturf) · 40°F, wind 17 mph · Coaches: Pete Carroll (away), Wade Phillips (home) · Referee Ed Hochuli · Line: Buffalo Bills +4, O/U 38
New England Patriots 1999 · Buffalo Bills 1999 · 1999 season
Score by quarter
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| BUF | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
Scoring plays
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 6:46 | BUF | (6:46) S.Christie 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Ostroski, Holder-C.Mohr. | 0–3 |
| Q2 | 1:09 | BUF | (1:09) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass to E.Moulds for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NE 25, left side (defender Israel fell down at NE 40.) | 0–9 |
| Q2 | 1:01 | BUF | S.Christie extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Albright, Holder-C.Mohr. | 0–10 |
| Q3 | 11:41 | BUF | (11:41) D.Flutie pass to S.Gash for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NE 29, right side. Spins around defender at NE 20 to stay inbounds. | 0–16 |
| Q3 | 10:21 | BUF | S.Christie extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Albright, Holder-C.Mohr. | 0–17 |
| Q4 | 3:21 | NWE | (3:21) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Glenn for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 6–17 |
| Q4 | 2:41 | NWE | A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Bartrum, Holder-L.Johnson. | 7–17 |
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. BUF closed at 100%.
Turning points
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Win prob. | Swing | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 15:00 | BUF | A.Vinatieri kicks 71 yards from NE 30 to BUF -1. K.Williams to BUF 25 for 26 yards (L.Whigham). | 0% → 55% | +55% | +0.49 |
| Q2 | 13:56 | NWE | (13:56) D.Bledsoe pass intended for T.Brown INTERCEPTED by K.Irvin at BUF 16. K.Irvin to BUF 17 for 1 yard (T.Brown). Coverage near right sideline. | 50% → 36% | -14% | -3.08 |
| Q2 | 1:09 | BUF | (1:09) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass to E.Moulds for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NE 25, left side (defender Israel fell down at NE 40.) | 68% → 81% | +13% | +5.95 |
| Q1 | 6:46 | BUF | (6:46) D.Flutie pass incomplete to E.Moulds (C.Carter). Receiver and coverage at NE 8, left side, crossing to middle. PENALTY on NE-C.Carter, Defensive Pass Interference, 42 yards, enforced at NE 50 - No Play. | 56% → 69% | +13% | +3.26 |
| Q3 | 13:27 | BUF | (13:27) J.Linton right guard to BUF 42 for 6 yards (C.Eaton). FUMBLES (C.Eaton), RECOVERED by NE-S.Israel at BUF 43. | 88% → 79% | -9% | -4.34 |
| Q2 | 4:42 | NWE | (4:42) (Punt formation) L.Johnson left end ran ob at NE 35 for 13 yards. | 34% → 42% | +8% | +2.29 |
| Q3 | 10:21 | NWE | (10:21) K.Faulk up the middle to BUF 5 for 1 yard (J.Holecek). FUMBLES (J.Holecek), RECOVERED by BUF-S.Rogers at BUF 8. | 11% → 4% | -7% | -5.03 |
| Q1 | 6:46 | BUF | (6:46) D.Flutie left end to NE 10 for -7 yards (K.Serwanga). Bootleg left. | 68% → 61% | -7% | -1.76 |
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Team stats
| New England Patriots | Buffalo Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 15 | 11 |
| Total yards | 298 | 299 |
| Passing yards | 205 | 207 |
| Rushing yards | 93 | 92 |
| Comp–Att | 18–34 | 9–16 |
| Passing TD | 1 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 0 |
| Rushing attempts | 25 | 35 |
| Rushing TD | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 1 |
| Penalties–yards | 8–101 | 6–39 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Drew Bledsoe QB | 18 | 34 | 205 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 68.9 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Terry Allen RB | 13 | 47 | 0 | 3.6 | 0 |
 Kevin Faulk RB | 7 | 22 | 0 | 3.1 | 1 |
 Lee Johnson P | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13.0 | 0 |
| Drew Bledsoe QB | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3.0 | 0 |
| Lamont Warren RB | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Glenn WR | 3 | 5 | 69 | 1 | 23.0 |
| Shawn Jefferson WR | 3 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 12.0 |
| Lamont Warren RB | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 11.3 |
| Kevin Faulk RB | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 |
 Ben Coates TE | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Troy Brown WR | 1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 11.0 |
| Tony Simmons WR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 |
| Tony Carter RB | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 |
| Rod Rutledge TE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Chris Floyd FB | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tedy Bruschi ILB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Johnson P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 212 | |
 Adam Vinatieri K | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Doug Flutie QB | 9 | 16 | 207 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 140.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonathan Linton FB | 17 | 67 | 0 | 3.9 | 1 |
 Antowain Smith RB | 9 | 21 | 0 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Lennox Gordon RB | 3 | 18 | 0 | 6.0 | 0 |
| Doug Flutie QB | 5 | -7 | 0 | -1.4 | 0 |
| Peerless Price WR | 1 | -7 | 0 | -7.0 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eric Moulds WR | 1 | 3 | 54 | 1 | 54.0 |
| Bobby Collins TE | 1 | 1 | 45 | 0 | 45.0 |
| Jonathan Linton FB | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 12.3 |
 Sam Gash FB | 1 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 31.0 |
| Antowain Smith RB | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 23.0 |
 Andre Reed WR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 |
| Peerless Price WR | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Phil Hansen DE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| John Holecek ILB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ken Irvin DB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Henry Jones DB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gabe Northern DE | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Marlo Perry LB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sam Rogers OLB | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 Bruce Smith DE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ted Washington NT | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 Marcellus Wiley DE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Steve Christie K | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Mohr P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 207 |
Play-by-play
Show every play (164)
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
- 15:00 BUF A.Vinatieri kicks 71 yards from NE 30 to BUF -1. K.Williams to BUF 25 for 26 yards (L.Whigham). EPA +0.5 WP 0%
- 14:50 BUF 1 & 10 (14:50) A.Smith left end pushed ob at BUF 27 for 2 yards (T.Bruschi). EPA -0.4 WP 55%
- 14:50 BUF 2 & 8 (14:50) A.Smith right tackle to BUF 29 for 2 yards (W.McGinest). EPA -0.4 WP 53%
- 14:50 BUF 3 & 6 (14:50) D.Flutie FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 24, and recovers at BUF 24. D.Flutie to BUF 24 for no gain (W.McGinest). Fumble (unforced) before tag/tackle. EPA -2.0 WP 52%
- 14:50 BUF 4 & 11 (14:50) C.Mohr punts 41 yards to NE 35, Center-E.Albright. T.Brown to NE 36 for 1 yard (D.Brandenburg). EPA +0.5 WP 45%
- 13:09 NWE 1 & 10 (13:09) T.Allen up the middle to NE 39 for 3 yards (J.Holecek). EPA -0.2 WP 52%
- 13:09 NWE 2 & 7 (13:09) T.Allen up the middle to NE 39 for no gain (S.Cowart, B.Smith). EPA -0.8 WP 51%
- 13:09 NWE 3 & 7 (13:09) PENALTY on BUF-P.Hansen, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at NE 39 - No Play. EPA +0.8 WP 48%
- 13:09 NWE 3 & 2 (13:09) PENALTY on NE-B.Armstrong, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 44 - No Play. EPA -0.8 WP 50%
- 13:09 NWE 3 & 7 (13:09) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Brown. Receiver at NE 48, left side. Penalty incurred before ball was thrown. PENALTY on BUF-H.Jones, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NE 39 - No Play. EPA +1.5 WP 48%
- 13:09 NWE 1 & 10 (13:09) D.Bledsoe sacked at NE 39 for -5 yards (sack split by S.Rogers and G.Northern). EPA -1.1 WP 53%
- 13:09 NWE 2 & 15 (13:09) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Carter to NE 40 for 1 yard (S.Cowart). Flare pass, caught in right flat at NE 40. EPA -0.8 WP 50%
- 13:09 NWE 3 & 14 (13:09) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to B.Coates to BUF 47 for 13 yards (H.Jones, D.Greer). Caught over middle at NE 41. Measurement = fourth down. EPA +0.2 WP 47%
- 13:09 NWE 4 & 1 (13:09) D.Bledsoe up the middle to BUF 45 for 2 yards (S.Cowart). EPA +2.6 WP 49%
- 13:09 NWE 1 & 10 (13:09) T.Allen up the middle to BUF 44 for 1 yard (P.Hansen). EPA -0.5 WP 55%
- 13:09 NWE 2 & 9 (13:09) T.Allen left tackle pushed ob at BUF 32 for 12 yards (H.Jones). PENALTY on NE-B.Coates, Offensive Holding, 11 yards, enforced at BUF 44 - No Play. EPA -1.1 WP 53%
- 13:09 NWE 2 & 20 (13:09) D.Bledsoe pass to K.Faulk to BUF 49 for 6 yards (J.Holecek). Screen pass left, caught at NE 43. EPA -0.6 WP 51%
- 13:09 NWE 3 & 14 (13:09) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Simmons pushed ob at BUF 39 for 10 yards (M.Perry). Caught over middle at BUF 46, crossing right. EPA -0.5 WP 49%
- 13:09 NWE 4 & 4 (13:09) L.Johnson punts 39 yards to end zone, Center-M.Bartrum, Touchback. Kick through end zone. EPA -0.4 WP 50%
- 6:46 BUF 1 & 10 (6:46) A.Smith up the middle to BUF 24 for 4 yards (C.Eaton). PENALTY on NE-T.Law, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 20 - No Play. EPA +0.7 WP 54%
- 6:46 BUF 1 & 5 (6:46) J.Linton left tackle to BUF 30 for 5 yards (L.Milloy). EPA -0.0 WP 55%
- 6:46 BUF 1 & 10 (6:46) J.Linton right guard to BUF 34 for 4 yards (H.Thomas). EPA -0.1 WP 56%
- 6:46 BUF 2 & 6 (6:46) D.Flutie pass to A.Smith to NE 43 for 23 yards (A.Katzenmoyer). Flip pass. caught at BUF 36, right side. EPA +1.7 WP 56%
- 6:46 BUF 1 & 10 (6:46) P.Price left end to NE 50 for -7 yards (S.Israel). Reverse, handoff from A.Smith. EPA -1.1 WP 59%
- 6:46 BUF 2 & 17 (6:46) D.Flutie pass incomplete to E.Moulds (C.Carter). Receiver and coverage at NE 8, left side, crossing to middle. PENALTY on NE-C.Carter, Defensive Pass Interference, 42 yards, enforced at NE 50 - No Play. EPA +3.3 WP 56%
- 6:46 BUF 1 & 8 (6:46) A.Smith left guard to NE 6 for 2 yards (L.Milloy). EPA -0.2 WP 69%
- 6:46 BUF 2 & 6 (6:46) A.Smith up the middle to NE 3 for 3 yards (A.Katzenmoyer). EPA -0.4 WP 67%
- 6:46 BUF 3 & 3 (6:46) D.Flutie left end to NE 10 for -7 yards (K.Serwanga). Bootleg left. EPA -1.8 WP 68%
- 6:46 BUF 4 & 10 (6:46) S.Christie 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Ostroski, Holder-C.Mohr. EPA +0.3 WP 61%
- 1:32 NWE S.Christie kicks 61 yards from BUF 30 to NE 9. K.Faulk to NE 24 for 15 yards (K.Carpenter). EPA +0.1 WP 39%
- 1:23 NWE 1 & 10 (1:23) T.Allen up the middle to NE 27 for 3 yards (G.Northern). EPA -0.1 WP 41%
- 1:23 NWE 2 & 7 (1:23) T.Allen left guard to NE 43 for 16 yards (H.Jones). EPA +1.4 WP 40%
- 1:23 NWE 1 & 10 (1:23) D.Bledsoe pass to S.Jefferson to BUF 46 for 11 yards (K.Irvin). Caught over middle at BUF 48. EPA +0.8 WP 44%
- 0:00 NWE END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0 WP 48%
Quarter 2
- 15:00 NWE 1 & 10 (15:00) T.Allen left guard to BUF 43 for 3 yards (S.Rogers). EPA -0.3 WP 48%
- 15:00 NWE 2 & 7 (15:00) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Carter pushed ob at BUF 35 for 8 yards (S.Cowart). Caught in right flat at BUF 42. EPA +1.0 WP 49%
- 13:56 NWE Timeout #1 by NE at 13:56. EPA +0.0 WP 52%
- 13:56 NWE 1 & 10 (13:56) D.Bledsoe sacked at BUF 35 for 0 yards (T.Washington). EPA -0.5 WP 52%
- 13:56 NWE 2 & 10 (13:56) T.Allen left tackle to BUF 26 for 9 yards (S.Cowart). EPA +0.6 WP 50%
- 13:56 NWE 3 & 1 (13:56) T.Allen up the middle to BUF 26 for no gain (G.Northern). Measurement = fourth down EPA -1.3 WP 51%
- 13:56 NWE 4 & 1 (13:56) T.Allen up the middle to BUF 24 for 2 yards (J.Holecek). EPA +2.0 WP 48%
- 13:56 NWE 1 & 10 (13:56) D.Bledsoe pass to B.Coates to BUF 3 for 21 yards (K.Schulz). Caught at BUF 11, right side. PENALTY on NE-B.Coates, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 24 - No Play. EPA -1.2 WP 54%
- 13:56 NWE 1 & 20 (13:56) D.Bledsoe pass intended for T.Brown INTERCEPTED by K.Irvin at BUF 16. K.Irvin to BUF 17 for 1 yard (T.Brown). Coverage near right sideline. EPA -3.1 WP 50%
- 10:54 BUF 1 & 10 (10:54) J.Linton up the middle to BUF 18 for 1 yard (W.McGinest). EPA -0.4 WP 64%
- 10:54 BUF 2 & 9 (10:54) D.Flutie pass to A.Reed to BUF 28 for 10 yards (S.Israel). Caught in right flat at BUF 27. EPA +1.0 WP 63%
- 10:54 BUF 1 & 10 (10:54) A.Smith up the middle to BUF 30 for 2 yards (F.Collons, T.Bruschi). EPA -0.3 WP 65%
- 10:54 BUF 2 & 8 (10:54) J.Linton left guard to BUF 32 for 2 yards (F.Collons). EPA -0.3 WP 63%
- 10:54 BUF 3 & 6 (10:54) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass incomplete to P.Price (T.Jones). Receiver and coverage at BUF 48, right sideline. PENALTY on NE-T.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 16 yards, enforced at BUF 32 - No Play. EPA +1.9 WP 63%
- 10:54 BUF 1 & 10 (10:54) A.Smith up the middle to NE 50 for 2 yards (T.Bruschi). EPA -0.4 WP 69%
- 10:54 BUF 2 & 8 (10:54) D.Flutie pass incomplete to P.Price. Off receiver's hands at NE 25, right sideline. Pressue on QB: Bruschi EPA -0.7 WP 68%
- 10:54 BUF 3 & 8 (10:54) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass to J.Linton to NE 45 for 5 yards (H.Thomas). Screen pass left, caught at BUF 45. Key block: Fina EPA -0.9 WP 65%
- 10:54 BUF 4 & 3 (10:54) C.Mohr punts 36 yards to NE 9, Center-E.Albright, fair catch by T.Brown. EPA +0.1 WP 62%
- 6:29 NWE 1 & 10 (6:29) K.Faulk up the middle to NE 16 for 7 yards (S.Price). EPA +0.2 WP 38%
- 6:29 NWE 2 & 3 (6:29) K.Faulk up the middle to NE 15 for -1 yards (S.Cowart). EPA -0.7 WP 38%
- 6:29 NWE 3 & 4 (6:29) PENALTY on NE-B.Armstrong, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 15 - No Play. EPA -0.5 WP 35%
- 4:42 NWE Timeout #2 by NE at 04:42. EPA +0.0 WP 33%
- 4:42 NWE 3 & 9 (4:42) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Glenn to NE 17 for 7 yards (K.Irvin). Caught in right flat at NE 17. PENALTY on BUF, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at NE 10 - No Play. EPA +0.1 WP 33%
- 4:42 NWE 1 & 10 (4:42) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete. Pressure on QB: B.Smith PENALTY on NE-D.Bledsoe, Intentional Grounding, 7 yards, enforced at NE 15. EPA +0.0 WP 38%
- 4:42 NWE 2 & 17 (4:42) K.Faulk left guard to NE 17 for 9 yards (S.Rogers, S.Cowart). EPA +0.3 WP 33%
- 4:42 NWE 3 & 8 (4:42) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to L.Warren to NE 22 for 5 yards (M.Perry). Caught over middle at NE 20, crossing right EPA -0.3 WP 35%
- 4:42 NWE 4 & 3 (4:42) (Punt formation) L.Johnson left end ran ob at NE 35 for 13 yards. EPA +2.3 WP 34%
- 4:42 NWE 1 & 10 (4:42) D.Bledsoe sacked at NE 33 for -2 yards (T.Washington). EPA -0.4 WP 42%
- 2:00 NWE Two-Minute Warning EPA +0.0 WP 38%
- 2:00 NWE 2 & 12 (2:00) K.Faulk right end pushed ob at NE 36 for 3 yards (K.Irvin). EPA -0.3 WP 38%
- 1:53 NWE 3 & 9 (1:53) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe sacked at NE 31 for -5 yards (P.Hansen). EPA -0.9 WP 37%
- 1:48 NWE Timeout #1 by BUF at 01:48. EPA +0.0 WP 31%
- 1:48 NWE 4 & 14 (1:48) L.Johnson punts 27 yards to BUF 42, Center-M.Bartrum, downed by NE-M.Bartrum. EPA -0.7 WP 31%
- 1:37 BUF 1 & 10 (1:37) D.Flutie pass to J.Linton to BUF 46 for 4 yards (L.Whigham, T.Bruschi). Caught over middle at BUF 45. EPA -0.2 WP 68%
- 1:09 BUF 2 & 6 (1:09) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass to E.Moulds for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NE 25, left side (defender Israel fell down at NE 40.) TD EPA +5.9 WP 68%
- 1:01 BUF S.Christie extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Albright, Holder-C.Mohr. EPA +0.0 WP 81%
- 1:01 NWE S.Christie kicks 62 yards from BUF 30 to NE 8. K.Faulk to NE 28 for 20 yards (D.Greer). EPA +0.1 WP 18%
- 0:53 NWE 1 & 10 (:53) L.Warren right end to NE 30 for 2 yards (H.Jones). EPA -0.3 WP 19%
- 0:22 NWE 2 & 8 (:22) L.Warren right guard to NE 33 for 3 yards (S.Price). EPA -0.1 WP 18%
- 0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 18%
Quarter 3
- 15:00 NWE S.Christie kicks 46 yards from BUF 30 to NE 24. L.Warren to NE 33 for 9 yards (A.Winfield). EPA +0.9 WP 18%
- 14:51 NWE 1 & 10 (14:51) T.Allen up the middle to NE 35 for 2 yards (T.Washington). EPA -0.4 WP 18%
- 14:51 NWE 2 & 8 (14:51) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Glenn (K.Irvin). Receiver and coverage at NE 45, right sideline. EPA -0.7 WP 17%
- 14:51 NWE 3 & 8 (14:51) D.Bledsoe right end pushed ob at NE 39 for 4 yards (M.Wiley). EPA -0.8 WP 15%
- 14:51 NWE 4 & 4 (14:51) L.Johnson punts 25 yards to BUF 36, Center-M.Bartrum, downed by NE-L.Whigham. EPA -0.7 WP 15%
- 13:27 BUF 1 & 10 (13:27) J.Linton right guard to BUF 42 for 6 yards (C.Eaton). FUMBLES (C.Eaton), RECOVERED by NE-S.Israel at BUF 43. EPA -4.3 WP 88%
- 13:19 NWE 1 & 10 (13:19) D.Bledsoe pass to B.Coates to BUF 42 for 1 yard (T.Smith). Caught in right flat at BUF 42. EPA -0.4 WP 21%
- 13:19 NWE 2 & 9 (13:19) T.Allen left tackle to BUF 37 for 5 yards (S.Cowart). EPA -0.1 WP 19%
- 13:19 NWE 3 & 4 (13:19) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Brown. Overthrown, receiver over middle at BUF 13. EPA -1.9 WP 21%
- 13:19 NWE 4 & 4 (13:19) L.Johnson punts 37 yards to end zone, Center-M.Bartrum, Touchback. EPA -0.8 WP 17%
- 11:41 BUF 1 & 10 (11:41) A.Smith left tackle to BUF 24 for 4 yards (T.Bruschi, A.Katzenmoyer). EPA -0.2 WP 86%
- 11:41 BUF 2 & 6 (11:41) D.Flutie pass to B.Collins pushed ob at NE 31 for 45 yards (L.Milloy). Caught at BUF 36, left side. EPA +3.3 WP 86%
- 11:41 BUF 1 & 10 (11:41) D.Flutie pass to S.Gash for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NE 29, right side. Spins around defender at NE 20 to stay inbounds. TD EPA +3.3 WP 90%
- 10:21 BUF S.Christie extra point is GOOD, Center-E.Albright, Holder-C.Mohr. EPA +0.0 WP 94%
- 10:21 NWE S.Christie kicks 64 yards from BUF 30 to NE 6. K.Faulk to NE 33 for 27 yards (J.Foreman). EPA +0.8 WP 6%
- 10:21 NWE 1 & 10 (10:21) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to S.Jefferson. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 35, right sideline. EPA -0.5 WP 7%
- 10:21 NWE 2 & 10 (10:21) T.Allen left tackle to NE 33 for no gain (S.Rogers). EPA -0.7 WP 7%
- 10:21 NWE 3 & 10 (10:21) D.Bledsoe pass to L.Warren pushed ob at NE 45 for 12 yards (M.Perry). Caught at NE 43, right sideline. EPA +1.9 WP 6%
- 10:21 NWE 1 & 10 (10:21) D.Bledsoe pass to S.Jefferson to BUF 42 for 13 yards (K.Irvin). Caught in right flat at BUF 42. EPA +1.0 WP 8%
- 10:21 NWE 1 & 10 (10:21) K.Faulk up the middle to BUF 40 for 2 yards (P.Williams). EPA -0.3 WP 8%
- 10:21 NWE 2 & 8 (10:21) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Brown pushed ob at BUF 29 for 11 yards (G.Northern). Caught along left sideline BUF 32. EPA +1.3 WP 8%
- 10:21 NWE 1 & 10 (10:21) K.Faulk right tackle to BUF 25 for 4 yards (J.Holecek). EPA -0.0 WP 8%
- 10:21 NWE 2 & 6 (10:21) D.Bledsoe pass to R.Rutledge to BUF 18 for 7 yards (J.Holecek). Caught in right flat at BUF 21. EPA +0.8 WP 10%
- 10:21 NWE 1 & 10 (10:21) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Glenn to BUF 6 for 12 yards (M.Perry). Caught over middle at BUF 8. EPA +1.0 WP 10%
- 10:21 NWE 1 & 6 (10:21) K.Faulk up the middle to BUF 5 for 1 yard (J.Holecek). FUMBLES (J.Holecek), RECOVERED by BUF-S.Rogers at BUF 8. EPA -5.0 WP 11%
- 5:32 BUF 1 & 10 (5:32) A.Smith right tackle to BUF 11 for 3 yards (T.Bruschi, C.Eaton). BUF-R.Hicks was injured during the play. EPA -0.3 WP 96%
- 5:32 BUF 2 & 7 (5:32) J.Linton left end ran ob at BUF 15 for 4 yards. EPA -0.1 WP 96%
- 5:32 BUF 3 & 3 (5:32) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass to P.Price to BUF 22 for 7 yards (T.Jones). Caugt over middle at BUF 20, crossing left. EPA +1.2 WP 96%
- 5:32 BUF 1 & 10 (5:32) J.Linton up the middle to BUF 40 for 18 yards (C.Carter). Key blocks: Fina, R.Brown EPA +1.3 WP 97%
- 5:32 BUF 1 & 10 (5:32) L.Gordon right tackle to BUF 40 for no gain (L.Milloy). EPA -0.4 WP 97%
- 5:32 BUF 2 & 10 (5:32) D.Flutie pass incomplete to P.Price. Thrown out of bounds. Receiver at BUF 45, right sideline. EPA -0.8 WP 97%
- 5:32 BUF 3 & 10 (5:32) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass incomplete (T.Bruschi). Pass batted at line. EPA -1.3 WP 96%
- 5:32 BUF 4 & 10 (5:32) C.Mohr punts 37 yards to NE 23, Center-E.Albright. T.Brown pushed ob at NE 36 for 13 yards (K.Carpenter). EPA -0.5 WP 95%
- 1:47 NWE 1 & 10 (1:47) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Carter (J.Holecek). Receiver and coverage at NE 40, left side EPA -0.4 WP 4%
- 1:47 NWE 2 & 10 (1:47) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe to NE 36 for no gain. FUMBLES, and recovers at NE 29. D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to C.Floyd. Fumble recovered before pass. EPA -0.7 WP 4%
- 1:47 NWE 3 & 10 (1:47) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Glenn ran ob at NE 48 for 12 yards. EPA +2.0 WP 4%
- 1:47 NWE 1 & 10 (1:47) T.Allen up the middle to BUF 49 for 3 yards (P.Williams). EPA -0.3 WP 5%
- 1:47 NWE 2 & 7 (1:47) D.Bledsoe sacked at NE 45 for -6 yards (M.Perry). EPA -1.6 WP 4%
- 0:00 NWE END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0 WP 3%
Quarter 4
- 15:00 NWE 3 & 13 (15:00) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Glenn. Pressue on QB: B.Smith. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 42, right sideline EPA -1.1 WP 3%
- 15:00 NWE 4 & 13 (15:00) L.Johnson punts 36 yards to BUF 19, Center-M.Bartrum, fair catch by P.Price. EPA +0.6 WP 2%
- 14:45 BUF 1 & 10 (14:45) A.Smith left guard to BUF 20 for 1 yard (T.Bruschi). EPA -0.4 WP 98%
- 14:45 BUF 2 & 9 (14:45) D.Flutie pass incomplete to E.Moulds. Overthrown, receiver at 50, right side. EPA -0.6 WP 98%
- 14:45 BUF 3 & 9 (14:45) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass incomplete to P.Price. Overthrown, receiver at BUF 35, left sideline. EPA -1.2 WP 98%
- 14:45 BUF 4 & 9 (14:45) C.Mohr punts 57 yards to NE 23, Center-E.Albright. T.Brown to NE 43 for 20 yards (M.Perry). EPA +0.3 WP 97%
- 13:40 NWE 1 & 10 (13:40) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Brown (M.Perry). EPA -0.4 WP 3%
- 13:40 NWE 2 & 10 (13:40) D.Bledsoe pass to K.Faulk to BUF 48 for 9 yards (H.Jones, M.Perry). Dump pass right flat. EPA +0.5 WP 3%
- 13:40 NWE 3 & 1 (13:40) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to B.Coates. Pressure: P.Hansen EPA -1.7 WP 3%
- 13:40 NWE 4 & 1 (13:40) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe sacked at NE 39 for -13 yards (M.Wiley). EPA -3.0 WP 2%
- 12:55 BUF 1 & 10 (12:55) One-yard difference on change of possession. J.Linton left tackle to NE 38 for no gain (C.Slade). EPA -0.5 WP 99%
- 12:55 BUF 2 & 10 (12:55) D.Flutie left guard to NE 36 for 2 yards (C.Eaton, W.McGinest). EPA -0.6 WP 99%
- 12:55 BUF 3 & 8 (12:55) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass incomplete to E.Moulds. Overthrown, receiver over middle at NE 30. EPA -1.4 WP 99%
- 12:55 BUF 4 & 8 (12:55) C.Mohr punts 36 yards to end zone, Center-E.Albright, Touchback. Kick into end zone. EPA -0.9 WP 97%
- 11:08 NWE 1 & 10 (11:08) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete (H.Jones). Pass batted at line. EPA -0.5 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 2 & 10 (11:08) D.Bledsoe pass to B.Coates pushed ob at NE 24 for 4 yards (H.Jones). Caught along right sideline at NE 20. Penalty on BUF-M.Wiley, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at NE 20 - No Play. Penalty on NE, Offensive Holding, offsetting. EPA +0.0 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 2 & 10 (11:08) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to S.Jefferson. Underthrown, receiver at NE 32, right sideline. EPA -0.6 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 3 & 10 (11:08) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to S.Jefferson to NE 32 for 12 yards (K.Irvin). Caught at NE 32, right side. EPA +1.7 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 1 & 10 (11:08) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to B.Coates. Thrown out of bounds, receiver near NE 40. EPA -0.4 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 2 & 10 (11:08) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete (B.Smith). B.Smith bats D.Bledsoe's arm upon release. EPA -0.6 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 3 & 10 (11:08) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete. Thrown out of bounds at NE 45, right sideline. EPA -1.1 WP 2%
- 11:08 NWE 4 & 10 (11:08) L.Johnson punts 48 yards to BUF 20, Center-M.Bartrum. K.Williams to BUF 26 for 6 yards (T.Carter; M.Bartrum). EPA +0.3 WP 2%
- 9:43 BUF 1 & 10 (9:43) J.Linton up the middle to BUF 32 for 6 yards (A.Katzenmoyer). EPA +0.2 WP 100%
- 9:43 BUF 2 & 4 (9:43) J.Linton left guard to BUF 36 for 4 yards (T.Bruschi). EPA +0.5 WP 100%
- 9:43 BUF 1 & 10 (9:43) J.Linton left tackle to BUF 36 for no gain (T.Bruschi). EPA -0.4 WP 100%
- 9:43 BUF 2 & 10 (9:43) J.Linton right guard to BUF 37 for 1 yard (T.Bruschi). EPA -0.7 WP 99%
- 9:43 BUF 3 & 9 (9:43) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass to J.Linton to NE 35 for 28 yards (C.Carter). EPA +2.7 WP 99%
- 9:43 BUF 1 & 10 (9:43) D.Flutie left end to NE 27 for 8 yards. PENALTY on BUF-J.Fina, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 35 - No Play. EPA -1.0 WP 100%
- 9:43 BUF 1 & 20 (9:43) J.Linton up the middle to NE 42 for 3 yards (S.Israel, L.Milloy). EPA -0.4 WP 100%
- 9:43 BUF 2 & 17 (9:43) L.Gordon left guard to NE 35 for 7 yards (C.Slade). PENALTY on BUF-R.Brown, Offensive Holding, 9 yards, enforced at NE 42 - No Play. EPA -0.3 WP 99%
- 9:43 BUF 2 & 26 (9:43) L.Gordon right tackle to NE 43 for 8 yards (S.Israel, L.Milloy). EPA -0.6 WP 99%
- 3:40 BUF Timeout #1 by BUF at 03:40. EPA +0.0 WP 100%
- 3:40 BUF 3 & 18 (3:40) L.Gordon left tackle to NE 33 for 10 yards (B.Mitchell). EPA -0.2 WP 100%
- 3:32 BUF Timeout #1 by NE at 03:32. EPA +0.0 WP 100%
- 3:32 BUF 4 & 8 (3:32) (Shotgun) D.Flutie pass incomplete to P.Price. EPA -1.7 WP 100%
- 3:21 NWE 1 & 10 (3:21) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to L.Warren to 50 for 17 yards (H.Jones). EPA +0.8 WP 0%
- 3:21 NWE 1 & 10 (3:21) PENALTY on BUF-B.Smith, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play. EPA +0.5 WP 0%
- 3:21 NWE 1 & 5 (3:21) D.Bledsoe pass incomplete to T.Brown. EPA -0.4 WP 0%
- 3:21 NWE 2 & 5 (3:21) (Shotgun) D.Bledsoe pass to T.Glenn for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +5.2 WP 0%
- 2:41 NWE A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-M.Bartrum, Holder-L.Johnson. EPA +0.0 WP 1%
- 2:41 BUF A.Vinatieri kicks onside 8 yards from NE 30 to NE 38. A.Reed (didn't try to advance) to NE 38 for no gain. EPA +1.9 WP 99%
- 2:39 BUF 1 & 10 (2:39) J.Linton up the middle to NE 35 for 3 yards (C.Sullivan). EPA -0.6 WP 99%
- 2:34 BUF Timeout #2 by NE at 02:34. EPA +0.0 WP 99%
- 2:34 BUF 2 & 7 (2:34) J.Linton up the middle to NE 32 for 3 yards (F.Collons). EPA -0.6 WP 99%
- 2:28 BUF Timeout #3 by NE at 02:28. EPA +0.0 WP 99%
- 2:28 BUF 3 & 4 (2:28) J.Linton left tackle to NE 30 for 2 yards (C.Slade, A.Katzenmoyer). EPA -0.5 WP 99%
- 2:00 BUF Two-Minute Warning EPA +0.0 WP 99%
- 2:00 BUF 4 & 2 (2:00) J.Linton up the middle to NE 25 for 5 yards (T.Bruschi, F.Collons). EPA +1.3 WP 99%
- 1:17 BUF 1 & 10 (1:17) D.Flutie kneels to NE 26 for -1 yards. EPA -0.6 WP 100%
- 0:35 BUF 2 & 11 (:35) D.Flutie kneels to NE 27 for -1 yards. EPA -1.3 WP 100%
- 0:00 END GAME