From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20β7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(13:13) 25-C.Garner right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
0β6
Q2
13:11
OAK
11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
0β7
Q2
1:44
OAK
(1:44) 12-R.Gannon pass to 88-D.Jolley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
0β13
Q2
1:34
OAK
11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
0β14
Q3
7:04
OAK
(7:04) 11-S.Janikowski 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
0β17
Q4
2:22
OAK
(2:22) 32-Z.Crockett up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
0β23
Q4
2:18
OAK
11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
0β24
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. OAK closed at 100%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q1
15:00
KC
11-S.Janikowski kicks 56 yards from LV 30 to KC 14. 82-D.Hall to LV 38 for 48 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at LV 38. Marcus Knight holding for Janikowski
42% β 53%
+11%
+2.97
Q2
8:23
KC
(8:23) 10-T.Green pass intended for 85-M.Boerigter INTERCEPTED by 26-R.Woodson at LV 19. 26-R.Woodson to LV 20 for 1 yard (85-M.Boerigter).
28% β 22%
-6%
-3.11
Q1
8:58
OAK
(8:58) 32-Z.Crockett right tackle to KC 46 for 1 yard (57-M.Maslowski, 98-E.Hicks).
59% β 65%
+6%
+1.91
Q2
2:21
OAK
(2:21) 12-R.Gannon pass to 81-T.Brown to KC 16 for 11 yards (44-E.Warfield).
81% β 87%
+6%
+2.82
Q1
2:00
OAK
(2:00) 12-R.Gannon pass to 81-T.Brown to KC 21 for 20 yards (39-R.Crockett).
65% β 70%
+5%
+1.63
Q1
14:00
KC
(14:00) 4-D.Stryzinski punts 37 yards to end zone, Center-83-K.Gammon, Touchback.
44% β 39%
-5%
-0.36
Q1
14:06
KC
(14:06) (Shotgun) 10-T.Green pass incomplete to 85-M.Boerigter.
48% β 44%
-4%
-1.84
Q1
7:14
OAK
(7:14) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 47-T.Wheatley.
65% β 61%
-4%
-1.74
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 42%
15:00 KC 11-S.Janikowski kicks 56 yards from LV 30 to KC 14. 82-D.Hall to LV 38 for 48 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at LV 38. Marcus Knight holding for Janikowski EPA +3.0WP 42%
3:37 KC 4 & 3 (3:37) 4-D.Stryzinski punts 24 yards to LV 45, Center-83-K.Gammon, downed by KC-83-K.Gammon. EPA -0.9WP 38%
3:28 OAK 1 & 10 (3:28) 12-R.Gannon pass to 80-J.Rice pushed ob at KC 49 for 6 yards (24-W.Bartee). EPA +0.2WP 64%
3:11 OAK 2 & 4 (3:11) 25-C.Garner left end pushed ob at KC 45 for 4 yards (24-W.Bartee). EPA +0.4WP 64%
2:46 OAK 1 & 10 (2:46) 12-R.Gannon scrambles up the middle to KC 41 for 4 yards (95-D.Ransom, 53-M.Patton). EPA -0.1WP 64%
2:00 OAK 2 & 6 (2:00) 12-R.Gannon pass to 81-T.Brown to KC 21 for 20 yards (39-R.Crockett). EPA +1.6WP 65%
1:15 OAK 1 & 10 (1:15) 25-C.Garner right end pushed ob at KC 11 for 10 yards (44-E.Warfield). EPA +0.5WP 70%
0:46 OAK 1 & 10 (:46) 25-C.Garner left guard to KC 10 for 1 yard (29-J.Belser). EPA -0.4WP 71%
0:06 OAK 2 & 9 (:06) 25-C.Garner right tackle to KC 2 for 8 yards (51-S.Fujita). EPA +0.9WP 70%
0:00 END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 71%
Quarter 2
15:00 Timeout #2 by LV at 15:00. EPA +0.0WP 71%
15:00 OAK 3 & 1 (15:00) 32-Z.Crockett up the middle to KC 1 for 1 yard (53-M.Patton). EPA +0.9WP 71%
14:21 OAK 1 & 1 (14:21) 32-Z.Crockett up the middle to KC 1 for no gain. PENALTY on LV-63-B.Robbins, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at KC 1 - No Play. EPA -1.8WP 74%
13:50 OAK 1 & 11 (13:50) 25-C.Garner up the middle to KC 1 for 10 yards (42-S.Harts, 29-J.Belser). EPA +1.5WP 70%
13:13 OAK 2 & 1 (13:13) 25-C.Garner right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +0.9WP 73%
13:11 OAK 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler. EPA +0.0WP 76%
13:11 KC 83 Knight holds for kickoff 11-S.Janikowski kicks 77 yards from LV 30 to KC -7. 82-D.Hall, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 23%
13:11 KC 1 & 10 (13:11) 10-T.Green scrambles right end to KC 26 for 6 yards (58-N.Harris). EPA +0.3WP 23%
12:23 KC 2 & 4 (12:23) 10-T.Green pass to 23-D.Blaylock to KC 47 for 21 yards (26-R.Woodson, 53-B.Romanowski). EPA +1.4WP 24%
10:45 KC 4 & 10 (10:45) 4-D.Stryzinski punts 28 yards to LV 25, Center-83-K.Gammon, downed by KC-29-J.Belser. EPA -0.4WP 21%
10:35 OAK 1 & 10 (10:35) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 81-T.Brown. EPA -0.5WP 79%
10:32 OAK 2 & 10 (10:32) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 80-J.Rice. EPA -0.7WP 78%
10:27 OAK 3 & 10 (10:27) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 80-J.Rice. EPA -1.1WP 76%
10:16 OAK 4 & 10 (10:16) 9-S.Lechler punts 49 yards to KC 26, Center-62-A.Treu. 82-D.Hall to KC 43 for 17 yards (85-M.Williams). EPA -0.5WP 73%
10:04 KC 1 & 10 (10:04) 10-T.Green pass to 82-D.Hall to KC 47 for 4 yards (50-E.Barton). EPA -0.1WP 27%
9:28 KC 2 & 6 (9:28) 34-M.Cloud up the middle to LV 49 for 4 yards (75-C.Cooper). EPA -0.0WP 26%
8:49 KC 3 & 2 (8:49) 10-T.Green pass to 85-M.Boerigter pushed ob at LV 46 for 3 yards (22-T.Shaw). EPA +0.8WP 27%
8:23 KC 1 & 10 (8:23) 10-T.Green pass intended for 85-M.Boerigter INTERCEPTED by 26-R.Woodson at LV 19. 26-R.Woodson to LV 20 for 1 yard (85-M.Boerigter). EPA -3.1WP 28%
8:16 OAK 1 & 10 (8:16) 25-C.Garner right end pushed ob at LV 22 for 2 yards (44-E.Warfield). EPA -0.4WP 78%
7:53 OAK 2 & 8 (7:53) 25-C.Garner left guard to LV 34 for 12 yards (42-S.Harts, 29-J.Belser). EPA +1.2WP 78%
Rod Woodson's interception puts him in sole possession of third place among all-time NFL interceptors ahead of Dick "Night Train" Lane (68). EPA +0.0WP 78%
7:17 OAK 1 & 10 (7:17) 47-T.Wheatley right end pushed ob at LV 43 for 9 yards (44-E.Warfield). EPA +0.8WP 81%
7:04 OAK 2 & 1 (7:04) 47-T.Wheatley left tackle to LV 46 for 3 yards (98-E.Hicks, 57-M.Maslowski). EPA -0.0WP 84%
6:30 OAK 1 & 10 (6:30) 25-C.Garner left tackle to KC 43 for 11 yards (98-E.Hicks). EPA +0.5WP 83%
5:51 OAK 1 & 10 (5:51) 25-C.Garner up the middle to KC 39 for 4 yards (39-R.Crockett). EPA +0.0WP 84%
5:13 OAK 2 & 6 (5:13) 47-T.Wheatley right tackle to KC 32 for 7 yards (99-D.Clemons, 44-E.Warfield). EPA +0.6WP 84%
4:32 OAK 1 & 10 (4:32) 47-T.Wheatley left guard to KC 30 for 2 yards (98-E.Hicks, 53-M.Patton). EPA -0.4WP 85%
3:54 OAK 2 & 8 (3:54) 12-R.Gannon Aborted. 63-B.Robbins FUMBLES at KC 30, recovered by LV-25-C.Garner at KC 33. 25-C.Garner to KC 29 for 4 yards (29-J.Belser). EPA -0.4WP 84%
3:07 Timeout #3 by LV at 03:07. EPA +0.0WP 83%
3:07 OAK 3 & 7 (3:07) 25-C.Garner right end to KC 27 for 2 yards (98-E.Hicks). EPA -1.0WP 83%
2:21 OAK 4 & 5 (2:21) 12-R.Gannon pass to 81-T.Brown to KC 16 for 11 yards (44-E.Warfield). EPA +2.8WP 81%
2:00 OAK 1 & 10 (2:00) 25-C.Garner up the middle to KC 15 for 1 yard (39-R.Crockett). EPA -0.4WP 87%
1:50 Timeout #1 by KC at 01:50. EPA +0.0WP 86%
1:50 OAK 2 & 9 (1:50) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 80-J.Rice. EPA -0.7WP 86%
1:44 OAK 3 & 9 (1:44) 12-R.Gannon pass to 88-D.Jolley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +3.8WP 85%
1:34 OAK 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler. EPA +0.0WP 89%
1:34 KC 83 Knight holds on kickoff 11-S.Janikowski kicks 79 yards from LV 30 to KC -9. 82-D.Hall, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 10%
1:30 KC 2 & 10 (1:30) (Shotgun) 10-T.Green pass to 80-J.Morton pushed ob at KC 29 for 9 yards (36-D.Gibson). Play Challenged by Replay Official and REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-T.Green pass incomplete to 80-J.Morton. EPA -0.2WP 9%
1:24 KC 3 & 10 (1:24) 10-T.Green pass to 88-T.Gonzalez to KC 26 for 6 yards (26-R.Woodson). EPA -0.1WP 9%
0:46 Timeout #2 by KC at 00:46. EPA +0.0WP 8%
0:46 KC 4 & 4 (:46) 4-D.Stryzinski punts 34 yards to LV 40, Center-83-K.Gammon, downed by KC. EPA -0.3WP 8%
0:35 OAK 1 & 10 (:35) 47-T.Wheatley left guard to LV 39 for -1 yards (53-M.Patton). EPA -0.5WP 93%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 91%
Quarter 3
15:00 OAK 7-M.Husted kicks 62 yards from KC 30 to LV 8. 83-M.Knight to LV 35 for 27 yards (55-G.Stills). EPA +1.0WP 91%
14:54 OAK 1 & 10 (14:54) 25-C.Garner right tackle to LV 38 for 3 yards (53-M.Patton). EPA -0.1WP 92%
14:21 OAK 2 & 7 (14:21) 25-C.Garner right end to LV 48 for 10 yards (53-M.Patton). EPA +1.0WP 92%
13:51 OAK 1 & 10 (13:51) 25-C.Garner right tackle to KC 47 for 5 yards (93-J.Browning, 57-M.Maslowski). EPA +0.1WP 93%
13:20 OAK 2 & 5 (13:20) 25-C.Garner right tackle to KC 41 for 6 yards (99-D.Clemons). EPA +0.6WP 93%
12:39 OAK 1 & 10 (12:39) 47-T.Wheatley right end pushed ob at KC 35 for 6 yards (44-E.Warfield). EPA +0.1WP 94%
12:11 OAK 2 & 4 (12:11) 47-T.Wheatley up the middle to KC 34 for 1 yard (57-M.Maslowski). EPA -0.7WP 95%
11:27 OAK 3 & 3 (11:27) 25-C.Garner right end pushed ob at KC 30 for 4 yards (42-S.Harts). EPA +1.1WP 94%
10:57 OAK 1 & 10 (10:57) 25-C.Garner up the middle to KC 27 for 3 yards (55-G.Stills, 71-E.Freeman). EPA -0.2WP 94%
10:18 OAK 2 & 7 (10:18) 47-T.Wheatley left tackle to KC 27 for no gain (53-M.Patton, 91-R.Truluck). EPA -0.6WP 94%
9:30 OAK 3 & 7 (9:30) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 80-J.Rice (24-W.Bartee). EPA -1.2WP 94%
9:24 Timeout #1 by LV at 09:24. EPA +0.0WP 92%
9:24 OAK 4 & 7 (9:24) 12-R.Gannon pass to 80-J.Rice to KC 12 for 15 yards (56-L.Bush). EPA +3.0WP 92%
8:53 OAK 1 & 10 (8:53) 25-C.Garner right tackle to KC 10 for 2 yards (99-D.Clemons). PENALTY on KC-99-D.Clemons, Face Mask (15 Yards), 5 yards, enforced at KC 10. EPA +0.8WP 95%
8:28 OAK 1 & 5 (8:28) 25-C.Garner left guard to KC 3 for 2 yards (57-M.Maslowski, 99-D.Clemons). EPA -0.1WP 95%
7:49 OAK 2 & 3 (7:49) 25-C.Garner right end to KC 8 for -5 yards (98-E.Hicks). EPA -1.6WP 96%
7:07 OAK 3 & 8 (7:07) 12-R.Gannon pass incomplete to 81-T.Brown. EPA -1.2WP 95%
7:04 OAK 4 & 8 (7:04) 11-S.Janikowski 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler. EPA +0.2WP 94%
7:01 KC 83 Knight holds on kickoff 11-S.Janikowski kicks 53 yards from LV 30 to KC 17. 23-D.Blaylock to KC 34 for 17 yards (39-B.Jennings). EPA +0.8WP 5%
6:54 KC 1 & 10 (6:54) 10-T.Green pass to 88-T.Gonzalez to KC 40 for 6 yards (50-E.Barton). EPA +0.3WP 7%
6:19 KC 2 & 4 (6:19) 34-M.Cloud left guard to KC 45 for 5 yards (57-R.Coleman, 97-J.Parrella). EPA +0.5WP 7%
5:44 KC 1 & 10 (5:44) 23-D.Blaylock left end to KC 43 for -2 yards (50-E.Barton, 58-N.Harris). EPA -0.8WP 7%
5:05 KC 2 & 12 (5:05) 10-T.Green pass to 87-E.Kennison to LV 44 for 13 yards (26-R.Woodson). EPA +1.5WP 5%
4:25 KC 1 & 10 (4:25) 10-T.Green pass to 23-D.Blaylock to LV 49 for -5 yards (58-N.Harris). EPA -1.2WP 6%
3:44 KC 2 & 15 (3:44) 82-D.Hall left end to KC 46 for -5 yards (38-C.Love). EPA -1.3WP 5%
2:53 Timeout #1 by KC at 02:53. EPA +0.0WP 4%
2:53 KC 3 & 20 (2:53) 23-D.Blaylock up the middle to LV 39 for 15 yards (33-A.Dorsett). EPA -0.0WP 4%
2:17 OAK 1 & 10 (2:17) 25-C.Garner right tackle to LV 41 for 2 yards (53-M.Patton). EPA -0.4WP 98%
1:41 OAK 2 & 8 (1:41) 25-C.Garner right end to LV 46 for 5 yards (53-M.Patton). EPA -0.0WP 98%
1:05 OAK 3 & 3 (1:05) 25-C.Garner right end to KC 47 for 7 yards (29-J.Belser, 44-E.Warfield). EPA +1.3WP 98%
0:21 OAK 1 & 10 (:21) 47-T.Wheatley up the middle to KC 38 for 9 yards (92-E.Downing). EPA +0.6WP 99%
0:00 OAK END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 99%
Quarter 4
15:00 OAK 2 & 1 (15:00) 47-T.Wheatley right tackle to KC 38 for no gain (98-E.Hicks, 91-R.Truluck). EPA -0.6WP 99%
14:21 OAK 3 & 1 (14:21) 32-Z.Crockett left tackle to KC 33 for 5 yards. EPA +0.7WP 99%
13:40 OAK 1 & 10 (13:40) 47-T.Wheatley right end ran ob at KC 23 for 10 yards (93-J.Browning). EPA +0.7WP 99%
13:10 OAK 1 & 10 (13:10) 32-Z.Crockett up the middle to KC 20 for 3 yards (99-D.Clemons, 93-J.Browning). EPA -0.2WP 99%
12:27 OAK 2 & 7 (12:27) 25-C.Garner right end to KC 20 for no gain (95-D.Ransom, 39-R.Crockett). EPA -0.6WP 99%
11:42 OAK 3 & 7 (11:42) 25-C.Garner right tackle to KC 18 for 2 yards (93-J.Browning, 53-M.Patton). EPA -0.8WP 99%
10:59 OAK 4 & 5 (10:59) 12-R.Gannon sacked at KC 23 for -5 yards (42-S.Harts). FUMBLES (42-S.Harts), touched at KC 23, RECOVERED by KC-53-M.Patton at KC 28. 53-M.Patton to KC 33 for 5 yards (84-J.Porter). EPA -3.7WP 99%
10:49 KC 1 & 10 (10:49) 34-M.Cloud right guard to KC 35 for 2 yards (97-J.Parrella, 75-C.Cooper). EPA -0.4WP 2%