From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20–7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(13:42) 4-J.Elliott 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston.
0–3
Q2
12:40
PHI
(12:40) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Jones at NE -3. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
0–9
Q2
12:36
PHI
4-J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston.
0–10
Q2
8:40
NWE
(8:40) 2-N.Folk 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
3–10
Q2
3:24
NWE
(3:24) 2-N.Folk 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
6–10
Q2
1:47
NWE
(1:47) 2-N.Folk 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
9–10
Q3
10:55
NWE
(10:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-J.Edelman pass short right to 13-P.Dorsett for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-M.Jenkins].
15–10
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. PHI closed at 0%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q2
2:34
PHI
(2:34) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 23 for -9 yards (71-D.Shelton). FUMBLES (71-D.Shelton) [71-D.Shelton], RECOVERED by NE-93-L.Guy at PHI 22. 93-L.Guy to PHI 22 for no gain (11-C.Wentz).
66% → 49%
-17%
-5.08
Q3
10:55
NWE
(10:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-J.Edelman pass short right to 13-P.Dorsett for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-M.Jenkins].
53% → 68%
+15%
+3.61
Q1
15:00
PHI
(15:00) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep left to 35-B.Scott. PENALTY on NE-30-J.McCourty, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at PHI 25 - No Play.
55% → 65%
+10%
+3.08
Q4
1:05
PHI
(1:05) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep left to 13-N.Agholor [54-D.Hightower]. PHI-13-N.Agholor was injured during the play.
11% → 1%
-10%
-2.72
Q2
0:23
PHI
(:23) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz FUMBLES (Aborted) at PHI 47, and recovers at PHI 42. 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 46 for -7 yards (53-K.Van Noy).
60% → 51%
-9%
-0.89
Q3
13:31
NWE
(13:31) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 34-R.Burkhead to PHI 30 for 30 yards (29-A.Maddox).
48% → 56%
+9%
+2.10
Q4
1:52
PHI
(1:52) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 13-N.Agholor to NE 26 for 19 yards (30-J.McCourty).
14% → 22%
+8%
+2.08
Q2
10:37
NWE
(10:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-B.Watson to PHI 31 for 22 yards (23-R.McLeod).
21% → 29%
+7%
+2.56
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 55%
15:00 PHI 7-J.Bailey kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 55%
15:00 PHI 1 & 10 (15:00) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep left to 35-B.Scott. PENALTY on NE-30-J.McCourty, Defensive Pass Interference, 49 yards, enforced at PHI 25 - No Play. EPA +3.1WP 55%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
14:50 PHI 1 & 10 (14:50) 26-M.Sanders right end pushed ob at NE 19 for 7 yards (31-J.Jones). EPA +0.4WP 65%I_FORM 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
14:14 PHI 2 & 3 (14:14) (Shotgun) PENALTY on PHI-71-J.Peters, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 19 - No Play. EPA -0.6WP 67% 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
13:50 PHI 2 & 8 (13:50) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep right to 26-M.Sanders. EPA -0.6WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRWHEELCOVER_1
13:46 PHI 3 & 8 (13:46) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 80-J.Matthews (24-S.Gilmore). EPA -1.7WP 61%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
13:42 PHI 4 & 8 (13:42) 4-J.Elliott 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston. EPA +0.9WP 57%
13:38 NWE 4-J.Elliott kicks 65 yards from PHI 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 41%
13:38 NWE 1 & 10 (13:38) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 26-S.Michel to NE 37 for 12 yards (47-N.Gerry; 31-J.Mills). EPA +0.8WP 41%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRSCREENCOVER_1
12:56 NWE 1 & 10 (12:56) 26-S.Michel up the middle to NE 40 for 3 yards (47-N.Gerry; 27-M.Jenkins). EPA -0.3WP 43%I_FORM 6 OL, 1 RB, 0 TE, 2 WR,1 LB
12:22 NWE 2 & 7 (12:22) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 11-J.Edelman. EPA -0.8WP 42%SINGLEBACK 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WRGOCOVER_1
12:19 NWE 3 & 7 (12:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 11-J.Edelman [55-B.Graham]. EPA -1.5WP 39%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_1
12:08 PHI 1 & 10 (12:08) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 24 for 3 yards (32-D.McCourty). EPA -0.3WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_1
11:30 PHI 2 & 7 (11:30) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left tackle to PHI 27 for 3 yards (71-D.Shelton). EPA -0.1WP 63%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
11:04 PHI 3 & 4 (11:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle to 19-J.Arcega-Whiteside to PHI 36 for 9 yards (25-T.Brooks). PENALTY on PHI-71-J.Peters, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 27 - No Play. EPA -1.0WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:32 PHI 3 & 9 (10:32) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep right to 16-M.Hollins. EPA -1.4WP 60%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_1
10:27 PHI 4 & 9 (10:27) 1-C.Johnston punts 51 yards to NE 27, Center-45-R.Lovato. 14-M.Sanu to NE 26 for -1 yards (39-C.James; 36-R.Ford). EPA +0.9WP 57%
10:17 NWE 1 & 10 (10:17) (Shotgun) 34-R.Burkhead left end to NE 27 for 1 yard (21-R.Darby). EPA -0.5WP 41%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:43 NWE 2 & 9 (9:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman ran ob at NE 37 for 10 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +1.3WP 39%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
9:12 NWE 1 & 10 (9:12) 26-S.Michel right tackle to NE 40 for 3 yards (91-F.Cox). EPA -0.3WP 44%I_FORM 6 OL, 1 RB, 0 TE, 2 WR,1 LB
8:34 NWE 2 & 7 (8:34) 26-S.Michel left end to NE 35 for -5 yards (54-K.Grugier-Hill). EPA -1.6WP 43%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
7:51 NWE 3 & 12 (7:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 28-J.White to NE 40 for 5 yards (55-B.Graham). EPA -0.7WP 38%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_2
7:18 NWE 4 & 7 (7:18) 7-J.Bailey punts 55 yards to PHI 5, Center-49-J.Cardona, out of bounds. EPA +0.7WP 38%
7:09 PHI 1 & 10 (7:09) (Shotgun) 35-B.Scott up the middle to PHI 9 for 4 yards (71-D.Shelton; 93-L.Guy). EPA -0.3WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
6:26 PHI 2 & 6 (6:26) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 13 for 4 yards (24-S.Gilmore). EPA -0.1WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRFLATCOVER_1
5:40 PHI 3 & 2 (5:40) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 26-M.Sanders to PHI 17 for 4 yards (27-J.Jackson). EPA +1.0WP 62%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_0
5:00 PHI 1 & 10 (5:00) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz ran ob at PHI 26 for 9 yards (55-J.Simon) [25-T.Brooks]. EPA +0.9WP 64%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureSCREENCOVER_2
4:17 PHI 2 & 1 (4:17) 11-C.Wentz scrambles left end to PHI 27 for 1 yard (55-J.Simon). PENALTY on NE-71-D.Shelton, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 27. EPA +0.2WP 66%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
3:56 PHI 1 & 10 (3:56) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 13-N.Agholor to PHI 37 for 5 yards (31-J.Jones). EPA -0.0WP 66%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_1
3:12 PHI 2 & 5 (3:12) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 88-D.Goedert to NE 42 for 21 yards (53-K.Van Noy). EPA +1.4WP 66%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_2
2:19 Timeout #1 by PHI at 02:19. EPA +0.0WP 68%
2:19 PHI 1 & 10 (2:19) (Shotgun) 35-B.Scott right guard to NE 37 for 5 yards (91-D.Wise). EPA +0.0WP 68%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
1:44 PHI 2 & 5 (1:44) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right tackle to NE 32 for 5 yards (50-C.Winovich). EPA +0.6WP 68%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:03 PHI 1 & 10 (1:03) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz scrambles up the middle to NE 24 for 8 yards (55-J.Simon). EPA +0.7WP 69%EMPTY 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:33 PHI 2 & 2 (:33) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left end to NE 19 for 5 yards (50-C.Winovich). EPA +0.2WP 70%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:00 PHI END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 71%
Quarter 2
15:00 PHI 1 & 10 (15:00) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 26-M.Sanders to NE 14 for 5 yards (53-K.Van Noy). EPA +0.1WP 71%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WRSCREENCOVER_2
14:16 PHI 2 & 5 (14:16) 26-M.Sanders left end to NE 8 for 6 yards (71-D.Shelton). EPA +0.5WP 70%SINGLEBACK 6 OL, 1 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
13:30 PHI 1 & 8 (13:30) 26-M.Sanders up the middle to NE 5 for 3 yards (32-D.McCourty). EPA -0.0WP 74%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
12:47 PHI 2 & 5 (12:47) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 13-N.Agholor. EPA -1.0WP 73%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_0
12:40 PHI 3 & 5 (12:40) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Jones at NE -3. Touchback. The Replay Official reviewed the interception ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle to 88-D.Goedert for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +2.7WP 72%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSLANTCOVER_1
12:36 PHI 4-J.Elliott extra point is GOOD, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston. EPA +0.1WP 77%
12:36 NWE 4-J.Elliott kicks 66 yards from PHI 35 to NE -1. 38-B.Bolden to NE 24 for 25 yards (39-C.James). EPA -0.2WP 23%
12:24 NWE 2 & 10 (12:24) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to NE 36 for 12 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +1.5WP 21%I_FORM 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_1
11:56 NWE 1 & 10 (11:56) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 13-P.Dorsett (21-R.Darby). EPA -0.5WP 24%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_3
11:47 NWE 2 & 10 (11:47) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 15-N.Harry to NE 47 for 11 yards (21-R.Darby). EPA +1.2WP 23%SINGLEBACK 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WRpressureSLANTCOVER_3
11:08 NWE 1 & 10 (11:08) 34-R.Burkhead up the middle to NE 47 for no gain (31-J.Mills). Penalty on NE-14-M.Sanu, Illegal Shift, declined. EPA -0.5WP 25%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:45 NWE 2 & 10 (10:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 11-J.Edelman (31-J.Mills). EPA -0.8WP 24%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRCORNERCOVER_1
10:37 NWE 3 & 10 (10:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 84-B.Watson to PHI 31 for 22 yards (23-R.McLeod). EPA +2.6WP 21%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_1
8:40 NWE 4 & 7 (8:40) 2-N.Folk 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey. EPA +0.4WP 23%
8:37 PHI 7-J.Bailey kicks 58 yards from NE 35 to PHI 7. 35-B.Scott MUFFS catch, touched at PHI 7, and recovers at PHI 11. 35-B.Scott to PHI 22 for 11 yards (38-B.Bolden). FUMBLES (38-B.Bolden), ball out of bounds at PHI 40. EPA -0.3WP 74%
8:30 PHI 1 & 10 (8:30) 35-B.Scott left end to PHI 26 for 4 yards (55-J.Simon). EPA +0.0WP 74%I_FORM 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
6:58 PHI 3 & 17 (6:58) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep right to 80-J.Matthews. EPA -0.7WP 70%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_1
6:54 PHI 4 & 17 (6:54) 1-C.Johnston punts 47 yards to NE 38, Center-45-R.Lovato. 14-M.Sanu to PHI 48 for 14 yards (36-R.Ford). EPA -0.8WP 67%
6:41 NWE 1 & 10 (6:41) 34-R.Burkhead up the middle to PHI 45 for 3 yards (27-M.Jenkins). EPA -0.2WP 34%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
6:08 NWE 2 & 7 (6:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 34-R.Burkhead [75-V.Curry]. EPA -0.7WP 34%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureANGLECOVER_0
6:02 NWE 3 & 7 (6:02) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 11-J.Edelman to PHI 33 for 12 yards (23-R.McLeod). EPA +1.7WP 31%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureSLANTCOVER_1
5:49 NWE 1 & 10 (5:49) (Shotgun) 26-S.Michel right end to PHI 25 for 8 yards (54-K.Grugier-Hill). EPA +0.5WP 36%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:14 NWE 2 & 2 (5:14) 34-R.Burkhead right end to PHI 21 for 4 yards (47-N.Gerry; 31-J.Mills). PHI-47-N.Gerry was injured during the play. His return is Probable. EPA +0.2WP 39%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
4:52 NWE 1 & 10 (4:52) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 28-J.White to PHI 23 for -2 yards (54-K.Grugier-Hill). EPA -0.9WP 39%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_3
4:12 NWE 2 & 12 (4:12) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 84-B.Watson to PHI 4 for 19 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +2.3WP 37%SINGLEBACK 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WRGOCOVER_1
3:36 NWE 1 & 4 (3:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 14-M.Sanu (23-R.McLeod). EPA -0.4WP 41%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCORNERCOVER_1
3:32 NWE 2 & 4 (3:32) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 11-J.Edelman. EPA -1.0WP 40%I_FORM 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_1
3:27 NWE 3 & 4 (3:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 28-J.White. EPA -1.5WP 38%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_1
3:24 NWE 4 & 4 (3:24) 2-N.Folk 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey. EPA +0.0WP 33%
3:21 PHI 7-J.Bailey kicks 60 yards from NE 35 to PHI 5. 35-B.Scott to PHI 28 for 23 yards (43-N.Ebner). EPA +0.1WP 66%
3:14 PHI 1 & 10 (3:14) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders left end to PHI 32 for 4 yards (71-D.Shelton). EPA +0.1WP 67%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
2:34 PHI 2 & 6 (2:34) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 23 for -9 yards (71-D.Shelton). FUMBLES (71-D.Shelton) [71-D.Shelton], RECOVERED by NE-93-L.Guy at PHI 22. 93-L.Guy to PHI 22 for no gain (11-C.Wentz). EPA -5.1WP 66%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
2:26 NWE 1 & 10 (2:26) 26-S.Michel up the middle to PHI 20 for 2 yards (76-A.Huggins; 57-T.Edwards). EPA -0.4WP 51%I_FORM 1 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR,1 LB
2:00 NWE 2 & 8 (2:00) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 26-S.Michel to PHI 21 for -1 yards (54-K.Grugier-Hill). EPA -0.9WP 49%I_FORM 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WRFLATCOVER_1
1:52 Timeout #2 by PHI at 01:52. EPA +0.0WP 46%
1:52 NWE 3 & 9 (1:52) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 14-M.Sanu. EPA -0.4WP 46%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_1
1:47 NWE 4 & 9 (1:47) 2-N.Folk 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey. EPA +0.5WP 42%
1:44 PHI 7-J.Bailey kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 59%
1:44 PHI 1 & 10 (1:44) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 13-N.Agholor to PHI 36 for 11 yards (27-J.Jackson). EPA +0.3WP 59%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRHITCHCOVER_1
1:15 PHI 1 & 10 (1:15) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 48 for 12 yards (25-T.Brooks). EPA +0.7WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_1
0:53 PHI 1 & 10 (:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 86-Z.Ertz to NE 44 for 8 yards (32-D.McCourty). EPA -0.2WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRINCOVER_1
0:27 PHI 2 & 2 (:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at NE 47 for -3 yards (70-A.Butler). EPA -0.7WP 65%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:23 Timeout #3 by PHI at 00:23. EPA +0.0WP 60%
0:23 PHI 3 & 5 (:23) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz FUMBLES (Aborted) at PHI 47, and recovers at PHI 42. 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 46 for -7 yards (53-K.Van Noy). EPA -0.9WP 60%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:14 PHI 4 & 12 (:14) 1-C.Johnston punts 37 yards to NE 17, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-49-A.Singleton. EPA -0.1WP 51%
0:02 NWE 1 & 10 (:02) 12-T.Brady kneels to NE 16 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0WP 47% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 45%
0:14 Timeout #1 by NE at 00:14. EPA +0.0WP 51%
Quarter 3
15:00 NWE 4-J.Elliott kicks 66 yards from PHI 35 to NE -1. 38-B.Bolden to NE 16 for 17 yards (39-C.James). EPA -0.6WP 45%
14:52 NWE 1 & 10 (14:52) 14-M.Sanu left end to NE 24 for 8 yards (27-M.Jenkins). EPA +0.5WP 43%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
14:30 NWE 2 & 2 (14:30) (No Huddle) 34-R.Burkhead up the middle to NE 30 for 6 yards (55-B.Graham). EPA +0.5WP 47%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
13:57 NWE 1 & 10 (13:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 13-P.Dorsett to NE 40 for 10 yards (21-R.Darby). EPA +0.7WP 45%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_1
13:31 NWE 1 & 10 (13:31) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 34-R.Burkhead to PHI 30 for 30 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +2.1WP 48%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureSCREENCOVER_2
12:16 NWE 2 & 9 (12:16) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-P.Dorsett to PHI 21 for 8 yards (47-N.Gerry). EPA +0.6WP 56%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_2
11:32 NWE 1 & 10 (11:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 13-P.Dorsett. EPA -0.5WP 60%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_1
11:28 NWE 2 & 10 (11:28) (No Huddle) 28-J.White left end to PHI 15 for -1 yards (96-D.Barnett). EPA -1.1WP 58%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:55 NWE 3 & 11 (10:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-J.Edelman pass short right to 13-P.Dorsett for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-M.Jenkins]. TDEPA +3.6WP 53%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressurePOSTCOVER_2
12:51 NWE 1 & 10 (12:51) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-M.Sanu to PHI 29 for 1 yard (23-R.McLeod). EPA -0.4WP 56%PISTOL 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_1
10:49 PHI 7-J.Bailey kicks 65 yards from NE 35 to PHI 0. 35-B.Scott to PHI 26 for 26 yards (50-C.Winovich). EPA +0.0WP 29%
11:58 NWE 3 & 1 (11:58) 28-J.White up the middle to PHI 14 for 7 yards (36-R.Ford; 29-A.Maddox). EPA +0.8WP 57%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:44 PHI 1 & 10 (10:44) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right end to PHI 26 for no gain (71-D.Shelton). EPA -0.6WP 29%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:04 PHI 2 & 10 (10:04) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep right to 88-D.Goedert. EPA -0.8WP 26%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_1
9:58 PHI 3 & 10 (9:58) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 80-J.Matthews to PHI 32 for 6 yards (27-J.Jackson). EPA -0.7WP 25%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_1
9:25 PHI 4 & 4 (9:25) 1-C.Johnston punts 47 yards to NE 21, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 14-M.Sanu. EPA +0.2WP 24%
9:17 NWE 1 & 10 (9:17) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 15-N.Harry to NE 25 for 4 yards (47-N.Gerry). EPA +0.0WP 73%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_1
8:55 NWE 2 & 6 (8:55) (No Huddle) 28-J.White left end to NE 26 for 1 yard (75-V.Curry). EPA -0.7WP 73%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:32 NWE 3 & 5 (8:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 84-B.Watson. EPA -1.4WP 72%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_1
12:54 PHI 4 & 2 (12:54) 1-C.Johnston punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-45-R.Lovato, Touchback. EPA -0.3WP 15%
12:45 NWE 1 & 10 (12:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 84-B.Watson to NE 31 for 11 yards (27-M.Jenkins). EPA +0.7WP 82%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
12:08 NWE 1 & 10 (12:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 34-R.Burkhead to NE 35 for 4 yards (47-N.Gerry). EPA -0.1WP 85%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_1
11:48 NWE 2 & 6 (11:48) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 15-N.Harry (21-R.Darby). EPA -0.7WP 85%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_1
11:46 NWE 3 & 6 (11:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 16-J.Meyers to NE 42 for 7 yards (21-R.Darby). EPA +1.6WP 84%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRINCOVER_1
11:13 NWE 1 & 10 (11:13) (No Huddle) 28-J.White right end to NE 47 for 5 yards (21-R.Darby). PENALTY on NE-84-B.Watson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 42 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 89%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:49 NWE 1 & 20 (10:49) 28-J.White right guard to NE 41 for 9 yards (36-R.Ford). EPA -0.0WP 86%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:21 NWE 2 & 11 (10:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 16-J.Meyers. EPA -0.8WP 86%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_1
10:20 NWE 3 & 11 (10:20) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 11-J.Edelman (29-A.Maddox) [91-F.Cox]. PHI-29-A.Maddox was injured during the play. EPA -1.1WP 84%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 0 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_0
10:14 NWE 4 & 11 (10:14) 7-J.Bailey punts 54 yards to PHI 5, Center-49-J.Cardona. 35-B.Scott to PHI 12 for 7 yards (29-J.Bethel). EPA +0.3WP 82%
10:04 PHI 1 & 10 (10:04) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 37 for 25 yards (32-D.McCourty). EPA +1.5WP 18%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_3
9:24 PHI 1 & 10 (9:24) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Goedert (58-J.Collins). EPA -0.5WP 23%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_2
9:19 PHI 2 & 10 (9:19) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders up the middle to PHI 39 for 2 yards (25-T.Brooks). EPA -0.7WP 20%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:35 PHI 3 & 8 (8:35) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep right to 80-J.Matthews (30-J.McCourty). EPA -1.3WP 18%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRGOCOVER_1
8:29 PHI 4 & 8 (8:29) 1-C.Johnston punts 59 yards to NE 2, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-36-R.Ford. EPA +1.3WP 14%
8:18 NWE 1 & 10 (8:18) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman ran ob at NE 7 for 5 yards (31-J.Mills). EPA +0.3WP 83%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_1
7:51 NWE 2 & 5 (7:51) 26-S.Michel right end to NE 19 for 12 yards (47-N.Gerry). EPA +1.0WP 81%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
7:09 NWE 1 & 10 (7:09) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 11-J.Edelman to NE 33 for 14 yards (29-A.Maddox). EPA +0.9WP 87%I_FORM 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_1
6:30 NWE 1 & 10 (6:30) (Shotgun) 26-S.Michel left end to NE 35 for 2 yards (96-D.Barnett). EPA -0.6WP 89%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:46 NWE 2 & 8 (5:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 15-N.Harry to NE 38 for 3 yards (21-R.Darby). EPA -0.3WP 88%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_4
5:00 NWE 3 & 5 (5:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 28-J.White to NE 39 for 1 yard (47-N.Gerry). EPA -1.1WP 90%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_1
4:17 NWE 4 & 4 (4:17) 7-J.Bailey punts 55 yards to PHI 6, Center-49-J.Cardona. 35-B.Scott to PHI 12 for 6 yards (51-J.Bentley). PENALTY on PHI-36-R.Ford, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 6 yards, enforced at PHI 12. EPA +0.5WP 90%
4:07 PHI 1 & 10 (4:07) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 19-J.Arcega-Whiteside to PHI 35 for 29 yards (21-D.Harmon) [50-C.Winovich]. EPA +1.5WP 15%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_2
3:21 PHI 1 & 10 (3:21) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 88-D.Goedert (25-T.Brooks) [54-D.Hightower]. EPA -0.5WP 18%EMPTY 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_1
3:15 PHI 2 & 10 (3:15) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short middle to 80-J.Matthews [53-K.Van Noy]. PHI-71-J.Peters was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. PENALTY on NE-24-S.Gilmore, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at PHI 35 - No Play. EPA +0.7WP 15%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
3:11 PHI 1 & 10 (3:11) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 13-N.Agholor to PHI 45 for 5 yards (24-S.Gilmore). EPA +0.1WP 16%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_2
2:34 PHI 2 & 5 (2:34) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left to 88-D.Goedert to NE 45 for 10 yards (25-T.Brooks). EPA +0.9WP 15%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRINCOVER_1
2:00 PHI 1 & 10 (2:00) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short right to 80-J.Matthews (27-J.Jackson) [53-K.Van Noy]. EPA -0.4WP 20%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureOUTCOVER_1
1:56 PHI 2 & 10 (1:56) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 13-N.Agholor (70-A.Butler). EPA -0.6WP 17%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_1
1:52 PHI 3 & 10 (1:52) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 13-N.Agholor to NE 26 for 19 yards (30-J.McCourty). EPA +2.1WP 14%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressurePOSTCOVER_1
1:18 PHI 1 & 10 (1:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 86-Z.Ertz. EPA -0.4WP 22%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WROUTCOVER_1
1:15 PHI 2 & 10 (1:15) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 13-N.Agholor. EPA -0.4WP 18%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_2
1:08 PHI 3 & 10 (1:08) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 86-Z.Ertz. EPA -1.0WP 15%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WROUTCOVER_2
1:05 PHI 4 & 10 (1:05) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep left to 13-N.Agholor [54-D.Hightower]. PHI-13-N.Agholor was injured during the play. EPA -2.7WP 11%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRpressurePOSTCOVER_0
0:58 NWE 1 & 10 (:58) 26-S.Michel left end to NE 29 for 3 yards (50-D.Riley). EPA -0.1WP 99%JUMBO 6 OL, 1 RB, 2 TE, 0 WR,1 LB
0:55 Timeout #1 by PHI at 00:55. EPA +0.0WP 98%
0:55 NWE 2 & 7 (:55) 26-S.Michel left end to NE 30 for 1 yard (93-T.Jernigan). EPA -0.3WP 98%JUMBO 6 OL, 1 RB, 2 TE, 0 WR,1 LB
0:51 Timeout #2 by PHI at 00:51. EPA +0.0WP 98%
0:50 NWE 3 & 6 (:50) 26-S.Michel right end to NE 34 for 4 yards (54-K.Grugier-Hill). EPA -0.5WP 98%JUMBO 6 OL, 1 RB, 2 TE, 0 WR,1 LB
0:46 Timeout #3 by PHI at 00:46. EPA +0.0WP 98%
0:46 NWE 4 & 2 (:46) 7-J.Bailey punts 54 yards to PHI 12, Center-49-J.Cardona, downed by NE. EPA +0.1WP 98%
0:34 PHI 1 & 10 (:34) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short left to 86-Z.Ertz (30-J.McCourty). PENALTY on PHI-62-J.Kelce, Offensive Holding, 6 yards, enforced at PHI 12 - No Play. EPA -0.2WP 3%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:27 PHI 1 & 16 (:27) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 88-D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Jackson at PHI 33. 27-J.Jackson ran ob at PHI 16 for 17 yards (26-M.Sanders). PENALTY on NE-25-T.Brooks, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at PHI 6 - No Play. EPA +0.1WP 2%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:16 PHI 1 & 10 (:16) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 86-Z.Ertz to PHI 42 for 21 yards (25-T.Brooks). EPA +0.1WP 2%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRPOSTPREVENT
0:03 PHI 1 & 10 (:03) 11-C.Wentz spiked the ball to stop the clock. EPA +0.0WP 3% 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRPREVENT