From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20β7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(6:16) 5-D.McNabb pass short left INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Moore (71-I.Idonije) [30-D.Moore] at CHI 46. 30-D.Moore for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
0β6
Q1
6:03
CHI
9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
0β7
Q1
1:14
WAS
(1:14) 5-D.McNabb pass deep left to 89-S.Moss for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6β7
Q1
1:08
WAS
4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith.
7β7
Q2
12:14
WAS
(12:14) 4-G.Gano 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith.
10β7
Q2
0:31
CHI
(:31) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 13-J.Knox for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10β13
Q2
0:24
CHI
9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard.
10β14
Q3
1:53
CHI
(1:53) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall at WAS 8. 23-D.Hall for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CHI-73-J.Webb, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
16β14
Q3
1:36
WAS
4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith.
17β14
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. CHI closed at 0%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q3
1:53
CHI
(1:53) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall at WAS 8. 23-D.Hall for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CHI-73-J.Webb, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
80% β 41%
-39%
-10.87
Q1
6:16
WAS
(6:16) 5-D.McNabb pass short left INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Moore (71-I.Idonije) [30-D.Moore] at CHI 46. 30-D.Moore for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
53% β 25%
-28%
-10.15
Q4
2:24
CHI
(2:24) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall [91-V.Holliday] at WAS 13. 23-D.Hall to WAS 13 for no gain (13-J.Knox).
42% β 19%
-23%
-2.25
Q4
13:02
CHI
(13:02) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 22-M.Forte to WAS 24 for 11 yards (52-R.McIntosh). FUMBLES (52-R.McIntosh), RECOVERED by WAS-94-A.Carriker at WAS 25. 94-A.Carriker to WAS 25 for no gain (74-C.Williams).
52% β 32%
-19%
-4.24
Q4
10:24
WAS
(10:24) 46-R.Torain left guard to CHI 17 for 4 yards (59-P.Tinoisamoa). FUMBLES (59-P.Tinoisamoa), RECOVERED by CHI-33-C.Tillman at CHI 15. 33-C.Tillman to CHI 7 for -8 yards (13-A.Armstrong).
81% β 62%
-19%
-4.06
Q4
8:13
WAS
(8:13) 4-G.Gano 37 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith.
77% β 60%
-18%
-3.49
Q4
10:10
CHI
(10:10) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall at CHI 13. 23-D.Hall to CHI 13 for no gain (86-B.Manumaleuna).
35% β 18%
-17%
-4.07
Q3
11:54
CHI
(11:54) 78-K.Shaffer reported in as eligible. 6-J.Cutler right guard to WAS 1 for no gain (59-L.Fletcher). FUMBLES (59-L.Fletcher), RECOVERED by WAS-59-L.Fletcher at WAS 1. 59-L.Fletcher to WAS 1 for no gain (60-L.Louis).
83% β 69%
-15%
-5.07
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 42%
15:00 WAS 9-R.Gould kicks 61 yards from CHI 30 to WAS 9. 16-B.Banks to WAS 23 for 14 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at WAS 23. 16-B.Banks to WAS 23 for no gain (81-R.Davis). EPA +0.1WP 42%
14:53 WAS 1 & 10 (14:53) 5-D.McNabb pass deep middle to 13-A.Armstrong to WAS 43 for 20 yards (38-D.Manning) [71-I.Idonije]. EPA +1.5WP 43%
14:21 WAS 1 & 10 (14:21) PENALTY on WAS-75-A.Hicks, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 43 - No Play. EPA -0.7WP 46%
14:10 WAS 1 & 15 (14:10) 46-R.Torain right end to WAS 49 for 11 yards (95-A.Adams). EPA +1.0WP 44%
13:39 WAS 2 & 4 (13:39) 46-R.Torain right tackle to CHI 49 for 2 yards (26-T.Jennings). EPA -0.4WP 47%
13:03 WAS 3 & 2 (13:03) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short right to 89-S.Moss. EPA -2.0WP 45%
13:00 WAS 4 & 2 (13:00) 17-H.Smith punts 49 yards to end zone, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Touchback. EPA -0.4WP 42%
12:51 CHI 1 & 10 (12:51) PENALTY on CHI-70-E.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CHI 20 - No Play. EPA -0.7WP 61%
12:51 CHI 1 & 15 (12:51) 22-M.Forte left tackle to CHI 15 for no gain (94-A.Carriker, 59-L.Fletcher). EPA -0.7WP 60%
12:16 CHI 2 & 15 (12:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 23-D.Hester to CHI 20 for 5 yards (52-R.McIntosh). EPA +0.0WP 59%
11:37 CHI 3 & 10 (11:37) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short middle to 80-E.Bennett. EPA -1.3WP 57%
11:32 CHI 4 & 10 (11:32) 4-B.Maynard punts 39 yards to WAS 41, Center-65-P.Mannelly. 16-B.Banks to 50 for 9 yards (36-J.Bullocks). EPA -0.5WP 55%
11:22 WAS 1 & 10 (11:22) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short middle to 46-R.Torain [90-J.Peppers]. EPA -0.5WP 48%
11:18 WAS 2 & 10 (11:18) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete deep left to 13-A.Armstrong. EPA -0.9WP 46%
11:13 WAS 3 & 10 (11:13) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short middle to 47-C.Cooley. EPA -1.6WP 43%
11:08 WAS 4 & 10 (11:08) 17-H.Smith punts 20 yards to CHI 30, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds. EPA -0.9WP 39%
11:01 CHI 1 & 10 (11:01) 22-M.Forte left end to CHI 32 for 2 yards (30-L.Landry, 98-B.Orakpo). EPA -0.3WP 62%
10:24 CHI 2 & 8 (10:24) Direct snap to 23-D.Hester. 23-D.Hester left end to CHI 31 for -1 yards (99-A.Carter). EPA -0.8WP 61%
9:39 CHI 3 & 9 (9:39) 6-J.Cutler sacked at CHI 21 for -10 yards (92-A.Haynesworth). EPA -2.3WP 58%
9:22 CHI 4 & 19 (9:22) 4-B.Maynard punts 40 yards to WAS 39, Center-65-P.Mannelly, downed by CHI-65-P.Mannelly. EPA +0.5WP 54%
9:11 WAS 1 & 10 (9:11) 46-R.Torain left tackle to WAS 41 for 2 yards (69-H.Melton, 75-M.Toeaina). EPA -0.4WP 45%
8:36 WAS 2 & 8 (8:36) 5-D.McNabb pass short middle to 86-F.Davis to CHI 42 for 17 yards (54-B.Urlacher; 46-C.Harris). EPA +1.8WP 44%
7:54 WAS 1 & 10 (7:54) 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 47-C.Cooley to CHI 37 for 5 yards (75-M.Toeaina). EPA +0.1WP 48%
7:14 WAS 2 & 5 (7:14) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 45-M.Sellers to CHI 22 for 15 yards (33-C.Tillman). EPA +1.4WP 52%
6:37 WAS 1 & 10 (6:37) 46-R.Torain right end to CHI 26 for -4 yards (59-P.Tinoisamoa). PENALTY on WAS-77-J.Brown, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 22 - No Play. EPA -1.1WP 57%
6:16 WAS 1 & 20 (6:16) 5-D.McNabb pass short left INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Moore (71-I.Idonije) [30-D.Moore] at CHI 46. 30-D.Moore for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA -10.2WP 53%
6:03 CHI 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard. EPA +0.0WP 75%
6:03 WAS 9-R.Gould kicks 71 yards from CHI 30 to WAS -1. 16-B.Banks to WAS 28 for 29 yards (81-R.Davis). EPA +0.5WP 24%
5:58 WAS 1 & 10 (5:58) 46-R.Torain right guard to WAS 33 for 5 yards (75-M.Toeaina). EPA +0.1WP 25%
5:25 WAS 2 & 5 (5:25) 5-D.McNabb scrambles right end to WAS 35 for 2 yards (96-B.Turner). EPA -0.5WP 24%
4:39 WAS 3 & 3 (4:39) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass short middle to 89-S.Moss to CHI 49 for 16 yards (46-C.Harris). EPA +2.0WP 24%
4:04 WAS 1 & 10 (4:04) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short left to 45-M.Sellers. EPA -0.5WP 27%
4:00 WAS 2 & 10 (4:00) 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 47-C.Cooley to CHI 41 for 8 yards (54-B.Urlacher). EPA +0.3WP 26%
3:14 WAS 3 & 2 (3:14) 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 47-C.Cooley to CHI 35 for 6 yards (26-T.Jennings). EPA +1.2WP 26%
2:34 WAS 1 & 10 (2:34) 46-R.Torain right guard to CHI 25 for 10 yards (46-C.Harris). EPA +0.7WP 29%
1:54 WAS 1 & 10 (1:54) 46-R.Torain left end to CHI 24 for 1 yard (59-P.Tinoisamoa). EPA -0.2WP 31%
1:14 WAS 2 & 9 (1:14) 5-D.McNabb pass deep left to 89-S.Moss for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +3.3WP 30%
1:08 WAS 4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +0.0WP 40%
1:08 CHI 4-G.Gano kicks 76 yards from WAS 30 to CHI -6. 38-D.Manning to CHI 20 for 26 yards (48-C.Horton). EPA -0.0WP 59%
1:02 CHI 1 & 10 (1:02) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short left to 13-J.Knox. EPA -0.5WP 59%
0:58 CHI 2 & 10 (:58) 6-J.Cutler sacked at CHI 14 for -6 yards (52-R.McIntosh). EPA -1.6WP 58%
0:27 CHI 3 & 16 (:27) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 29-C.Taylor to CHI 19 for 5 yards (98-B.Orakpo). EPA -0.5WP 55%
0:00 CHI END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 53%
Quarter 2
15:00 CHI 4 & 11 (15:00) 4-B.Maynard punts 37 yards to WAS 44, Center-65-P.Mannelly. 16-B.Banks to 50 for 6 yards (53-N.Roach). EPA -0.3WP 53%
14:50 WAS 1 & 10 (14:50) 89-S.Moss right end to WAS 48 for -2 yards (59-P.Tinoisamoa). EPA -0.8WP 49%
14:13 WAS 2 & 12 (14:13) 5-D.McNabb pass deep left to 13-A.Armstrong to CHI 30 for 22 yards (38-D.Manning). EPA +2.3WP 46%
13:35 WAS 1 & 10 (13:35) 46-R.Torain left guard to CHI 25 for 5 yards (90-J.Peppers). EPA +0.2WP 54%
13:00 WAS 2 & 5 (13:00) 46-R.Torain right end to CHI 28 for -3 yards (54-B.Urlacher). EPA -1.0WP 54%
12:18 WAS 3 & 8 (12:18) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short left to 89-S.Moss. EPA -1.0WP 51%
12:14 WAS 4 & 8 (12:14) 4-G.Gano 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +1.2WP 46%
12:09 CHI 4-G.Gano kicks 60 yards from WAS 30 to CHI 10. 38-D.Manning to CHI 20 for 10 yards (97-L.Alexander; 54-H.Blades). PENALTY on CHI-21-C.Graham, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 20. EPA -0.7WP 49%
12:03 CHI 1 & 10 (12:03) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 13-J.Knox to CHI 35 for 25 yards (30-L.Landry). EPA +1.6WP 48%
11:25 CHI 1 & 10 (11:25) PENALTY on CHI-74-C.Williams, False Start, 6 yards, enforced at CHI 35 - No Play. EPA -0.5WP 52%
11:25 CHI 1 & 16 (11:25) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short left to 22-M.Forte [30-L.Landry]. EPA -0.6WP 49%
11:03 CHI 2 & 16 (11:03) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep left to 23-D.Hester (31-P.Buchanon). EPA -0.8WP 47%
10:56 CHI 3 & 16 (10:56) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler sacked at CHI 22 for -7 yards (98-B.Orakpo, 91-V.Holliday). EPA -1.5WP 44%
10:31 CHI 4 & 23 (10:31) 4-B.Maynard punts 28 yards to 50, Center-65-P.Mannelly, downed by CHI-25-G.Wolfe. EPA -0.6WP 41%
10:21 WAS 1 & 10 (10:21) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short right to 45-M.Sellers. EPA -0.4WP 62%
10:16 WAS 2 & 10 (10:16) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 47-C.Cooley pushed ob at CHI 47 for 3 yards (33-C.Tillman). EPA -0.5WP 60%
9:53 WAS 3 & 7 (9:53) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete deep middle to 13-A.Armstrong. EPA -1.6WP 59%
9:48 WAS 4 & 7 (9:48) 17-H.Smith punts 25 yards to CHI 22, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds. EPA -0.5WP 54%
9:42 CHI 1 & 10 (9:42) (Shotgun) 22-M.Forte right tackle to CHI 28 for 6 yards (59-L.Fletcher). EPA +0.3WP 50%
9:09 CHI 2 & 4 (9:09) 22-M.Forte right guard to CHI 31 for 3 yards (54-H.Blades, 99-A.Carter). EPA +0.0WP 50%
8:28 CHI 3 & 1 (8:28) 78-K.Shaffer reported in as eligible. 29-C.Taylor left guard to CHI 27 for -4 yards (92-A.Haynesworth). EPA -2.0WP 50%
7:55 CHI 4 & 5 (7:55) 4-B.Maynard punts 34 yards to WAS 39, Center-65-P.Mannelly. 16-B.Banks to WAS 44 for 5 yards (25-G.Wolfe). EPA -1.1WP 43%
7:45 WAS 1 & 10 (7:45) 46-R.Torain left guard to WAS 43 for -1 yards (90-J.Peppers; 33-C.Tillman). EPA -0.8WP 59%
7:07 WAS 2 & 11 (7:07) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short left to 47-C.Cooley (71-I.Idonije) [33-C.Tillman]. EPA -0.7WP 56%
7:03 WAS 3 & 11 (7:03) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short left to 84-J.Galloway (59-P.Tinoisamoa) [46-C.Harris]. EPA -1.2WP 54%
6:58 WAS 4 & 11 (6:58) 17-H.Smith punts 50 yards to CHI 7, Center-57-N.Sundberg. 23-D.Hester ran ob at CHI 19 for 12 yards (95-C.Wilson). Penalty on CHI-58-R.Wilson, Illegal Formation, declined. EPA +0.0WP 50%
6:47 CHI 1 & 10 (6:47) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 22-M.Forte to CHI 23 for 4 yards (97-L.Alexander, 52-R.McIntosh). EPA -0.2WP 49%
6:03 CHI 2 & 6 (6:03) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 23-D.Hester to CHI 26 for 3 yards (22-C.Rogers). EPA -0.2WP 48%
5:23 CHI 3 & 3 (5:23) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short left to 82-G.Olsen (30-L.Landry). EPA -1.3WP 47%
5:17 CHI 4 & 3 (5:17) 4-B.Maynard punts 44 yards to WAS 30, Center-65-P.Mannelly, fair catch by 16-B.Banks. EPA +0.0WP 43%
5:10 WAS 1 & 10 (5:10) 46-R.Torain right guard to WAS 30 for no gain (91-T.Harris). EPA -0.5WP 56%
4:31 WAS 2 & 10 (4:31) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short left to 46-R.Torain [59-P.Tinoisamoa]. EPA -0.5WP 54%
4:26 WAS 3 & 10 (4:26) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 47-C.Cooley pushed ob at WAS 39 for 9 yards (71-I.Idonije). EPA -0.4WP 53%
4:19 WAS 4 & 1 (4:19) 17-H.Smith punts 31 yards to CHI 30, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds. EPA -1.0WP 54%
4:13 CHI 1 & 10 (4:13) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short right to 82-G.Olsen (23-D.Hall). PENALTY on WAS-98-B.Orakpo, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at CHI 30 - No Play. EPA +0.4WP 50%
4:06 CHI 1 & 5 (4:06) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 23-D.Hester pushed ob at CHI 44 for 9 yards (23-D.Hall). EPA +0.2WP 52%
3:38 CHI 1 & 10 (3:38) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 80-E.Bennett to 50 for 6 yards (22-C.Rogers). EPA +0.3WP 53%
3:00 CHI 2 & 4 (3:00) 29-C.Taylor right guard to WAS 47 for 3 yards (98-B.Orakpo; 92-A.Haynesworth). PENALTY on WAS-98-B.Orakpo, Defensive Offside, 6 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play. EPA +0.4WP 53%
2:34 CHI 1 & 10 (2:34) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 80-E.Bennett to WAS 38 for 6 yards (30-L.Landry). EPA +0.4WP 57%
2:00 CHI 2 & 4 (2:00) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 13-J.Knox to WAS 25 for 13 yards (23-D.Hall). EPA +0.7WP 59%
1:18 Timeout #1 by CHI at 01:18. EPA +0.0WP 60%
1:18 CHI 1 & 10 (1:18) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 13-J.Knox to WAS 14 for 11 yards (37-R.Doughty) [92-A.Haynesworth]. EPA +0.8WP 60%
0:41 CHI 1 & 10 (:41) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 22-M.Forte to WAS 9 for 5 yards (52-R.McIntosh). EPA +0.0WP 61%
0:31 Timeout #2 by CHI at 00:31. EPA +0.0WP 61%
0:31 CHI 2 & 5 (:31) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 13-J.Knox for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +2.5WP 61%
0:24 CHI 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard. EPA +0.0WP 71%
0:24 WAS 9-R.Gould kicks 73 yards from CHI 30 to WAS -3. 16-B.Banks pushed ob at WAS 18 for 21 yards (26-T.Jennings). EPA -0.1WP 28%
0:17 WAS 1 & 10 (:17) 5-D.McNabb kneels to WAS 17 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0WP 28%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 69%
Quarter 3
15:00 CHI 4-G.Gano kicks 67 yards from WAS 30 to CHI 3. 38-D.Manning to CHI 23 for 20 yards (45-M.Sellers). EPA +0.2WP 69%
14:55 CHI 1 & 10 (14:55) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep left to 13-J.Knox. EPA -0.5WP 70%
14:50 CHI 2 & 10 (14:50) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 80-E.Bennett to CHI 39 for 16 yards (31-P.Buchanon). EPA +1.7WP 68%
14:09 CHI 1 & 10 (14:09) 22-M.Forte right guard to CHI 43 for 4 yards (59-L.Fletcher, 52-R.McIntosh). EPA -0.0WP 72%
13:24 CHI 2 & 6 (13:24) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 82-G.Olsen to WAS 49 for 8 yards (37-R.Doughty; 59-L.Fletcher). EPA +0.6WP 74%
12:45 CHI 1 & 10 (12:45) 6-J.Cutler pass deep left to 80-E.Bennett to WAS 1 for 48 yards (31-P.Buchanon). Chicago challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1.) EPA +3.6WP 75%
11:54 CHI 1 & 1 (11:54) 78-K.Shaffer reported in as eligible. 6-J.Cutler right guard to WAS 1 for no gain (59-L.Fletcher). FUMBLES (59-L.Fletcher), RECOVERED by WAS-59-L.Fletcher at WAS 1. 59-L.Fletcher to WAS 1 for no gain (60-L.Louis). EPA -5.1WP 83%
11:42 WAS 1 & 10 (11:42) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 89-S.Moss to WAS 13 for 12 yards (33-C.Tillman). EPA +1.0WP 31%
11:01 WAS 1 & 10 (11:01) 5-D.McNabb sacked at WAS 5 for -8 yards (52-B.Iwuh). FUMBLES (52-B.Iwuh), and recovers at WAS 5. 5-D.McNabb to WAS 5 for no gain (95-A.Adams). EPA -1.5WP 32%
10:21 WAS 2 & 18 (10:21) (Shotgun) PENALTY on WAS-5-D.McNabb, Delay of Game, 2 yards, enforced at WAS 5 - No Play. EPA -0.1WP 28%
10:18 WAS 2 & 20 (10:18) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 86-F.Davis pushed ob at WAS 14 for 11 yards (33-C.Tillman). EPA +0.4WP 28%
9:43 WAS 3 & 9 (9:43) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 89-S.Moss to WAS 20 for 6 yards (30-D.Moore). EPA -0.6WP 28%
9:12 WAS 4 & 3 (9:12) 17-H.Smith punts 27 yards to WAS 47, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds. EPA -0.9WP 27%
9:06 CHI 1 & 10 (9:06) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 23-D.Hester INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall at WAS 39. 23-D.Hall to WAS 39 for no gain (23-D.Hester). EPA -4.5WP 76%
9:00 WAS 1 & 10 (9:00) 46-R.Torain right guard to WAS 42 for 3 yards (95-A.Adams, 54-B.Urlacher). EPA -0.2WP 36%
8:20 WAS 2 & 7 (8:20) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short left to 86-F.Davis. EPA -0.8WP 35%
8:14 WAS 3 & 7 (8:14) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass deep middle intended for 84-J.Galloway INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Manning [69-H.Melton] at CHI 22. 38-D.Manning to CHI 41 for 19 yards (35-K.Williams). Washington challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass deep middle intended for 84-J.Galloway INTERCEPTED by 38-D.Manning [69-H.Melton] at CHI 22. 38-D.Manning to CHI 22 for no gain (84-J.Galloway). EPA -1.3WP 31%
8:08 CHI 1 & 10 (8:08) 29-C.Taylor left tackle to CHI 34 for 12 yards (92-A.Haynesworth; 41-K.Moore). EPA +0.9WP 71%
7:34 CHI 1 & 10 (7:34) 29-C.Taylor left guard to CHI 46 for 12 yards (41-K.Moore). EPA +0.9WP 73%
6:57 CHI 1 & 10 (6:57) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 22-M.Forte to WAS 41 for 13 yards (96-M.Kemoeatu; 97-L.Alexander). EPA +0.8WP 75%
6:10 CHI 1 & 10 (6:10) 22-M.Forte right guard to WAS 38 for 3 yards (59-L.Fletcher). EPA -0.3WP 78%
5:30 CHI 2 & 7 (5:30) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 29-C.Taylor to WAS 33 for 5 yards (96-M.Kemoeatu). EPA +0.1WP 78%
4:44 CHI 3 & 2 (4:44) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 23-D.Hester to WAS 26 for 7 yards (59-L.Fletcher). EPA +1.0WP 78%
4:00 CHI 1 & 10 (4:00) 22-M.Forte left tackle to WAS 16 for 10 yards (59-L.Fletcher). EPA +0.6WP 80%
3:16 CHI 1 & 10 (3:16) 22-M.Forte left guard to WAS 13 for 3 yards (94-A.Carriker). EPA -0.1WP 82%
2:36 CHI 2 & 7 (2:36) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 22-M.Forte to WAS 13 for no gain (23-D.Hall). EPA -0.7WP 81%
1:53 CHI 3 & 7 (1:53) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall at WAS 8. 23-D.Hall for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CHI-73-J.Webb, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced between downs. TDEPA -10.9WP 80%
1:36 WAS 4-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +0.0WP 59%
1:36 CHI 4-G.Gano kicks 61 yards from WAS 45 to CHI -6. 38-D.Manning pushed ob at CHI 16 for 22 yards (31-P.Buchanon). EPA -0.2WP 40%
1:30 CHI 1 & 10 (1:30) 22-M.Forte right tackle to CHI 19 for 3 yards (23-D.Hall). EPA -0.3WP 40%
0:54 CHI 2 & 7 (:54) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 82-G.Olsen to CHI 31 for 12 yards (52-R.McIntosh). EPA +1.2WP 39%
0:11 CHI 1 & 10 (:11) 6-J.Cutler sacked at CHI 29 for -2 yards (98-B.Orakpo). EPA -0.8WP 41%
0:00 CHI END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 37%
Quarter 4
15:00 CHI 2 & 12 (15:00) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep left to 82-G.Olsen. EPA -0.8WP 37%
14:56 CHI 3 & 12 (14:56) 6-J.Cutler pass deep middle to 82-G.Olsen to WAS 48 for 23 yards (52-R.McIntosh). EPA +2.9WP 34%
14:14 CHI 1 & 10 (14:14) 23-D.Hester right end to WAS 42 for 6 yards (23-D.Hall). EPA +0.2WP 48%
13:34 CHI 2 & 4 (13:34) 22-M.Forte right end pushed ob at WAS 35 for 7 yards (30-L.Landry). EPA +0.6WP 49%
13:02 CHI 1 & 10 (13:02) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 22-M.Forte to WAS 24 for 11 yards (52-R.McIntosh). FUMBLES (52-R.McIntosh), RECOVERED by WAS-94-A.Carriker at WAS 25. 94-A.Carriker to WAS 25 for no gain (74-C.Williams). EPA -4.2WP 52%
12:54 WAS 1 & 10 (12:54) 46-R.Torain right end to WAS 34 for 9 yards (26-T.Jennings; 46-C.Harris). EPA +0.7WP 68%
12:18 WAS 2 & 1 (12:18) 46-R.Torain right end to CHI 44 for 22 yards (36-J.Bullocks). EPA +1.2WP 70%
11:35 WAS 1 & 10 (11:35) 35-K.Williams left guard to CHI 44 for no gain (95-A.Adams, 71-I.Idonije). EPA -0.4WP 74%
10:55 WAS 2 & 10 (10:55) 46-R.Torain right end pushed ob at CHI 21 for 23 yards (26-T.Jennings; 38-D.Manning). EPA +2.1WP 73%
10:24 WAS 1 & 10 (10:24) 46-R.Torain left guard to CHI 17 for 4 yards (59-P.Tinoisamoa). FUMBLES (59-P.Tinoisamoa), RECOVERED by CHI-33-C.Tillman at CHI 15. 33-C.Tillman to CHI 7 for -8 yards (13-A.Armstrong). EPA -4.1WP 81%
10:15 CHI 1 & 10 (10:15) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep left to 82-G.Olsen [93-P.Daniels]. EPA -0.5WP 38%
10:10 CHI 2 & 10 (10:10) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall at CHI 13. 23-D.Hall to CHI 13 for no gain (86-B.Manumaleuna). EPA -4.1WP 35%
10:03 WAS 1 & 10 (10:03) 46-R.Torain right guard to CHI 13 for no gain (90-J.Peppers). EPA -0.4WP 82%
9:18 WAS 2 & 10 (9:18) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 47-C.Cooley to CHI 6 for 7 yards (33-C.Tillman). FUMBLES (33-C.Tillman), ball out of bounds at CHI 4. PENALTY on WAS-47-C.Cooley, Illegal Bat, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 4. EPA -0.3WP 81%
8:49 WAS 2 & 11 (8:49) 5-D.McNabb pass incomplete short middle to 89-S.Moss. EPA -0.7WP 80%
8:45 WAS 3 & 11 (8:45) 5-D.McNabb sacked at CHI 19 for -5 yards (71-I.Idonije). FUMBLES (71-I.Idonije) [71-I.Idonije], and recovers at CHI 19. 5-D.McNabb to CHI 19 for no gain (71-I.Idonije). EPA -0.9WP 79%
8:13 WAS 4 & 16 (8:13) 4-G.Gano 37 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA -3.5WP 77%
8:07 CHI 1 & 10 (8:07) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 23-D.Hester to CHI 33 for 6 yards (23-D.Hall). EPA +0.3WP 40%
7:33 CHI 2 & 4 (7:33) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short left to 13-J.Knox. EPA -0.6WP 41%
7:29 CHI 3 & 4 (7:29) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 22-M.Forte to 50 for 17 yards (59-L.Fletcher, 23-D.Hall). PENALTY on CHI-73-J.Webb, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CHI 33 - No Play. EPA -1.4WP 39%
7:03 CHI 3 & 14 (7:03) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 74-C.Williams to CHI 27 for 4 yards (22-C.Rogers, 91-V.Holliday). Ball tipped by #30 L.Landry. EPA -0.4WP 31%
6:22 CHI 4 & 10 (6:22) 4-B.Maynard punts 32 yards to WAS 41, Center-65-P.Mannelly. 16-B.Banks to WAS 42 for 1 yard (25-G.Wolfe, 65-P.Mannelly). EPA -0.7WP 28%
6:12 WAS 1 & 10 (6:12) 46-R.Torain left end to WAS 42 for no gain (46-C.Harris). PENALTY on WAS-78-K.Lichtensteiger, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at WAS 42 - No Play. EPA -0.9WP 77%
5:46 WAS 1 & 20 (5:46) 46-R.Torain left tackle to WAS 39 for 7 yards (33-C.Tillman). FUMBLES (33-C.Tillman), recovered by WAS-13-A.Armstrong at WAS 41. 13-A.Armstrong to WAS 41 for no gain (54-B.Urlacher). EPA +0.0WP 73%
5:05 WAS 2 & 11 (5:05) 5-D.McNabb pass short right to 89-S.Moss to WAS 46 for 5 yards (26-T.Jennings). EPA -0.1WP 74%
4:21 WAS 3 & 6 (4:21) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb sacked at WAS 37 for -9 yards (59-P.Tinoisamoa). PENALTY on CHI-71-I.Idonije, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at WAS 46 - No Play. EPA +0.9WP 75%
4:16 WAS 3 & 1 (4:16) 46-R.Torain right guard to 50 for -1 yards (52-B.Iwuh, 71-I.Idonije). EPA -1.9WP 79%
3:37 WAS 4 & 2 (3:37) 17-H.Smith punts 31 yards to CHI 19, Center-57-N.Sundberg, out of bounds. EPA -0.5WP 73%
3:31 CHI 1 & 10 (3:31) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short left to 23-D.Hester. EPA -0.4WP 36%
3:27 CHI 2 & 10 (3:27) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 13-J.Knox to CHI 31 for 12 yards (23-D.Hall). EPA +1.2WP 33%
2:55 CHI 1 & 10 (2:55) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 13-J.Knox to CHI 47 for 16 yards (30-L.Landry). EPA +0.8WP 37%
2:24 CHI 1 & 10 (2:24) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Hall [91-V.Holliday] at WAS 13. 23-D.Hall to WAS 13 for no gain (13-J.Knox). EPA -2.3WP 42%
2:16 WAS 1 & 10 (2:16) 46-R.Torain right tackle to WAS 11 for -2 yards (52-B.Iwuh). EPA -0.6WP 81%
2:12 Timeout #2 by CHI at 02:12. EPA +0.0WP 76%
2:12 WAS 2 & 12 (2:12) 5-D.McNabb pass short left to 47-C.Cooley to WAS 25 for 14 yards (26-T.Jennings). EPA +1.0WP 76%
2:00 WAS 1 & 10 (2:00) 46-R.Torain left guard to WAS 26 for 1 yard (33-C.Tillman). EPA -0.6WP 88%
1:53 Timeout #3 by CHI at 01:53. EPA +0.0WP 87%
1:53 WAS 2 & 9 (1:53) 46-R.Torain right tackle pushed ob at CHI 47 for 27 yards (38-D.Manning). EPA +1.0WP 87%
1:45 WAS 1 & 10 (1:45) 5-D.McNabb kneels to CHI 48 for -1 yards. EPA -0.3WP 93%
1:04 WAS 2 & 11 (1:04) 5-D.McNabb kneels to CHI 49 for -1 yards. EPA -0.3WP 95%
0:26 WAS 3 & 12 (:26) 5-D.McNabb kneels to 50 for -1 yards. EPA -0.4WP 95%