From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20β7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
2008-02-03 Β· Super Bowl XLII Β· NFL Β· University of Phoenix Stadium (closed, grass) Β· Coaches: Tom Coughlin (away), Bill Belichick (home) Β· Referee Mike Carey Β· Line: New England Patriots +12.5, O/U 54.5
(5:06) 9-L.Tynes 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-93-J.Alford, Holder-18-J.Feagles. This drive (9:59) was the longest drive in Super Bowl history.
3β0
Q2
15:00
NWE
(15:00) NE 50-Vrabel eligible. 39-L.Maroney right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3β6
Q2
14:57
NWE
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson.
3β7
Q4
11:10
NY
(11:10) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 85-D.Tyree for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9β7
Q4
11:05
NY
9-L.Tynes extra point is GOOD, Center-93-J.Alford, Holder-18-J.Feagles.
10β7
Q4
2:45
NWE
(2:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10β13
Q4
2:42
NWE
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson.
10β14
Q4
0:39
NY
(:39) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 17-P.Burress for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16β14
Q4
0:35
NY
9-L.Tynes extra point is GOOD, Center-93-J.Alford, Holder-18-J.Feagles.
17β14
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. NWE closed at 0%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q4
1:15
NY
(1:15) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 85-D.Tyree to NE 24 for 32 yards (37-R.Harrison).
24% β 50%
+26%
+2.62
Q4
0:39
NY
(:39) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 17-P.Burress for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
53% β 74%
+21%
+2.76
Q2
12:04
NY
(12:04) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left intended for 12-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 27-E.Hobbs at NE 10. 27-E.Hobbs pushed ob at NE 33 for 23 yards (44-A.Bradshaw).
42% β 26%
-16%
-5.31
Q4
0:45
NY
(:45) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 12-S.Smith pushed ob at NE 13 for 12 yards (31-B.Meriweather).
37% β 53%
+16%
+1.67
Q4
2:45
NWE
(2:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
62% β 75%
+14%
+2.98
Q2
14:11
NY
(14:11) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 81-A.Toomer ran ob at NE 19 for 38 yards.
30% β 44%
+14%
+3.91
Q4
14:52
NY
(14:52) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 89-K.Boss to NE 35 for 45 yards (37-R.Harrison).
31% β 42%
+11%
+3.00
Q2
0:22
NWE
(:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 49 for -7 yards (91-J.Tuck). FUMBLES (91-J.Tuck), RECOVERED by NYG-72-O.Umenyiora at NE 49. 72-O.Umenyiora to NE 49 for no gain (67-D.Koppen).
80% β 68%
-11%
-2.26
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 42%
15:00 NY 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 72 yards from NE 30 to NYG -2. 87-D.Hixon to NYG 23 for 25 yards (58-P.Woods, 52-E.Alexander). EPA +0.1WP 42%
14:55 NY 1 & 10 (14:55) 27-B.Jacobs left tackle to NYG 26 for 3 yards (96-A.Thomas). EPA -0.1WP 43%
14:14 NY 2 & 7 (14:14) 27-B.Jacobs up the middle to NYG 28 for 2 yards (75-V.Wilfork, 94-T.Warren). EPA -0.5WP 42%
13:32 NY 3 & 5 (13:32) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 17-P.Burress to NYG 42 for 14 yards (36-J.Sanders). EPA +1.9WP 41%
12:53 NY 1 & 10 (12:53) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 39-M.Hedgecock to NYG 45 for 3 yards (55-J.Seau). EPA -0.2WP 45%
12:03 NY 2 & 7 (12:03) 27-B.Jacobs right tackle to NYG 46 for 1 yard (94-T.Warren). EPA -0.7WP 45%
11:17 NY 3 & 6 (11:17) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 12-S.Smith to NE 46 for 8 yards (37-R.Harrison). NE-21-R.Gay was injured during the play. EPA +1.8WP 43%
10:32 NY 1 & 10 (10:32) 27-B.Jacobs left tackle to NE 39 for 7 yards (36-J.Sanders, 94-T.Warren). EPA +0.4WP 48%
9:49 NY 2 & 3 (9:49) 44-A.Bradshaw right guard to NE 37 for 2 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.2WP 50%
9:01 NY 3 & 1 (9:01) 44-A.Bradshaw right tackle to NE 29 for 8 yards (94-T.Warren, 75-V.Wilfork). EPA +1.2WP 50%
8:17 NY 1 & 10 (8:17) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short left to 89-K.Boss. EPA -0.4WP 55%
8:11 NY 2 & 10 (8:11) 27-B.Jacobs right tackle to NE 26 for 3 yards (94-T.Warren, 50-M.Vrabel). EPA -0.3WP 53%
7:27 NY 3 & 7 (7:27) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 12-S.Smith to NE 17 for 9 yards (50-M.Vrabel) [26-E.Wilson]. EPA +1.5WP 51%
6:41 NY 1 & 10 (6:41) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to 17-P.Burress (27-E.Hobbs). EPA -0.4WP 56%
6:35 NY 2 & 10 (6:35) (Shotgun) 27-B.Jacobs left end to NE 18 for -1 yards (96-A.Thomas, 27-E.Hobbs). EPA -1.0WP 55%
5:47 NY 3 & 11 (5:47) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 12-S.Smith to NE 14 for 4 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.6WP 52%
5:06 NY 4 & 7 (5:06) 9-L.Tynes 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-93-J.Alford, Holder-18-J.Feagles. This drive (9:59) was the longest drive in Super Bowl history. EPA +0.3WP 49%
5:01 NWE 9-L.Tynes kicks 69 yards from NYG 30 to NE 1. 39-L.Maroney pushed ob at NE 44 for 43 yards (35-K.Dockery). EPA +1.5WP 50%
4:52 NWE 1 & 10 (4:52) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 39-L.Maroney [96-B.Cofield]. EPA -0.5WP 55%
4:47 NWE 2 & 10 (4:47) 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NYG 47 for 9 yards (28-G.Wilson, 31-A.Ross). EPA +0.8WP 53%
4:03 NWE 3 & 1 (4:03) NE 50-Vrabel eligible. 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NYG 42 for 5 yards (37-Ja.Butler). EPA +0.7WP 55%
3:30 NWE 1 & 10 (3:30) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 10-J.Gaffney. EPA -0.5WP 60%
3:24 NWE 2 & 10 (3:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 18-D.Stallworth to NYG 35 for 7 yards (55-K.Mitchell, 58-A.Pierce). EPA +0.2WP 58%
2:37 NWE 3 & 3 (2:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to NYG 27 for 8 yards (35-K.Dockery, 28-G.Wilson). EPA +1.5WP 59%
2:04 NWE 1 & 10 (2:04) 44-H.Evans up the middle to NYG 25 for 2 yards (98-F.Robbins). EPA -0.3WP 63%
1:24 NWE 2 & 8 (1:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-K.Faulk to NYG 17 for 8 yards (29-S.Madison). EPA +1.0WP 61%
0:37 NWE 1 & 10 (:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 84-B.Watson. EPA -0.4WP 63%
0:32 NWE 2 & 10 (:32) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 33-K.Faulk. EPA -0.7WP 62%
0:29 NWE 3 & 10 (:29) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 84-B.Watson [92-M.Strahan]. PENALTY on NYG-58-A.Pierce, Defensive Pass Interference, 16 yards, enforced at NYG 17 - No Play. EPA +2.7WP 60%
0:23 NWE 1 & 1 (:23) NE 50-Vrabel eligible. 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NYG 1 for no gain (91-J.Tuck). EPA -0.3WP 67%
0:00 NWE END QUARTER 1 Super Bowl record-only 2 drives in 1st quarter EPA +0.0WP 66%
Quarter 2
15:00 NWE 2 & 1 (15:00) NE 50-Vrabel eligible. 39-L.Maroney right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +0.9WP 66%
14:57 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0WP 69%
14:57 NY 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 30 to NYG 5, out of bounds. EPA +1.2WP 29%
14:57 NY 1 & 10 (14:57) 27-B.Jacobs up the middle to NYG 43 for 3 yards (75-V.Wilfork). EPA -0.2WP 33%
14:19 NY 2 & 7 (14:19) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short middle to 17-P.Burress (27-E.Hobbs). EPA -0.8WP 33%
14:11 NY 3 & 7 (14:11) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 81-A.Toomer ran ob at NE 19 for 38 yards. EPA +3.9WP 30%
14:03 NY 1 & 10 (14:03) 27-B.Jacobs left guard to NE 15 for 4 yards (93-R.Seymour, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.0WP 44%
13:16 NY 2 & 6 (13:16) PENALTY on NYG-10-E.Manning, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at NE 15 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 42%
12:50 NY 2 & 11 (12:50) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 85-D.Tyree to NE 14 for 6 yards (22-A.Samuel). EPA +0.3WP 40%
12:04 NY 3 & 5 (12:04) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left intended for 12-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 27-E.Hobbs at NE 10. 27-E.Hobbs pushed ob at NE 33 for 23 yards (44-A.Bradshaw). EPA -5.3WP 42%
11:53 NWE 1 & 10 (11:53) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 39-L.Maroney to NE 41 for 8 yards (93-J.Alford). EPA +0.5WP 74%
11:11 NWE 2 & 2 (11:11) 39-L.Maroney left end pushed ob at NE 42 for 1 yard (72-O.Umenyiora). EPA -0.3WP 76%
10:43 NWE 3 & 1 (10:43) 39-L.Maroney left tackle to NE 40 for -2 yards (37-Ja.Butler, 92-M.Strahan). EPA -2.2WP 74%
10:04 NWE 4 & 3 (10:04) 6-C.Hanson punts 40 yards to NYG 20, Center-66-L.Paxton. 25-R.McQuarters to NYG 36 for 16 yards (58-P.Woods). EPA -0.9WP 72%
9:51 NY 1 & 10 (9:51) 10-E.Manning sacked at NYG 33 for -3 yards (97-J.Green). EPA -1.1WP 33%
9:22 NY 2 & 13 (9:22) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYG 32, recovered by NYG-44-A.Bradshaw at NYG 30. 44-A.Bradshaw to NYG 30 for no gain (58-P.Woods). EPA -1.0WP 28%
8:49 NY 3 & 16 (8:49) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short right to 44-A.Bradshaw. EPA -1.0WP 26%
8:46 NY 4 & 16 (8:46) 18-J.Feagles punts 55 yards to NE 15, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 83-W.Welker to NE 30 for 15 yards (37-Ja.Butler). EPA +0.2WP 23%
8:35 NWE 1 & 10 (8:35) 39-L.Maroney up the middle to NE 30 for no gain (91-J.Tuck, 55-K.Mitchell). EPA -0.4WP 75%
7:55 NWE 2 & 10 (7:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 23 for -7 yards (55-K.Mitchell). EPA -1.6WP 73%
7:19 NWE 3 & 17 (7:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 16 for -7 yards (91-J.Tuck). EPA -1.4WP 69%
6:54 NWE 4 & 24 (6:54) 6-C.Hanson punts 41 yards to NYG 43, Center-66-L.Paxton. 25-R.McQuarters pushed ob at NYG 43 for no gain (52-E.Alexander). EPA -0.0WP 66%
6:45 NY 1 & 10 (6:45) 27-B.Jacobs right guard to NYG 45 for 2 yards (54-T.Bruschi). EPA -0.5WP 34%
6:01 NY 2 & 8 (6:01) 44-A.Bradshaw right tackle to NE 42 for 13 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +1.4WP 33%
5:25 NY 1 & 10 (5:25) 27-B.Jacobs right guard to NE 38 for 4 yards (54-T.Bruschi, 93-R.Seymour). EPA -0.1WP 39%
4:40 NY 2 & 6 (4:40) 27-B.Jacobs left guard to NE 31 for 7 yards (54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.7WP 39%
4:01 NY 1 & 10 (4:01) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 44-A.Bradshaw to NE 28 for 3 yards (55-J.Seau) [95-R.Moore]. EPA -0.3WP 42%
3:14 NY 2 & 7 (3:14) 44-A.Bradshaw right tackle to NE 25 for 3 yards (93-R.Seymour). EPA -0.1WP 42%
2:31 NY 3 & 4 (2:31) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning sacked at NE 32 for -7 yards (96-A.Thomas). FUMBLES (96-A.Thomas) [96-A.Thomas], touched at NE 29, recovered by NYG-12-S.Smith at NE 20. 12-S.Smith pushed ob at NE 20 for no gain (31-B.Meriweather). PENALTY on NYG-44-A.Bradshaw, Illegal Bat, 10 yards, enforced at NE 29. EPA -1.8WP 42%
2:01 NY 3 & 18 (2:01) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep left to 12-S.Smith (21-R.Gay). EPA -1.4WP 32%
1:54 NY 4 & 18 (1:54) 18-J.Feagles punts 28 yards to NE 11, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 33-K.Faulk. EPA -0.1WP 27%
1:47 NWE 1 & 10 (1:47) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 81-R.Moss [28-G.Wilson]. EPA -0.1WP 72%
1:41 NWE 2 & 10 (1:41) 39-L.Maroney right end to NE 8 for -3 yards (91-J.Tuck, 72-O.Umenyiora). EPA -0.6WP 71%
1:35 Timeout #1 by NYG at 01:35. EPA +0.0WP 67%
1:35 NWE 3 & 13 (1:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 18-D.Stallworth to NE 26 for 18 yards (58-A.Pierce). EPA +1.6WP 67%
1:11 NWE 1 & 10 (1:11) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 81-R.Moss [91-J.Tuck]. EPA -0.2WP 74%
1:05 NWE 2 & 10 (1:05) (Shotgun) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to NE 41 for 15 yards (92-M.Strahan). PENALTY on NE-84-B.Watson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 33. EPA -0.2WP 72%
0:59 Timeout #1 by NE at 00:59. EPA +0.0WP 72%
0:59 NWE 2 & 13 (:59) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to NE 32 for 9 yards (98-F.Robbins, 91-J.Tuck). EPA +0.0WP 72%
0:35 NWE 3 & 4 (:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to NE 38 for 6 yards (35-K.Dockery). EPA +0.3WP 73%
0:28 Timeout #2 by NE at 00:28. EPA +0.0WP 76%
0:28 NWE 1 & 10 (:28) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss pushed ob at NYG 44 for 18 yards (35-K.Dockery). EPA +0.9WP 76%
0:22 NWE 1 & 10 (:22) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 49 for -7 yards (91-J.Tuck). FUMBLES (91-J.Tuck), RECOVERED by NYG-72-O.Umenyiora at NE 49. 72-O.Umenyiora to NE 49 for no gain (67-D.Koppen). EPA -2.3WP 80%
0:10 NY 1 & 10 (:10) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short middle to 12-S.Smith. EPA -0.3WP 32%
0:05 Timeout #3 by NE at 00:05. EPA +0.0WP 31%
0:05 NY 2 & 10 (:05) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep right to 12-S.Smith. EPA -0.4WP 31%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 69%
Quarter 3
15:00 NWE 9-L.Tynes kicks 65 yards from NYG 30 to NE 5. 39-L.Maroney to NE 21 for 16 yards (57-C.Blackburn, 43-M.Johnson). EPA +0.0WP 69%
14:53 NWE 1 & 10 (14:53) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to NE 36 for 15 yards (37-Ja.Butler, 55-K.Mitchell) [92-M.Strahan]. EPA +1.1WP 69%
14:16 NWE 1 & 10 (14:16) 39-L.Maroney up the middle to NE 43 for 7 yards (37-Ja.Butler, 28-G.Wilson). EPA +0.3WP 72%
13:41 NWE 2 & 3 (13:41) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 33-K.Faulk (92-M.Strahan). EPA -0.9WP 75%
13:36 NWE 3 & 3 (13:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to NE 48 for 5 yards (43-M.Johnson, 55-K.Mitchell) [72-O.Umenyiora]. EPA +1.4WP 73%
13:02 NWE 1 & 10 (13:02) 39-L.Maroney left end to NE 46 for -2 yards (72-O.Umenyiora). EPA -0.9WP 76%
12:18 NWE 2 & 12 (12:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to NYG 47 for 7 yards (58-A.Pierce, 55-K.Mitchell). EPA +0.2WP 72%
11:38 NWE 3 & 5 (11:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to NYG 44 for 3 yards (58-A.Pierce). EPA -1.4WP 73%
11:07 NWE 4 & 2 (11:07) (Punt formation) 6-C.Hanson punts 31 yards to NYG 13, Center-66-L.Paxton. 25-R.McQuarters ran ob at NYG 14 for 1 yard. New England challenged the too many players on field ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Punt formation) PENALTY on NYG-57-C.Blackburn, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 44 - No Play. EPA +3.1WP 71%
11:00 NWE 1 & 10 (11:00) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 39-L.Maroney to NYG 35 for 4 yards (98-F.Robbins, 58-A.Pierce). NE 12-Brady 84 career Super Bowl completions, NFL record. EPA -0.1WP 78%
10:25 NWE 2 & 6 (10:25) PENALTY on NE-72-M.Light, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 35 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 78%
10:08 NWE 2 & 11 (10:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NYG 42 for -2 yards (31-A.Ross, 23-C.Webster). EPA -1.3WP 77%
9:26 NWE 3 & 13 (9:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 33-K.Faulk to NYG 28 for 14 yards (28-G.Wilson, 58-A.Pierce). EPA +3.1WP 73%
8:42 NWE 1 & 10 (8:42) 39-L.Maroney right guard to NYG 28 for no gain (53-R.Torbor). EPA -0.4WP 79%
8:10 NWE 2 & 10 (8:10) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 88-K.Brady to NYG 25 for 3 yards (53-R.Torbor). EPA -0.4WP 78%
7:23 NWE 3 & 7 (7:23) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NYG 31 for -6 yards (92-M.Strahan). EPA -1.7WP 78%
6:49 NWE 4 & 13 (6:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 10-J.Gaffney. EPA -2.7WP 72%
6:43 NY 1 & 10 (6:43) 27-B.Jacobs left guard to NYG 35 for 4 yards (54-T.Bruschi, 93-R.Seymour). EPA -0.1WP 33%
6:06 NY 2 & 6 (6:06) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 81-A.Toomer to NYG 45 for 10 yards (37-R.Harrison; 22-A.Samuel). EPA +1.0WP 33%
5:27 NY 1 & 10 (5:27) 44-A.Bradshaw right guard to NYG 47 for 2 yards (75-V.Wilfork, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA -0.3WP 36%
4:42 NY 2 & 8 (4:42) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 81-A.Toomer to NE 45 for 8 yards (36-J.Sanders). EPA +1.1WP 34%
4:09 NY 1 & 10 (4:09) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to 17-P.Burress (22-A.Samuel). EPA -0.5WP 38%
4:00 NY 2 & 10 (4:00) 44-A.Bradshaw up the middle to NE 41 for 4 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.4WP 36%
3:18 NY 3 & 6 (3:18) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short left to 17-P.Burress (21-R.Gay). EPA -1.9WP 36%
3:12 NY 4 & 6 (3:12) 18-J.Feagles punts 31 yards to NE 10, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, out of bounds. EPA +0.4WP 31%
3:04 NWE 1 & 10 (3:04) PENALTY on NE-84-B.Watson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 10 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 73%
3:04 NWE 1 & 15 (3:04) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 18-D.Stallworth. EPA -0.5WP 72%
3:01 NWE 2 & 15 (3:01) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to NE 21 for 16 yards (28-G.Wilson). EPA +2.1WP 69%
2:19 NWE 1 & 10 (2:19) 39-L.Maroney right tackle to NE 30 for 9 yards (96-B.Cofield, 55-K.Mitchell). EPA +0.8WP 73%
1:47 NWE 2 & 1 (1:47) 39-L.Maroney left end to NE 32 for 2 yards (72-O.Umenyiora). EPA -0.0WP 73%
1:03 NWE 1 & 10 (1:03) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 83-W.Welker to NYG 49 for 19 yards (37-Ja.Butler). EPA +1.2WP 75%
0:17 NWE 1 & 10 (:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 83-W.Welker. EPA -0.5WP 78%
0:14 NWE 2 & 10 (:14) PENALTY on NE-72-M.Light, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NYG 49 - No Play. EPA -0.6WP 77%
0:14 NWE 2 & 15 (:14) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 81-R.Moss. EPA -1.0WP 75%
0:06 NWE 3 & 15 (:06) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 18-D.Stallworth to NYG 45 for 9 yards (37-Ja.Butler). EPA -0.5WP 72%
0:00 NWE END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 70%
Quarter 4
15:00 NWE 4 & 6 (15:00) 6-C.Hanson punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-66-L.Paxton, Touchback. EPA -0.2WP 70%
14:52 NY 1 & 10 (14:52) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 89-K.Boss to NE 35 for 45 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +3.0WP 31%
14:02 NY 1 & 10 (14:02) 44-A.Bradshaw right guard to NE 31 for 4 yards (54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.1WP 42%
13:16 NY 2 & 6 (13:16) 44-A.Bradshaw left guard to NE 29 for 2 yards (93-R.Seymour, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA -0.3WP 42%
12:34 NY 3 & 4 (12:34) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 12-S.Smith to NE 12 for 17 yards (31-B.Meriweather). EPA +1.8WP 40%
11:54 NY 1 & 10 (11:54) (Shotgun) 44-A.Bradshaw up the middle to NE 5 for 7 yards (37-R.Harrison, 36-J.Sanders). EPA +0.4WP 50%
11:10 NY 2 & 3 (11:10) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 85-D.Tyree for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +1.6WP 51%
11:05 NY 9-L.Tynes extra point is GOOD, Center-93-J.Alford, Holder-18-J.Feagles. EPA +0.0WP 59%
11:05 NWE 9-L.Tynes kicks 67 yards from NYG 30 to NE 3. 39-L.Maroney to NE 32 for 29 yards (58-A.Pierce, 59-G.Wilkinson). PENALTY on NE-71-R.Hochstein, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 21. EPA -0.6WP 40%
10:59 NWE 1 & 10 (10:59) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss to NE 28 for 17 yards (58-A.Pierce). EPA +1.1WP 40%
10:26 NWE 1 & 10 (10:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to NE 31 for 3 yards (29-S.Madison). EPA -0.3WP 41%
9:41 NWE 2 & 7 (9:41) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 81-R.Moss. EPA -0.7WP 39%
9:36 NWE 3 & 7 (9:36) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 83-W.Welker (29-S.Madison). EPA -1.2WP 36%
9:30 NWE 4 & 7 (9:30) 6-C.Hanson punts 49 yards to NYG 20, Center-66-L.Paxton. 25-R.McQuarters pushed ob at NYG 29 for 9 yards (53-L.Izzo). EPA +0.0WP 31%
9:20 NY 1 & 10 (9:20) 27-B.Jacobs up the middle to NYG 30 for 1 yard (94-T.Warren, 93-R.Seymour). EPA -0.5WP 72%
8:32 NY 2 & 9 (8:32) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep left to 17-P.Burress. EPA -0.7WP 70%
8:24 NY 3 & 9 (8:24) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 81-A.Toomer to NYG 38 for 8 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.3WP 67%
8:02 NY 4 & 1 (8:02) 18-J.Feagles punts 42 yards to NE 20, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 83-W.Welker. EPA -0.4WP 69%
7:54 NWE 1 & 10 (7:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NE 25 for 5 yards (55-K.Mitchell). EPA +0.1WP 41%
7:19 NWE 2 & 5 (7:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss to NE 35 for 10 yards (23-C.Webster). EPA +0.7WP 39%
6:39 NWE 1 & 10 (6:39) 39-L.Maroney left end pushed ob at NE 44 for 9 yards (37-Ja.Butler). EPA +0.9WP 42%
6:14 NWE 2 & 1 (6:14) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 83-W.Welker to NYG 43 for 13 yards (58-A.Pierce, 37-Ja.Butler). EPA +0.6WP 46%
5:27 NWE 1 & 10 (5:27) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk pushed ob at NYG 39 for 4 yards (58-A.Pierce). EPA -0.0WP 50%
5:01 NWE 2 & 6 (5:01) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 83-W.Welker to NYG 29 for 10 yards (37-Ja.Butler). NE 83-Welker 11th reception of game, ties Super Bowl record (Dan Ross, Jerry Rice & Deion Branch) EPA +0.9WP 50%
4:15 NWE 1 & 10 (4:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 18-D.Stallworth. EPA -0.4WP 54%
4:12 NWE 2 & 10 (4:12) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss to NYG 18 for 11 yards (58-A.Pierce). EPA +1.1WP 52%
3:31 NWE 1 & 10 (3:31) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 33-K.Faulk to NYG 6 for 12 yards (37-Ja.Butler). NYG-98-F.Robbins was injured during the play. EPA +0.8WP 61%
2:55 NWE 1 & 6 (2:55) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short left to 81-R.Moss. EPA -0.5WP 66%
2:49 NWE 2 & 6 (2:49) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short right to 83-W.Welker. NYG-37-Ja.Butler was injured during the play. EPA -0.9WP 65%
2:45 NWE 3 & 6 (2:45) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +3.0WP 62%
2:42 NWE 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. EPA +0.0WP 75%
2:42 NY 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 67 yards from NE 30 to NYG 3. 87-D.Hixon to NYG 17 for 14 yards (41-R.Ventrone). EPA -0.2WP 24%
2:39 NY 1 & 10 (2:39) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 81-A.Toomer to NYG 28 for 11 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +0.6WP 24%
2:09 NY 1 & 10 (2:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short middle to 17-P.Burress. EPA -0.4WP 26%
2:04 NY 2 & 10 (2:04) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short left to 17-P.Burress. EPA -0.6WP 23%
1:59 NY 3 & 10 (1:59) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 81-A.Toomer to NYG 37 for 9 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.3WP 21%
1:34 NY 4 & 1 (1:34) 27-B.Jacobs up the middle to NYG 39 for 2 yards (75-V.Wilfork, 93-R.Seymour). EPA +1.9WP 20%
1:28 NY 1 & 10 (1:28) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning scrambles right tackle to NYG 44 for 5 yards (96-A.Thomas). EPA -0.2WP 28%
1:20 Timeout #1 by NYG at 01:20. EPA +0.0WP 26%
1:20 NY 2 & 5 (1:20) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep right to 85-D.Tyree. EPA -0.4WP 26%
1:15 NY 3 & 5 (1:15) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 85-D.Tyree to NE 24 for 32 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +2.6WP 24%
0:59 Timeout #2 by NYG at 00:59. EPA +0.0WP 50%
0:59 NY 1 & 10 (:59) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning sacked at NE 25 for -1 yards (96-A.Thomas). EPA -0.8WP 50%
0:51 Timeout #3 by NYG at 00:51. EPA +0.0WP 39%
0:51 NY 2 & 11 (:51) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete short left to 85-D.Tyree (31-B.Meriweather). EPA -0.3WP 39%
0:45 NY 3 & 11 (:45) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 12-S.Smith pushed ob at NE 13 for 12 yards (31-B.Meriweather). EPA +1.7WP 37%
0:39 NY 1 & 10 (:39) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 17-P.Burress for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +2.8WP 53%
0:35 NY 9-L.Tynes extra point is GOOD, Center-93-J.Alford, Holder-18-J.Feagles. EPA +0.0WP 74%
0:35 NWE 9-L.Tynes kicks 61 yards from NYG 30 to NE 9. 39-L.Maroney to NE 26 for 17 yards (51-Z.DeOssie, 57-C.Blackburn). EPA +0.0WP 23%
0:29 NWE 1 & 10 (:29) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep right to 10-J.Gaffney. EPA -0.1WP 25%
0:25 NWE 2 & 10 (:25) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 16 for -10 yards (93-J.Alford). EPA -0.2WP 17%
0:19 Timeout #1 by NE at 00:19. EPA +0.0WP 11%
0:19 NWE 3 & 20 (:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 81-R.Moss (23-C.Webster). EPA -0.1WP 11%
0:10 Timeout #2 by NE at 00:10. EPA +0.0WP 5%
0:10 NWE 4 & 20 (:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep left to 81-R.Moss (28-G.Wilson). EPA -1.6WP 5%
0:01 NY 1 & 10 (:01) 10-E.Manning kneels to NE 17 for -1 yards. EPA -1.7WP 98%