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Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos 23–14
2007-09-23 · 2007 week 3 · NFL · Invesco Field at Mile High (outdoors, grass) · 75°F, wind 10 mph · Coaches: Jack Del Rio (away), Mike Shanahan (home) · Referee Terry McAulay · Line: Denver Broncos +3.5, O/U 36
Jacksonville Jaguars 2007 · Denver Broncos 2007 · 2007 season
Score by quarter
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 0 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| DEN | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
Scoring plays
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 13:17 | JAX | (13:17) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-R.Williams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DEN, Defensive 12 On-field, declined. | 6–0 |
| Q2 | 13:09 | JAX | 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. | 7–0 |
| Q2 | 6:44 | DEN | (6:44) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 81-N.Jackson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. | 7–6 |
| Q2 | 6:40 | DEN | 1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun. | 7–7 |
| Q2 | 2:00 | JAX | (2:00) 33-G.Jones up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 13–7 |
| Q2 | 1:56 | JAX | 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. | 14–7 |
| Q2 | 0:11 | JAX | (:11) 1-J.Carney 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. | 17–7 |
| Q3 | 13:14 | JAX | (13:14) 1-J.Carney 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. | 20–7 |
| Q4 | 12:45 | DEN | (12:45) 20-T.Henry left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. | 20–13 |
| Q4 | 12:41 | DEN | 1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun. | 20–14 |
| Q4 | 2:13 | JAX | (2:13) 1-J.Carney 18 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. | 23–14 |
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. DEN closed at 0%.
Turning points
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Win prob. | Swing | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 1:39 | DEN | (1:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 35-S.Young to DEN 41 for 17 yards (27-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (27-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by JAX-99-M.Stroud at DEN 42. 99-M.Stroud to DEN 42 for no gain (89-D.Graham). | 34% → 23% | -11% | -3.02 |
| Q2 | 12:00 | DEN | (12:00) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 35 for 49 yards (25-R.Nelson). | 32% → 43% | +11% | +4.53 |
| Q4 | 6:15 | JAX | (6:15) 32-M.Jones-Drew left tackle to DEN 2 for -1 yards (25-N.Ferguson). FUMBLES (25-N.Ferguson), RECOVERED by DEN-40-C.Cox at DEN 4. 40-C.Cox to DEN 4 for no gain (33-G.Jones; 9-D.Garrard). | 96% → 86% | -10% | -6.02 |
| Q2 | 8:09 | DEN | (8:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 1 for 30 yards (27-R.Mathis). | 42% → 51% | +9% | +3.47 |
| Q3 | 15:00 | DEN | 1-J.Carney kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to DEN -2. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 18 for 20 yards (25-R.Nelson). FUMBLES (25-R.Nelson), RECOVERED by JAX-59-B.Iwuh at DEN 18. 59-B.Iwuh to DEN 18 for no gain (12-D.Hixon). Play Challenged by DEN and Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 14:56.) | 22% → 13% | -9% | -5.06 |
| Q3 | 3:52 | DEN | (3:52) 6-J.Cutler up the middle to JAX 3 for no gain (52-D.Smith). | 13% → 5% | -8% | -2.87 |
| Q2 | 5:26 | JAX | (5:26) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles left guard to DEN 37 for 8 yards (32-D.Bly). | 46% → 54% | +8% | +1.15 |
| Q3 | 7:35 | JAX | (7:35) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 45 for -10 yards (92-E.Dumervil). FUMBLES (92-E.Dumervil), RECOVERED by DEN-92-E.Dumervil at JAX 45. 92-E.Dumervil to JAX 45 for no gain (9-D.Garrard). Penalty on JAX-79-T.Pashos, Offensive Holding, declined. | 92% → 85% | -8% | -4.61 |
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Team stats
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Denver Broncos | |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 20 | 11 |
| Total yards | 340 | 269 |
| Passing yards | 154 | 222 |
| Rushing yards | 186 | 47 |
| Comp–Att | 14–20 | 16–23 |
| Passing TD | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 1 |
| Rushing attempts | 47 | 18 |
| Rushing TD | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 1 |
| Penalties–yards | 3–14 | 6–36 |
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Garrard QB | 14 | 20 | 154 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 109.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fred Taylor RB | 17 | 84 | 0 | 4.9 | 0 |
| David Garrard QB | 12 | 52 | 0 | 4.3 | 1 |
 Maurice Jones-Drew RB | 15 | 37 | 0 | 2.5 | 1 |
 Dennis Northcutt WR | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 |
| Greg Jones FB | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marcedes Lewis TE | 3 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.7 |
| Dennis Northcutt WR | 2 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 18.5 |
| Greg Estandia TE | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23.0 |
| Maurice Jones-Drew RB | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.0 |
 George Wrighster TE | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Reggie Williams WR | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.5 |
| Ernest Wilford WR | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sammy Knight DB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Mike Peterson OLB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reggie Hayward DE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 Reggie Nelson FS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 John Carney K | 3 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Podlesh P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 80 |
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jay Cutler QB | 16 | 23 | 222 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 96.6 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Travis Henry RB | 11 | 35 | 1 | 3.2 | 0 |
| Cecil Sapp RB | 1 | 12 | 0 | 12.0 | 0 |
 Selvin Young RB | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Jay Cutler QB | 2 | -1 | 0 | -0.5 | 0 |
 Javon Walker WR | 1 | -2 | 0 | -2.0 | 0 |
| Mike Bell RB | 1 | -4 | 0 | -4.0 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brandon Marshall WR | 7 | 0 | 133 | 0 | 19.0 |
| Selvin Young RB | 2 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 18.5 |
 Brandon Stokley WR | 3 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.0 |
| Javon Walker WR | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Cecil Sapp RB | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Nate Jackson TE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alvin McKinley DT | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D.J. Williams MLB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Elvis Dumervil DE | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Todd Sauerbrun P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 126 | |
 Jason Elam K | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Total QBR
| Quarterback | Team | QBR | Pts added | Plays | EPA | Pass | Run | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Garrard | JAX | 91.5 | 5.9 | 35 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 3.4 | -1.4 |
| Jay Cutler | DEN | 82.0 | 2.8 | 25 | 3.6 | 4.0 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
Play-by-play
Show every play (151)
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
- 15:00 GAME EPA +0.0 WP 42%
- 15:00 JAX 10-T.Sauerbrun kicks 74 yards from DEN 30 to JAX -4. 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 23 for 27 yards (81-N.Jackson). EPA +0.1 WP 42%
- 14:55 JAX 1 & 10 (14:55) 28-F.Taylor left guard to JAX 25 for 2 yards (60-J.Engelberger). EPA -0.3 WP 43%
- 14:20 JAX 2 & 8 (14:20) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 30 for 5 yards (52-I.Gold, 55-D.Williams). EPA +0.1 WP 42%
- 13:43 JAX 3 & 3 (13:43) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 19-E.Wilford to JAX 36 for 6 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +1.3 WP 41%
- 13:06 JAX 1 & 10 (13:06) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 40 for 4 yards (52-I.Gold). EPA -0.1 WP 45%
- 12:31 JAX 2 & 6 (12:31) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short middle to 89-M.Lewis. EPA -0.8 WP 44%
- 12:25 JAX 3 & 6 (12:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 36 for -4 yards (99-A.McKinley). EPA -1.7 WP 42%
- 12:01 JAX 4 & 10 (12:01) 3-A.Podlesh punts 44 yards to DEN 20, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 34 for 14 yards (88-J.Zelenka). EPA -0.5 WP 38%
- 11:51 DEN 1 & 10 (11:51) 84-J.Walker left end to DEN 32 for -2 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA -0.8 WP 63%
- 11:12 DEN 2 & 12 (11:12) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 89-D.Graham to JAX 34 for 34 yards (26-S.Knight). PENALTY on DEN-81-N.Jackson, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 32 - No Play. EPA -0.5 WP 61%
- 10:46 DEN 2 & 17 (10:46) (Shotgun) 37-C.Sapp up the middle to DEN 39 for 12 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA +0.6 WP 60%
- 10:06 Timeout #1 by JAX at 10:06. EPA +0.0 WP 61%
- 10:06 DEN 3 & 5 (10:06) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short middle to 15-B.Marshall (54-M.Peterson). EPA -1.4 WP 61%
- 10:02 DEN 4 & 5 (10:02) 10-T.Sauerbrun punts 61 yards to end zone, Center-83-M.Leach, Touchback. EPA +0.2 WP 59%
- 9:53 JAX 1 & 10 (9:53) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 89-M.Lewis to JAX 28 for 8 yards (58-N.Webster). EPA +0.5 WP 41%
- 9:25 JAX 2 & 2 (9:25) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 47 for 19 yards (32-D.Bly). EPA +1.4 WP 42%
- 8:42 JAX 1 & 10 (8:42) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle to DEN 47 for 6 yards (63-A.Gordon). EPA +0.3 WP 45%
- 7:56 JAX 2 & 4 (7:56) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 44 for 3 yards (47-J.Lynch, 60-J.Engelberger). EPA -0.1 WP 45%
- 7:16 JAX 3 & 1 (7:16) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 19-E.Wilford to DEN 40 for 4 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +0.8 WP 45%
- 6:41 JAX 1 & 10 (6:41) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 87-G.Wrighster to DEN 33 for 7 yards (52-I.Gold). EPA +0.4 WP 51%
- 6:01 JAX 2 & 3 (6:01) 28-F.Taylor right guard to DEN 33 for no gain (55-D.Williams; 94-J.Moss). EPA -0.7 WP 53%
- 5:16 JAX 3 & 3 (5:16) 32-M.Jones-Drew left guard to DEN 23 for 10 yards (28-J.Shoate). EPA +1.4 WP 50%
- 4:34 JAX 1 & 10 (4:34) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to DEN 19 for 4 yards (55-D.Williams; 58-N.Webster). EPA -0.1 WP 56%
- 3:48 JAX 2 & 6 (3:48) 86-D.Northcutt left end to DEN 14 for 5 yards (32-D.Bly; 25-N.Ferguson). EPA +0.4 WP 55%
- 3:01 JAX 3 & 1 (3:01) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 14 for no gain (94-J.Moss, 79-M.Thomas). EPA -1.1 WP 56%
- 2:40 JAX 4 & 1 (2:40) 9-D.Garrard up the middle to DEN 13 for 1 yard (94-J.Moss). EPA +1.5 WP 52%
- 1:56 JAX 1 & 10 (1:56) 9-D.Garrard scrambles left end to DEN 8 for 5 yards (63-A.Gordon). EPA +0.1 WP 57%
- 1:12 JAX 2 & 5 (1:12) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to DEN 7 for 1 yard (55-D.Williams). EPA -0.7 WP 58%
- 0:32 JAX 3 & 4 (:32) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on JAX, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 7 - No Play. EPA -0.5 WP 56%
- 0:25 JAX 3 & 9 (:25) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 32-M.Jones-Drew to DEN 2 for 10 yards (47-J.Lynch). EPA +2.5 WP 54%
- 0:00 JAX END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0 WP 61%
Quarter 2
- 15:00 JAX 1 & 2 (15:00) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 2 for no gain (63-A.Gordon). EPA -0.5 WP 61%
- 14:21 JAX 2 & 2 (14:21) PENALTY on JAX-83-G.Estandia, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 2 - No Play. EPA -0.9 WP 60%
- 13:58 JAX 2 & 7 (13:58) 32-M.Jones-Drew right tackle to DEN 3 for 4 yards (95-S.Adams). EPA -0.3 WP 57%
- 13:17 JAX 3 & 3 (13:17) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-R.Williams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DEN, Defensive 12 On-field, declined. TD EPA +2.6 WP 58%
- 13:09 JAX 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. EPA +0.0 WP 62%
- 13:09 DEN 1-J.Carney kicks 70 yards from JAX 30 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0 WP 37%
- 13:09 DEN 1 & 10 (13:09) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 84-J.Walker to DEN 31 for 11 yards (25-R.Nelson). PENALTY on DEN-14-B.Stokley, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 20 - No Play. EPA -1.1 WP 37%
- 12:50 DEN 1 & 20 (12:50) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short right to 20-T.Henry. EPA -0.5 WP 35%
- 12:46 DEN 2 & 20 (12:46) (Shotgun) 35-S.Young up the middle to DEN 16 for 6 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA -0.2 WP 33%
- 12:00 DEN 3 & 14 (12:00) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 35 for 49 yards (25-R.Nelson). EPA +4.5 WP 32%
- 11:09 DEN 1 & 10 (11:09) 20-T.Henry right tackle to JAX 29 for 6 yards (96-T.McDaniel). EPA +0.3 WP 43%
- 10:30 DEN 2 & 4 (10:30) 20-T.Henry right end ran ob at JAX 29 for no gain. EPA -0.6 WP 44%
- 9:59 DEN 3 & 4 (9:59) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 17 for 12 yards (29-B.Williams). EPA +1.5 WP 42%
- 9:15 DEN 1 & 10 (9:15) 20-T.Henry left tackle to JAX 17 for no gain (99-M.Stroud). PENALTY on DEN-78-M.Lepsis, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at JAX 17 - No Play. EPA -1.1 WP 47%
- 8:52 DEN 1 & 20 (8:52) (Shotgun) 30-M.Bell up the middle to JAX 31 for -4 yards (97-R.Hayward, 93-B.McCray). EPA -0.8 WP 45%
- 8:09 DEN 2 & 24 (8:09) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 1 for 30 yards (27-R.Mathis). EPA +3.5 WP 42%
- 7:28 DEN 1 & 1 (7:28) 20-T.Henry left tackle to JAX 1 for no gain (95-P.Spicer). EPA -0.3 WP 51%
- 6:44 DEN 2 & 1 (6:44) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 81-N.Jackson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +1.0 WP 50%
- 6:40 DEN 1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun. EPA +0.0 WP 56%
- 6:40 JAX 10-T.Sauerbrun kicks 64 yards from DEN 30 to JAX 6. 32-M.Jones-Drew pushed ob at JAX 48 for 42 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +1.8 WP 43%
- 6:33 JAX 1 & 10 (6:33) 28-F.Taylor right end to JAX 49 for 1 yard (58-N.Webster). EPA -0.5 WP 49%
- 5:56 JAX 2 & 9 (5:56) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to DEN 45 for 6 yards (25-N.Ferguson, 40-C.Cox). JAX-69-K.Barnes was injured during the play. EPA +0.3 WP 47%
- 5:26 JAX 3 & 3 (5:26) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles left guard to DEN 37 for 8 yards (32-D.Bly). EPA +1.2 WP 46%
- 4:43 JAX 1 & 10 (4:43) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short left to 33-G.Jones. EPA -0.4 WP 54%
- 4:35 JAX 2 & 10 (4:35) 9-D.Garrard sacked at DEN 37 for 0 yards (92-E.Dumervil). EPA -0.8 WP 53%
- 3:50 JAX 3 & 10 (3:50) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 86-D.Northcutt pushed ob at DEN 16 for 21 yards (28-J.Shoate). EPA +2.5 WP 50%
- 3:17 JAX 1 & 10 (3:17) 28-F.Taylor right end to DEN 11 for 5 yards (58-N.Webster). EPA +0.1 WP 57%
- 2:34 JAX 2 & 5 (2:34) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to DEN 4 for 7 yards (52-I.Gold). EPA +1.1 WP 58%
- 2:00 JAX 1 & 4 (2:00) 33-G.Jones up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +1.4 WP 61%
- 1:56 JAX 1-J.Carney extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. EPA +0.0 WP 65%
- 1:56 DEN 1-J.Carney kicks 70 yards from JAX 30 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0 WP 34%
- 1:56 DEN 1 & 10 (1:56) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to DEN 24 for 4 yards (21-T.Cousin). EPA +0.0 WP 34%
- 1:39 DEN 2 & 6 (1:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 35-S.Young to DEN 41 for 17 yards (27-R.Mathis). FUMBLES (27-R.Mathis), RECOVERED by JAX-99-M.Stroud at DEN 42. 99-M.Stroud to DEN 42 for no gain (89-D.Graham). EPA -3.0 WP 34%
- 1:26 JAX 1 & 10 (1:26) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 42 for no gain (52-I.Gold). EPA -0.3 WP 77%
- 1:01 JAX 2 & 10 (1:01) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 86-D.Northcutt ran ob at DEN 26 for 16 yards. EPA +1.3 WP 76%
- 0:56 JAX 1 & 10 (:56) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 11-R.Williams to DEN 18 for 8 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +0.7 WP 80%
- 0:48 Timeout #2 by JAX at 00:48. EPA +0.0 WP 81%
- 0:48 JAX 2 & 2 (:48) 32-M.Jones-Drew left guard to DEN 9 for 9 yards (25-N.Ferguson). EPA +0.3 WP 81%
- 0:27 JAX 1 & 9 (:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 11-R.Williams. EPA -0.6 WP 82%
- 0:19 JAX 2 & 9 (:19) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 32-M.Jones-Drew to DEN 1 for 8 yards (55-D.Williams). Penalty on DEN-79-M.Thomas, Defensive Offside, declined. EPA +0.8 WP 81%
- 0:13 JAX 3 & 1 (:13) 9-D.Garrard spiked the ball to stop the clock. EPA -1.5 WP 83%
- 0:11 Timeout #1 by DEN at 00:11. EPA +0.0 WP 82%
- 0:11 JAX 4 & 1 (:11) 1-J.Carney 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. EPA +0.0 WP 82%
- 0:08 DEN 1-J.Carney kicks 75 yards from JAX 30 to DEN -5. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 15 for 20 yards (59-B.Iwuh). EPA -0.0 WP 24%
- 0:04 DEN 1 & 10 (:04) 6-J.Cutler kneels to DEN 14 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0 WP 24%
- 0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 22%
Quarter 3
- 15:00 DEN 1-J.Carney kicks 72 yards from JAX 30 to DEN -2. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 18 for 20 yards (25-R.Nelson). FUMBLES (25-R.Nelson), RECOVERED by JAX-59-B.Iwuh at DEN 18. 59-B.Iwuh to DEN 18 for no gain (12-D.Hixon). Play Challenged by DEN and Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 14:56.) EPA -5.1 WP 22%
- 14:56 JAX 1 & 10 (14:56) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 28-F.Taylor [92-E.Dumervil]. EPA -0.3 WP 87%
- 14:48 JAX 2 & 10 (14:48) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to DEN 13 for 5 yards (55-D.Williams). EPA -0.2 WP 86%
- 14:03 JAX 3 & 5 (14:03) 9-D.Garrard right end to DEN 9 for 4 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA -1.2 WP 86%
- 13:14 JAX 4 & 1 (13:14) 1-J.Carney 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. EPA +0.1 WP 88%
- 13:11 DEN 1-J.Carney kicks 67 yards from JAX 30 to DEN 3. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 26 for 23 yards (23-J.Fudge). EPA +0.4 WP 12%
- 13:04 DEN 1 & 10 (13:04) 20-T.Henry right end to DEN 30 for 4 yards (92-R.Meier). EPA -0.1 WP 13%
- 12:25 DEN 2 & 6 (12:25) 20-T.Henry left tackle to DEN 29 for -1 yards (56-J.Durant, 29-B.Williams). EPA -0.8 WP 13%
- 11:44 DEN 3 & 7 (11:44) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 14-B.Stokley to DEN 35 for 6 yards (26-S.Knight). EPA -0.4 WP 11%
- 11:07 DEN 4 & 1 (11:07) 10-T.Sauerbrun punts 65 yards to end zone, Center-83-M.Leach, Touchback. EPA -0.1 WP 11%
- 10:57 JAX 1 & 10 (10:57) 28-F.Taylor right tackle to JAX 23 for 3 yards (58-N.Webster, 24-C.Bailey). EPA -0.4 WP 91%
- 10:16 JAX 2 & 7 (10:16) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 89-M.Lewis to JAX 41 for 18 yards (25-N.Ferguson). EPA +1.7 WP 91%
- 9:38 JAX 1 & 10 (9:38) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 43 for 2 yards (92-E.Dumervil). EPA -0.3 WP 93%
- 8:55 JAX 2 & 8 (8:55) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle to DEN 49 for 8 yards (92-E.Dumervil). EPA +1.0 WP 92%
- 8:17 JAX 1 & 10 (8:17) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 45 for 4 yards (52-I.Gold). EPA -0.1 WP 93%
- 7:42 JAX 2 & 6 (7:42) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short right to 89-M.Lewis (55-D.Williams). EPA -0.8 WP 93%
- 7:35 JAX 3 & 6 (7:35) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard sacked at JAX 45 for -10 yards (92-E.Dumervil). FUMBLES (92-E.Dumervil), RECOVERED by DEN-92-E.Dumervil at JAX 45. 92-E.Dumervil to JAX 45 for no gain (9-D.Garrard). Penalty on JAX-79-T.Pashos, Offensive Holding, declined. EPA -4.6 WP 92%
- 7:31 DEN 1 & 10 (7:31) Direction Change (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 27 for 17 yards (29-B.Williams; 25-R.Nelson). EPA +1.0 WP 15%
- 6:53 DEN 1 & 10 (6:53) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 25 for 2 yards (97-R.Hayward). EPA -0.3 WP 17%
- 6:16 DEN 2 & 8 (6:16) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall pushed ob at JAX 12 for 13 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA +1.2 WP 16%
- 5:39 DEN 1 & 10 (5:39) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 8 for 4 yards (99-M.Stroud). EPA -0.1 WP 18%
- 5:01 DEN 2 & 6 (5:01) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 84-J.Walker to JAX 4 for 4 yards (27-R.Mathis). EPA -0.1 WP 18%
- 4:28 Timeout #2 by DEN at 04:28. EPA +0.0 WP 18%
- 4:28 DEN 3 & 2 (4:28) (Shotgun) 35-S.Young up the middle to JAX 3 for 1 yard (54-M.Peterson). EPA -1.1 WP 18%
- 3:52 Timeout #3 by DEN at 03:52. EPA +0.0 WP 13%
- 3:52 DEN 4 & 1 (3:52) 6-J.Cutler up the middle to JAX 3 for no gain (52-D.Smith). EPA -2.9 WP 13%
- 3:44 JAX 1 & 10 (3:44) PENALTY on DEN-95-S.Adams, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 3 - No Play. EPA +0.4 WP 95%
- 3:44 JAX 1 & 5 (3:44) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 15 for 7 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +0.5 WP 95%
- 3:09 JAX 1 & 10 (3:09) 9-D.Garrard up the middle to JAX 21 for 6 yards (25-N.Ferguson). EPA +0.3 WP 95%
- 2:33 JAX 2 & 4 (2:33) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to JAX 24 for 3 yards (55-D.Williams). EPA -0.0 WP 95%
- 1:49 JAX 3 & 1 (1:49) 32-M.Jones-Drew right guard to JAX 24 for no gain (95-S.Adams). Penalty on JAX-74-M.Williams, Offensive Holding, declined. EPA -1.6 WP 95%
- 1:31 JAX 4 & 1 (1:31) 3-A.Podlesh punts 36 yards to DEN 40, Center-88-J.Zelenka, out of bounds. EPA -0.3 WP 94%
- 1:22 DEN 1 & 10 (1:22) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 37-C.Sapp to DEN 45 for 5 yards (27-R.Mathis). EPA +0.2 WP 8%
- 0:47 DEN 2 & 5 (:47) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep right to 15-B.Marshall (25-R.Nelson). EPA -0.8 WP 8%
- 0:39 DEN 3 & 5 (:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 14-B.Stokley to JAX 41 for 14 yards (21-T.Cousin). EPA +2.1 WP 8%
- 0:00 DEN END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0 WP 9%
Quarter 4
- 15:00 DEN 1 & 10 (15:00) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 35 for 6 yards (26-S.Knight). EPA +0.3 WP 9%
- 14:26 DEN 2 & 4 (14:26) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete short left to 15-B.Marshall. EPA -0.6 WP 9%
- 14:20 DEN 3 & 4 (14:20) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 14-B.Stokley to JAX 19 for 16 yards (21-T.Cousin). Penalty on JAX-21-T.Cousin, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. EPA +1.9 WP 8%
- 14:02 DEN 1 & 10 (14:02) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 15-B.Marshall to JAX 11 for 8 yards (52-D.Smith). EPA +0.4 WP 13%
- 13:27 DEN 2 & 2 (13:27) 20-T.Henry up the middle to JAX 6 for 5 yards (26-S.Knight). EPA +0.5 WP 14%
- 12:45 DEN 1 & 6 (12:45) 20-T.Henry left tackle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +1.5 WP 14%
- 12:41 DEN 1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun. EPA +0.0 WP 18%
- 12:41 JAX 10-T.Sauerbrun kicks 73 yards from DEN 30 to JAX -3. 32-M.Jones-Drew to JAX 17 for 20 yards (37-C.Sapp). EPA -0.3 WP 81%
- 12:35 JAX 1 & 10 (12:35) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to JAX 20 for 3 yards (55-D.Williams). EPA -0.2 WP 81%
- 11:57 JAX 2 & 7 (11:57) 9-D.Garrard pass short middle to 89-M.Lewis to JAX 38 for 18 yards (25-N.Ferguson, 52-I.Gold). EPA +1.3 WP 81%
- 11:13 JAX 1 & 10 (11:13) 28-F.Taylor up the middle to JAX 39 for 1 yard (25-N.Ferguson). EPA -0.5 WP 85%
- 10:32 JAX 2 & 9 (10:32) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 83-G.Estandia to DEN 38 for 23 yards (52-I.Gold; 25-N.Ferguson). EPA +1.8 WP 84%
- 9:52 JAX 1 & 10 (9:52) 28-F.Taylor left tackle to DEN 26 for 12 yards (40-C.Cox). EPA +0.8 WP 89%
- 9:11 JAX 1 & 10 (9:11) 32-M.Jones-Drew left tackle to DEN 24 for 2 yards (58-N.Webster). EPA -0.3 WP 90%
- 8:29 JAX 2 & 8 (8:29) 9-D.Garrard pass short left to 87-G.Wrighster to DEN 20 for 4 yards (25-N.Ferguson). EPA -0.1 WP 91%
- 7:44 JAX 3 & 4 (7:44) 9-D.Garrard up the middle to DEN 1 for 19 yards (24-C.Bailey). EPA +3.0 WP 93%
- 7:01 JAX 1 & 1 (7:01) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 2 for -1 yards (63-A.Gordon). EPA -0.6 WP 95%
- 6:21 JAX 2 & 2 (6:21) 9-D.Garrard pass incomplete short middle to 87-G.Wrighster (41-K.Paymah). PENALTY on DEN-41-K.Paymah, Defensive Pass Interference, 1 yard, enforced at DEN 2 - No Play. EPA +0.6 WP 95%
- 6:15 JAX 1 & 1 (6:15) 32-M.Jones-Drew left tackle to DEN 2 for -1 yards (25-N.Ferguson). FUMBLES (25-N.Ferguson), RECOVERED by DEN-40-C.Cox at DEN 4. 40-C.Cox to DEN 4 for no gain (33-G.Jones; 9-D.Garrard). EPA -6.0 WP 96%
- 6:09 DEN 1 & 10 (6:09) (Shotgun) 20-T.Henry up the middle to DEN 7 for 3 yards (97-R.Hayward). EPA -0.3 WP 14%
- 5:33 DEN 2 & 7 (5:33) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler sacked at DEN 3 for -4 yards (97-R.Hayward). EPA -0.8 WP 14%
- 5:01 DEN 3 & 11 (5:01) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 84-J.Walker to DEN 9 for 6 yards (26-S.Knight). EPA -0.0 WP 11%
- 4:19 DEN 4 & 5 (4:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep middle to 89-D.Graham (25-R.Nelson). PENALTY on DEN-89-D.Graham, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced between downs. EPA -4.2 WP 11%
- 4:12 JAX 1 & 4 (4:12) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to DEN 1 for 3 yards (25-N.Ferguson). EPA +0.2 WP 95%
- 3:39 JAX 2 & 1 (3:39) PENALTY on JAX, Delay of Game, 4 yards, enforced at DEN 1 - No Play. EPA -0.9 WP 96%
- 3:38 JAX 2 & 5 (3:38) 86-D.Northcutt left end to DEN 1 for 4 yards (58-N.Webster). EPA +0.3 WP 95%
- 2:58 JAX 3 & 1 (2:58) 9-D.Garrard left end to DEN 1 for no gain (32-D.Bly). EPA -2.1 WP 96%
- 2:13 Timeout #1 by JAX at 02:13. EPA +0.0 WP 97%
- 2:13 JAX 4 & 1 (2:13) 1-J.Carney 18 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh. EPA +0.0 WP 97%
- 2:10 DEN 1-J.Carney kicks 74 yards from JAX 30 to DEN -4. 12-D.Hixon to DEN 25 for 29 yards (21-T.Cousin). EPA +0.1 WP 3%
- 2:04 DEN 1 & 10 (2:04) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass incomplete deep left to 15-B.Marshall. EPA -0.4 WP 4%
- 1:58 DEN 2 & 10 (1:58) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 35-S.Young ran ob at DEN 45 for 20 yards. EPA +0.9 WP 2%
- 1:48 DEN 1 & 10 (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep left intended for 14-B.Stokley INTERCEPTED by 26-S.Knight at JAX 34. 26-S.Knight to JAX 35 for 1 yard (14-B.Stokley). EPA -1.5 WP 3%
- 1:40 JAX 1 & 10 (1:40) 9-D.Garrard kneels to JAX 33 for -2 yards. EPA +0.0 WP 99%
- 1:02 JAX 2 & 12 (1:02) 9-D.Garrard kneels to JAX 32 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0 WP 99%
- 0:36 JAX 3 & 13 (:36) 9-D.Garrard kneels to JAX 30 for -2 yards. EPA +0.0 WP 100%
- 0:00 JAX END GAME