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Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots 3–20
2005-01-16 · Divisional round · NFL · Gillette Stadium (outdoors, grass) · 25°F, wind 7 mph · Coaches: Tony Dungy (away), Bill Belichick (home) · Referee Bill Carollo · Line: New England Patriots +1, O/U 51
Indianapolis Colts 2004 · New England Patriots 2004 · 2004 season
Score by quarter
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NWE | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 |
Scoring plays
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 10:46 | NWE | (10:46) 4-A.Vinatieri 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. | 0–3 |
| Q2 | 8:01 | NWE | (8:01) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. | 0–6 |
| Q2 | 0:02 | IND | (:02) 13-M.Vanderjagt 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. | 3–6 |
| Q3 | 1:37 | NWE | (1:37) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 3rd career playoff TD reception for Givens, tying Stanley Morgan for Patriot career record. | 3–12 |
| Q3 | 1:30 | NWE | 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. | 3–13 |
| Q4 | 7:21 | NWE | (7:21) NE 50-Vrabel & 71-Hochstein eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. | 3–19 |
| Q4 | 7:10 | NWE | 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. | 3–20 |
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. NWE closed at 100%.
Turning points
| Qtr | Clock | Team | Play | Win prob. | Swing | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 0:52 | NWE | (:52) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten pushed ob at IND 34 for 12 yards (42-J.David, 27-V.Hutchins). | 61% → 69% | +8% | +1.64 |
| Q2 | 3:18 | IND | (3:18) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 33-D.Rhodes to NE 41 for -2 yards (54-T.Bruschi). FUMBLES (54-T.Bruschi), RECOVERED by NE-54-T.Bruschi at NE 41. 54-T.Bruschi to NE 41 for no gain (33-D.Rhodes). | 28% → 21% | -7% | -3.17 |
| Q1 | 5:52 | IND | (5:52) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at NE 49 for 18 yards. | 42% → 49% | +7% | +1.84 |
| Q2 | 14:29 | NWE | (14:29) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to IND 22 for 9 yards (58-G.Brackett). | 65% → 70% | +6% | +1.65 |
| Q2 | 3:42 | IND | (3:42) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to NE 22 for 7 yards (95-R.Phifer). PENALTY on IND-73-J.Scott, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 29 - No Play. | 33% → 28% | -5% | -1.24 |
| Q2 | 9:19 | NWE | (9:19) 28-C.Dillon right end pushed ob at IND 19 for 42 yards (28-I.Bashir). 3rd longest run from scrimmage in Patriots' playoff history. | 73% → 78% | +5% | +3.04 |
| Q3 | 1:37 | NWE | (1:37) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 3rd career playoff TD reception for Givens, tying Stanley Morgan for Patriot career record. | 81% → 85% | +5% | +2.66 |
| Q1 | 0:10 | NWE | (:10) 12-T.Brady sacked at IND 41 for -7 yards (90-M.Reagor). | 69% → 64% | -5% | -1.36 |
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Team stats
| Indianapolis Colts | New England Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| First downs | 17 | 20 |
| Total yards | 284 | 354 |
| Passing yards | 238 | 144 |
| Rushing yards | 46 | 210 |
| Comp–Att | 27–42 | 18–27 |
| Passing TD | 0 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 3 |
| Rushing attempts | 15 | 39 |
| Rushing TD | 0 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties–yards | 4–44 | 5–35 |
Indianapolis Colts
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Peyton Manning QB | 27 | 42 | 238 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 69.3 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Edgerrin James RB | 14 | 39 | 0 | 2.8 | 0 |
| Peyton Manning QB | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7.0 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin James RB | 7 | 0 | 69 | 0 | 9.9 |
 Brandon Stokley WR | 8 | 0 | 64 | 0 | 8.0 |
 Marvin Harrison WR | 5 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 8.8 |
 Reggie Wayne WR | 3 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 |
 Dallas Clark TE | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.0 |
 Marcus Pollard TE | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 |
 Dominic Rhodes RB | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | -2.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Montae Reagor DE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Idrees Bashir DB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 Dwight Freeney DE | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 Larry Tripplett DT | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
 Cato June LB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mike Vanderjagt K | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 Hunter Smith P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 244 |
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Brady QB | 18 | 27 | 144 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 92.2 |
Rushing
| Player | Rush | Yds | TD | Y/C | FL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Corey Dillon RB | 23 | 144 | 0 | 6.3 | 0 |
 Kevin Faulk RB | 11 | 56 | 0 | 5.1 | 0 |
| Tom Brady QB | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
 Deion Branch WR | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4.0 | 0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Y/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Givens WR | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Corey Dillon RB | 5 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 3.4 |
| Christian Fauria TE | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.0 |
| Deion Branch WR | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.0 |
 Patrick Pass RB | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.0 |
| Troy Brown WR | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.5 |
 David Patten WR | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.0 |
| Kevin Faulk RB | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.0 |
 Daniel Graham TE | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 |
| Bethel Johnson WR | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.0 |
Defense
| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sacks | Int | PD | FF | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rodney Harrison S | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 Willie McGinest OLB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
 Mike Vrabel OLB | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
 Eugene Wilson FS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | FGA | Lng | XP | XPA | Punts | P Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Vinatieri K | 2 | 2 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Miller P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 195 |
Play-by-play
Show every play (168)
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
- 15:00 GAME EPA +0.0 WP 42%
- 15:00 IND 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 67 yards from NE 30 to IND 3. 33-D.Rhodes to IND 27 for 24 yards (53-L.Izzo, 58-M.Chatham). EPA +0.5 WP 42%
- 14:54 IND 1 & 10 (14:54) 32-E.James left end to IND 28 for 1 yard (54-T.Bruschi). EPA -0.5 WP 43%
- 14:23 IND 2 & 9 (14:23) 32-E.James right end to IND 33 for 5 yards (54-T.Bruschi, 50-M.Vrabel). EPA +0.1 WP 42%
- 13:41 IND 3 & 4 (13:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard to IND 35 for 2 yards (21-R.Gay). EPA -1.2 WP 41%
- 13:01 IND 4 & 2 (13:01) 17-H.Smith punts 38 yards to NE 27, Center-48-J.Snow, fair catch by 80-T.Brown. EPA -0.1 WP 41%
- 12:51 NWE 1 & 10 (12:51) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch pushed ob at NE 42 for 15 yards (42-J.David). EPA +0.9 WP 61%
- 12:22 NWE 1 & 10 (12:22) 12-T.Brady pass to 28-C.Dillon to NE 45 for 3 yards (50-D.Thornton, 79-R.Brock). EPA -0.2 WP 64%
- 11:40 NWE 2 & 7 (11:40) 28-C.Dillon right tackle to NE 47 for 2 yards (50-D.Thornton, 21-B.Sanders). EPA -0.5 WP 64%
- 10:55 NWE 3 & 5 (10:55) PENALTY on NE-12-T.Brady, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at NE 47 - No Play. EPA -0.5 WP 61%
- 10:44 NWE 3 & 10 (10:44) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to NE 48 for 6 yards (27-V.Hutchins). EPA -0.8 WP 60%
- 10:07 NWE 4 & 4 (10:07) 8-Jo.Miller punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-66-L.Paxton, Touchback. EPA -0.2 WP 58%
- 9:58 IND 1 & 10 (9:58) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 81-M.Pollard. EPA -0.5 WP 42%
- 9:53 IND 2 & 10 (9:53) 32-E.James right guard to IND 27 for 7 yards (50-M.Vrabel, 37-R.Harrison). EPA +0.3 WP 41%
- 9:17 IND 3 & 3 (9:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 44-D.Clark. EPA -1.4 WP 41%
- 9:13 IND 4 & 3 (9:13) 17-H.Smith punts 37 yards to NE 36, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-T.Brown to IND 44 for 20 yards (29-J.Jefferson). EPA -1.5 WP 37%
- 9:00 NWE 1 & 10 (9:00) 28-C.Dillon right end to IND 46 for -2 yards (96-J.Williams). NE 35-Pass injured on play. EPA -0.8 WP 65%
- 8:24 NWE 2 & 12 (8:24) 12-T.Brady pass to 28-C.Dillon to IND 47 for -1 yards (90-M.Reagor). EPA -1.1 WP 64%
- 7:44 NWE 3 & 13 (7:44) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 80-T.Brown. EPA -1.2 WP 61%
- 7:36 NWE 4 & 13 (7:36) 8-Jo.Miller punts 47 yards to end zone, Center-66-L.Paxton, Touchback. PENALTY on IND-26-W.Bacon, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at IND 20. EPA +0.7 WP 58%
- 7:26 IND 1 & 10 (7:26) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James pushed ob at IND 25 for 15 yards (21-R.Gay). EPA +1.1 WP 41%
- 7:04 IND 1 & 10 (7:04) 32-E.James right tackle to IND 30 for 5 yards (37-R.Harrison, 50-M.Vrabel). EPA +0.0 WP 44%
- 6:35 IND 2 & 5 (6:35) (No Huddle) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 33 for 3 yards (30-J.Cherry). EPA -0.2 WP 43%
- 5:52 IND 3 & 2 (5:52) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at NE 49 for 18 yards. EPA +1.8 WP 42%
- 5:40 IND 1 & 10 (5:40) (No Huddle) 32-E.James up the middle to NE 48 for 1 yard (75-V.Wilfork, 97-J.Green). EPA -0.5 WP 49%
- 5:10 IND 2 & 9 (5:10) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 83-B.Stokley. EPA -0.8 WP 47%
- 5:04 IND 3 & 9 (5:04) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 83-B.Stokley. EPA -1.6 WP 44%
- 4:59 IND 4 & 9 (4:59) 17-H.Smith punts 32 yards to NE 16, Center-48-J.Snow, downed by IND-48-J.Snow. EPA +0.3 WP 40%
- 4:47 NWE 1 & 10 (4:47) 28-C.Dillon left tackle to NE 21 for 5 yards (27-V.Hutchins). EPA -0.1 WP 60%
- 4:18 NWE 2 & 5 (4:18) 28-C.Dillon left end to NE 29 for 8 yards (20-M.Doss). EPA +1.0 WP 60%
- 3:46 NWE 1 & 10 (3:46) 28-C.Dillon left guard to NE 36 for 7 yards (28-I.Bashir, 27-V.Hutchins). EPA +0.3 WP 62%
- 3:12 NWE 2 & 3 (3:12) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to NE 49 for 13 yards (96-J.Williams). EPA +0.9 WP 64%
- 2:36 NWE 1 & 10 (2:36) PENALTY on NE-82-D.Graham, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 49 - No Play. EPA -0.6 WP 64%
- 2:23 NWE 1 & 15 (2:23) 33-K.Faulk left end to 50 for 6 yards (29-J.Jefferson, 59-C.June). EPA +0.1 WP 64%
- 1:39 NWE 2 & 9 (1:39) 12-T.Brady pass to 28-C.Dillon to IND 46 for 4 yards (90-M.Reagor). EPA -0.4 WP 62%
- 0:52 NWE 3 & 5 (:52) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten pushed ob at IND 34 for 12 yards (42-J.David, 27-V.Hutchins). EPA +1.6 WP 61%
- 0:10 NWE 1 & 10 (:10) 12-T.Brady sacked at IND 41 for -7 yards (90-M.Reagor). EPA -1.4 WP 69%
- 0:00 NWE END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0 WP 64%
Quarter 2
- 15:00 NWE 2 & 17 (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to IND 31 for 10 yards (58-G.Brackett, 59-C.June). EPA +0.6 WP 64%
- 14:29 NWE 3 & 7 (14:29) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to IND 22 for 9 yards (58-G.Brackett). EPA +1.7 WP 65%
- 13:48 NWE 1 & 10 (13:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 81-B.Johnson to IND 13 for 9 yards (42-J.David). EPA +0.8 WP 70%
- 13:17 NWE 2 & 1 (13:17) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady pass to 80-T.Brown to IND 10 for 3 yards (59-C.June). EPA -0.2 WP 72%
- 12:47 NWE 1 & 10 (12:47) (No Huddle) 12-T.Brady up the middle to IND 7 for 3 yards (59-C.June). EPA -0.1 WP 72%
- 12:04 NWE 2 & 7 (12:04) 28-C.Dillon left guard to IND 3 for 4 yards (59-C.June, 20-M.Doss). EPA -0.3 WP 71%
- 11:20 NWE 3 & 3 (11:20) 28-C.Dillon up the middle to IND 1 for 2 yards (59-C.June). EPA -0.3 WP 71%
- 10:55 NWE 4 & 1 (10:55) NE 50-Vrabel & 71-Hochstein eligible. 28-C.Dillon right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NE-72-M.Light, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at IND 1 - No Play. EPA -1.5 WP 68%
- 10:46 NWE 4 & 6 (10:46) 4-A.Vinatieri 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. EPA +0.1 WP 65%
- 10:40 IND 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 60 yards from NE 30 to IND 10. 33-D.Rhodes pushed ob at IND 34 for 24 yards (30-J.Cherry). EPA +0.8 WP 32%
- 10:33 IND 1 & 10 (10:33) 18-P.Manning sacked at IND 26 for -8 yards (50-M.Vrabel). FUMBLES (50-M.Vrabel), touched at IND 26, recovered by IND-63-J.Saturday at IND 22. 63-J.Saturday to IND 22 for no gain (55-W.McGinest). EPA -1.5 WP 35%
- 9:45 IND 2 & 22 (9:45) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 44-D.Clark (55-W.McGinest). EPA -0.7 WP 30%
- 9:39 IND 3 & 22 (9:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 32-E.James. EPA -0.6 WP 28%
- 9:37 IND 4 & 22 (9:37) 17-H.Smith punts 47 yards to NE 31, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-T.Brown to NE 39 for 8 yards (50-D.Thornton, 26-W.Bacon). EPA +0.0 WP 25%
- 9:22 NWE 1 & 10 (9:22) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens. EPA -0.4 WP 74%
- 9:19 NWE 2 & 10 (9:19) 28-C.Dillon right end pushed ob at IND 19 for 42 yards (28-I.Bashir). 3rd longest run from scrimmage in Patriots' playoff history. EPA +3.0 WP 73%
- 8:50 NWE 1 & 10 (8:50) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch. EPA -0.4 WP 78%
- 8:47 NWE 2 & 10 (8:47) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens. EPA -0.6 WP 77%
- 8:41 NWE 3 & 10 (8:41) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens to IND 13 for 6 yards (25-N.Harper, 27-V.Hutchins). EPA -0.9 WP 75%
- 8:01 NWE 4 & 4 (8:01) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. EPA +0.5 WP 72%
- 7:56 IND 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 49 yards from NE 30 to IND 21. 23-J.Mungro to IND 31 for 10 yards (42-D.Reid, 58-M.Chatham). EPA +0.6 WP 26%
- 7:51 IND 1 & 10 (7:51) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 37 for 6 yards (37-R.Harrison, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.3 WP 27%
- 7:21 IND 2 & 4 (7:21) (No Huddle) 32-E.James right tackle to IND 38 for 1 yard (97-J.Green, 94-T.Warren). EPA -0.6 WP 28%
- 6:42 IND 3 & 3 (6:42) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to IND 46 for 8 yards (54-T.Bruschi, 80-T.Brown). EPA +1.2 WP 27%
- 5:57 Timeout #1 by NE at 05:57. EPA +0.0 WP 29%
- 5:57 IND 1 & 10 (5:57) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to NE 44 for 10 yards (21-R.Gay). EPA +0.6 WP 29%
- 5:32 IND 1 & 10 (5:32) 32-E.James right tackle to NE 39 for 5 yards (50-M.Vrabel). EPA +0.0 WP 31%
- 4:54 IND 2 & 5 (4:54) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to NE 32 for 7 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +0.6 WP 30%
- 4:21 IND 1 & 10 (4:21) 32-E.James left guard to NE 29 for 3 yards (50-M.Vrabel). EPA -0.3 WP 33%
- 3:42 IND 2 & 7 (3:42) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to NE 22 for 7 yards (95-R.Phifer). PENALTY on IND-73-J.Scott, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NE 29 - No Play. EPA -1.2 WP 33%
- 3:18 IND 2 & 17 (3:18) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 33-D.Rhodes to NE 41 for -2 yards (54-T.Bruschi). FUMBLES (54-T.Bruschi), RECOVERED by NE-54-T.Bruschi at NE 41. 54-T.Bruschi to NE 41 for no gain (33-D.Rhodes). EPA -3.2 WP 28%
- 3:09 NWE 1 & 10 (3:09) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 86-D.Patten. EPA -0.4 WP 79%
- 3:01 NWE 2 & 10 (3:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 32 for -9 yards (93-D.Freeney). EPA -0.9 WP 78%
- 2:29 NWE 3 & 19 (2:29) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to NE 43 for 11 yards (68-J.Stewart). EPA -0.3 WP 75%
- 2:00 NWE 4 & 8 (2:00) 8-Jo.Miller punts 29 yards to IND 28, Center-66-L.Paxton, out of bounds. EPA -0.4 WP 75%
- 1:52 IND 1 & 10 (1:52) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to IND 41 for 13 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +0.8 WP 26%
- 1:31 IND 1 & 10 (1:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to NE 43 for 16 yards (80-T.Brown). Penalty on NE-95-R.Phifer, Illegal Contact, declined. EPA +0.8 WP 27%
- 1:23 IND 1 & 10 (1:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley ran ob at NE 32 for 11 yards. EPA +0.8 WP 31%
- 1:17 IND 1 & 10 (1:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to NE 27 for 5 yards (50-M.Vrabel). EPA +0.1 WP 32%
- 0:55 IND 2 & 5 (:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to NE 22 for 5 yards (21-R.Gay). EPA +0.5 WP 33%
- 0:42 IND 1 & 10 (:42) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 32-E.James. EPA -0.3 WP 35%
- 0:37 IND 2 & 10 (:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 32-E.James up the middle to NE 11 for 11 yards. direct snap PENALTY on IND-18-P.Manning, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at NE 22 - No Play. EPA -0.6 WP 34%
- 0:37 IND 2 & 15 (:37) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark to NE 17 for 10 yards (95-R.Phifer, 26-E.Wilson). EPA +0.5 WP 31%
- 0:28 Timeout #1 by IND at 00:28. EPA +0.0 WP 31%
- 0:28 IND 3 & 5 (:28) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to NE 12 for 5 yards (22-A.Samuel). EPA +0.7 WP 31%
- 0:22 Timeout #2 by IND at 00:22. EPA +0.0 WP 34%
- 0:22 IND 1 & 10 (:22) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to NE 5 for 7 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.2 WP 34%
- 0:08 IND 2 & 3 (:08) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 87-R.Wayne (26-E.Wilson). EPA -0.8 WP 36%
- 0:02 Timeout #2 by NE at 00:02. EPA +0.0 WP 36%
- 0:02 IND 3 & 3 (:02) 13-M.Vanderjagt 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +0.1 WP 36%
- 0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 68%
Quarter 3
- 15:00 NWE 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 41 yards from IND 30 to NE 29. 54-T.Bruschi to NE 44 for 15 yards (41-C.Bird). EPA +1.6 WP 68%
- 14:55 NWE 1 & 10 (14:55) 28-C.Dillon left guard to NE 44 for no gain (90-M.Reagor). EPA -0.4 WP 72%
- 14:21 NWE 2 & 10 (14:21) 12-T.Brady pass to 28-C.Dillon to NE 46 for 2 yards (96-J.Williams). EPA -0.8 WP 70%
- 13:38 NWE 3 & 8 (13:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 83-D.Branch (28-I.Bashir). EPA -1.4 WP 67%
- 13:31 NWE 4 & 8 (13:31) 8-Jo.Miller punts 38 yards to IND 16, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-58-M.Chatham. PENALTY on NE-53-L.Izzo, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at IND 16. EPA -0.5 WP 64%
- 13:17 IND 1 & 10 (13:17) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 32 for 1 yard (94-T.Warren, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA -0.4 WP 38%
- 12:44 IND 2 & 9 (12:44) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to IND 42 for 10 yards (95-R.Phifer). EPA +1.1 WP 36%
- 12:08 IND 1 & 10 (12:08) (No Huddle) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 41 for -1 yards (55-W.McGinest). EPA -0.7 WP 40%
- 11:27 IND 2 & 11 (11:27) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to IND 48 for 7 yards (50-M.Vrabel). EPA +0.3 WP 36%
- 10:49 IND 3 & 4 (10:49) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to NE 49 for 3 yards (95-R.Phifer). EPA -1.0 WP 39%
- 9:54 IND 4 & 1 (9:54) 17-H.Smith punts 36 yards to NE 13, Center-48-J.Snow, fair catch by 80-T.Brown. EPA -0.3 WP 35%
- 9:46 NWE 1 & 10 (9:46) 28-C.Dillon up the middle to NE 12 for -1 yards (90-M.Reagor, 28-I.Bashir). EPA -0.8 WP 68%
- 9:08 NWE 2 & 11 (9:08) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria to NE 29 for 17 yards (27-V.Hutchins). EPA +2.1 WP 67%
- 8:36 NWE 1 & 10 (8:36) 28-C.Dillon left guard to NE 33 for 4 yards (50-D.Thornton). EPA -0.2 WP 71%
- 8:00 NWE 2 & 6 (8:00) 28-C.Dillon right tackle to NE 42 for 9 yards (96-J.Williams, 59-C.June). EPA +0.9 WP 71%
- 7:24 NWE 1 & 10 (7:24) 33-K.Faulk left guard to IND 49 for 9 yards (50-D.Thornton, 28-I.Bashir). EPA +0.8 WP 73%
- 6:47 NWE 2 & 1 (6:47) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 88-C.Fauria. EPA -0.6 WP 77%
- 6:42 NWE 3 & 1 (6:42) 28-C.Dillon right tackle to IND 45 for 4 yards (75-L.Tripplett, 94-R.Morris). EPA +0.6 WP 75%
- 6:07 NWE 1 & 10 (6:07) 28-C.Dillon left tackle to IND 40 for 5 yards (29-J.Jefferson). EPA +0.0 WP 76%
- 5:29 NWE 2 & 5 (5:29) 33-K.Faulk left guard to IND 38 for 2 yards (21-B.Sanders, 59-C.June). EPA -0.5 WP 77%
- 4:45 NWE 3 & 3 (4:45) 12-T.Brady pass to 35-P.Pass to IND 24 for 14 yards (58-G.Brackett, 21-B.Sanders). EPA +1.8 WP 77%
- 4:02 NWE 1 & 10 (4:02) 28-C.Dillon right guard to IND 19 for 5 yards (28-I.Bashir, 59-C.June). EPA +0.0 WP 79%
- 3:28 NWE 2 & 5 (3:28) 33-K.Faulk left guard to IND 10 for 9 yards (28-I.Bashir, 25-N.Harper). EPA +0.6 WP 80%
- 2:50 NWE 1 & 10 (2:50) 33-K.Faulk right guard to IND 6 for 4 yards (28-I.Bashir, 21-B.Sanders). EPA +0.1 WP 83%
- 2:14 NWE 2 & 6 (2:14) 33-K.Faulk right guard to IND 5 for 1 yard (25-N.Harper, 50-D.Thornton). EPA -0.8 WP 82%
- 1:37 NWE 3 & 5 (1:37) 12-T.Brady pass to 87-D.Givens for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. 3rd career playoff TD reception for Givens, tying Stanley Morgan for Patriot career record. TD EPA +2.7 WP 81%
- 1:30 NWE 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. EPA +0.0 WP 85%
- 1:30 IND 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 45 yards from NE 30 to IND 25. 23-J.Mungro (didn't try to advance) to IND 25 for no gain (48-T.Banta-Cain). EPA +0.4 WP 14%
- 1:29 IND 1 & 10 (1:29) 32-E.James left guard to IND 28 for 3 yards (75-V.Wilfork, 54-T.Bruschi). EPA -0.4 WP 15%
- 0:55 IND 2 & 7 (:55) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne pushed ob at IND 41 for 13 yards (21-R.Gay). EPA +1.3 WP 14%
- 0:20 IND 1 & 10 (:20) 32-E.James right end pushed ob at IND 40 for -1 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA -0.7 WP 17%
- 0:00 IND END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0 WP 14%
Quarter 4
- 15:00 IND 2 & 11 (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 32-E.James. EPA -0.8 WP 14%
- 14:55 IND 3 & 11 (14:55) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 83-B.Stokley. EPA -1.0 WP 13%
- 14:47 IND 4 & 11 (14:47) 17-H.Smith punts 54 yards to NE 6, Center-48-J.Snow, downed by IND-38-G.Sapp. EPA +1.4 WP 10%
- 14:34 NWE 1 & 10 (14:34) 28-C.Dillon right guard to NE 6 for no gain (58-G.Brackett, 59-C.June). EPA -0.5 WP 89%
- 13:55 NWE 2 & 10 (13:55) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 86-D.Patten. EPA -0.6 WP 87%
- 13:46 NWE 3 & 10 (13:46) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass to 33-K.Faulk to NE 17 for 11 yards (21-B.Sanders). EPA +1.8 WP 86%
- 13:12 NWE 1 & 10 (13:12) 28-C.Dillon left end pushed ob at NE 19 for 2 yards (29-J.Jefferson). EPA -0.4 WP 90%
- 12:42 NWE 2 & 8 (12:42) 12-T.Brady pass to 82-D.Graham to NE 29 for 10 yards (50-D.Thornton). Penalty on IND-50-D.Thornton, Defensive Holding, declined. EPA +1.3 WP 89%
- 12:23 NWE 1 & 10 (12:23) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens (59-C.June). EPA -0.5 WP 91%
- 12:19 NWE 2 & 10 (12:19) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 87-D.Givens. PENALTY on IND-25-N.Harper, Defensive Pass Interference, 19 yards, enforced at NE 29 - No Play. EPA +1.6 WP 90%
- 12:12 NWE 1 & 10 (12:12) 83-D.Branch right tackle to IND 48 for 4 yards (79-R.Brock, 59-C.June). EPA -0.2 WP 93%
- 11:32 NWE 2 & 6 (11:32) 28-C.Dillon left end to IND 42 for 6 yards (90-M.Reagor, 28-I.Bashir). EPA +0.7 WP 92%
- 10:45 NWE 1 & 10 (10:45) 12-T.Brady pass to 28-C.Dillon to IND 33 for 9 yards (75-L.Tripplett, 21-B.Sanders). EPA +0.8 WP 94%
- 9:58 NWE 2 & 1 (9:58) 12-T.Brady up the middle to IND 30 for 3 yards (75-L.Tripplett). EPA -0.0 WP 96%
- 9:23 NWE 1 & 10 (9:23) 33-K.Faulk left tackle to IND 28 for 2 yards (75-L.Tripplett, 96-J.Williams). EPA -0.3 WP 96%
- 8:36 NWE 2 & 8 (8:36) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to IND 28 for no gain (75-L.Tripplett, 94-R.Morris). EPA -0.6 WP 95%
- 7:55 NWE 3 & 8 (7:55) 28-C.Dillon up the middle pushed ob at IND 1 for 27 yards (28-I.Bashir). EPA +3.4 WP 95%
- 7:21 Timeout #1 by NE at 07:21. EPA +0.0 WP 97%
- 7:21 NWE 1 & 1 (7:21) NE 50-Vrabel & 71-Hochstein eligible. 12-T.Brady up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TD EPA +0.7 WP 97%
- 7:10 NWE 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. EPA +0.0 WP 98%
- 7:10 IND 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 73 yards from NE 30 to IND -3. 33-D.Rhodes, Touchback. EPA +0.0 WP 2%
- 7:10 IND 1 & 10 (7:10) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 32-E.James. EPA -0.5 WP 2%
- 7:06 IND 2 & 10 (7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to IND 32 for 12 yards (37-R.Harrison). FUMBLES (37-R.Harrison), RECOVERED by NE-54-T.Bruschi at IND 35. 54-T.Bruschi to IND 35 for no gain (56-T.Peko). Play Challenged by IND and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by IND at 06:58.) EPA -3.2 WP 1%
- 6:58 NWE 1 & 10 (6:58) 28-C.Dillon right tackle to IND 31 for 4 yards (96-J.Williams, 94-R.Morris). EPA -0.0 WP 100%
- 6:17 NWE 2 & 6 (6:17) 28-C.Dillon left end to IND 28 for 3 yards (21-B.Sanders, 90-M.Reagor). EPA -0.1 WP 100%
- 5:32 NWE 3 & 3 (5:32) 28-C.Dillon up the middle to IND 24 for 4 yards (94-R.Morris, 59-C.June). EPA +0.8 WP 100%
- 4:46 NWE 1 & 10 (4:46) 28-C.Dillon left tackle to IND 20 for 4 yards (29-J.Jefferson). EPA -0.1 WP 100%
- 4:03 NWE 2 & 6 (4:03) 33-K.Faulk left guard to IND 21 for -1 yards (20-M.Doss, 59-C.June). EPA -0.6 WP 100%
- 3:18 NWE 3 & 7 (3:18) 12-T.Brady sacked at IND 34 for -13 yards (75-L.Tripplett). EPA -2.6 WP 100%
- 3:10 Timeout #2 by IND at 03:10. EPA +0.0 WP 100%
- 3:10 NWE 4 & 20 (3:10) 8-Jo.Miller punts 29 yards to IND 5, Center-66-L.Paxton, downed by NE-48-T.Banta-Cain. EPA -0.4 WP 100%
- 2:59 IND 1 & 10 (2:59) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 87-R.Wayne. PENALTY on NE-31-H.Poteat, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at IND 5 - No Play. EPA +0.3 WP 0%
- 2:53 IND 1 & 10 (2:53) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to IND 23 for 13 yards (37-R.Harrison, 42-D.Reid). EPA +0.7 WP 0%
- 2:31 IND 1 & 10 (2:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 32-E.James (55-W.McGinest). EPA -0.4 WP 0%
- 2:26 IND 2 & 10 (2:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning right end to IND 30 for 7 yards (54-T.Bruschi). EPA +0.2 WP 0%
- 2:02 IND 3 & 3 (2:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to IND 36 for 6 yards (22-A.Samuel). EPA +0.5 WP 0%
- 1:55 IND 1 & 10 (1:55) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to IND 46 for 10 yards (37-R.Harrison). EPA +0.4 WP 0%
- 1:26 IND 1 & 10 (1:26) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass to 83-B.Stokley to NE 48 for 6 yards (80-T.Brown). EPA +0.0 WP 0%
- 1:06 IND 2 & 4 (1:06) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to NE 45 for 3 yards (22-A.Samuel). EPA +0.1 WP 0%
- 0:52 IND 3 & 1 (:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at NE 36 for 9 yards. EPA +0.6 WP 0%
- 0:47 IND 1 & 10 (:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 88-M.Harrison. EPA -0.3 WP 0%
- 0:38 Timeout #2 by NE at 00:38. EPA +0.0 WP 0%
- 0:38 IND 2 & 10 (:38) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 44-D.Clark. EPA -0.3 WP 0%
- 0:33 IND 3 & 10 (:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 44-D.Clark to NE 20 for 16 yards (42-D.Reid, 37-R.Harrison). EPA +0.8 WP 0%
- 0:12 IND 1 & 10 (:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 37-R.Harrison at NE -3. 37-R.Harrison ran ob at NE 6 for 9 yards. EPA -2.4 WP 0%
- 0:04 NWE 1 & 10 (:04) 12-T.Brady kneels to NE 5 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0 WP 100%
- 0:00 NWE END GAME