From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20β7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(7:45) 3-B.Cundiff 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-J.Grau, Holder-83-J.Whalen.
3β0
Q2
2:00
IND
(2:00) 13-M.Vanderjagt 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3β3
Q4
13:52
IND
(13:52) 13-M.Vanderjagt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3β6
Q4
4:24
IND
(4:24) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3β12
Q4
4:18
IND
13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3β13
Q4
2:27
IND
(2:27) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3β19
Q4
2:24
IND
13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
3β20
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. IND closed at 100%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q1
11:11
IND
(11:11) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 31-Ro.Williams at DAL 10. 31-Ro.Williams to DAL 10 for no gain.
64% β 53%
-11%
-3.68
Q4
4:24
IND
(4:24) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
83% β 94%
+11%
+4.19
Q3
2:07
IND
(2:07) 17-H.Smith punts 36 yards to DAL 19, Center-48-J.Snow, fair catch by 80-R.Swinton. PENALTY on DAL-38-D.Hawthorne, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at IND 45 - No Play. Penalty on DAL-38-D.Hawthorne, Defensive Holding, declined.
50% β 60%
+10%
+2.80
Q2
10:39
IND
(10:39) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to IND 7 for 6 yards (20-D.Ross).
46% β 36%
-10%
-0.44
Q4
10:46
DAL
(10:46) 7-C.Hutchinson sacked at IND 41 for -3 yards (93-D.Freeney).
43% β 33%
-10%
-2.23
Q2
14:39
IND
(14:39) 13-M.Vanderjagt 23 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
61% β 52%
-9%
-3.11
Q3
11:21
IND
(11:21) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to IND 35 for 27 yards (24-T.Dixon).
49% β 57%
+8%
+2.89
Q2
4:10
IND
(4:10) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 38 for 7 yards (20-D.Ross).
45% β 53%
+8%
+1.30
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 54%
15:00 IND 3-B.Cundiff kicks 61 yards from DAL 30 to IND 9. 86-T.Walters pushed ob at IND 41 for 32 yards (89-Ra.Williams). EPA +1.2WP 54%
14:53 IND 1 & 10 (14:53) 32-E.James right end to IND 44 for 3 yards (51-K.Hardy). EPA -0.2WP 57%
14:17 IND 2 & 7 (14:17) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to IND 42 for -2 yards (75-B.Noble). EPA -1.0WP 57%
13:35 IND 3 & 9 (13:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 87-R.Wayne. EPA -1.4WP 52%
13:30 IND 4 & 9 (13:30) 17-H.Smith punts 42 yards to DAL 16, Center-48-J.Snow, fair catch by 80-R.Swinton. EPA +0.4WP 50%
13:21 DAL 1 & 10 (13:21) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 84-J.Galloway. EPA -0.6WP 48%
13:17 DAL 2 & 10 (13:17) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 88-A.Bryant to IND 46 for 38 yards (21-W.Harris). Play Challenged by IND and REVERSED. 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 88-A.Bryant (21-W.Harris). EPA -0.6WP 47%
12:40 DAL 3 & 10 (12:40) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 32-M.Wiley. EPA -1.2WP 44%
12:35 DAL 4 & 10 (12:35) 10-F.Filipovic punts 52 yards to IND 32, Center-58-J.Grau. 86-T.Walters to IND 34 for 2 yards (42-T.Hambrick). EPA +0.6WP 42%
12:24 IND 1 & 10 (12:24) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at DAL 45 for 21 yards. EPA +1.2WP 57%
12:04 IND 1 & 10 (12:04) 32-E.James right tackle to DAL 45 for no gain (98-G.Ellis). EPA -0.5WP 58%
11:27 IND 2 & 10 (11:27) PENALTY on DAL-98-G.Ellis, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 45 - No Play. EPA +0.5WP 57%
11:11 IND 2 & 5 (11:11) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to DAL 25 for 15 yards (97-L.Glover, 20-D.Ross). EPA +1.2WP 60%
11:11 IND 1 & 10 (11:11) 32-E.James up the middle to DAL 21 for 4 yards (98-G.Ellis). EPA -0.0WP 65%
11:11 IND 2 & 6 (11:11) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to DAL 18 for 3 yards (52-D.Coakley). EPA -0.1WP 65%
11:11 IND 3 & 3 (11:11) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 31-Ro.Williams at DAL 10. 31-Ro.Williams to DAL 10 for no gain. EPA -3.7WP 64%
8:58 DAL 1 & 10 (8:58) 22-E.Smith up the middle to DAL 17 for 6 yards (53-M.Washington, 99-B.Scioli). EPA +0.3WP 47%
8:58 DAL 2 & 4 (8:58) 22-E.Smith left tackle to DAL 17 for no gain (26-D.Gibson). EPA -0.7WP 47%
8:58 DAL 3 & 4 (8:58) 7-C.Hutchinson sacked at DAL 11 for -6 yards (99-B.Scioli). EPA -1.8WP 45%
8:58 DAL 4 & 10 (8:58) 10-F.Filipovic punts 40 yards to IND 49, Center-58-J.Grau, out of bounds. EPA -0.1WP 41%
7:14 IND 1 & 10 (7:14) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 47 for -2 yards (94-M.Myers). EPA -0.8WP 58%
6:32 IND 2 & 12 (6:32) 18-P.Manning up the middle to IND 48 for 1 yard (52-D.Coakley). EPA -0.8WP 56%
5:47 IND 3 & 11 (5:47) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne ran ob at DAL 49 for 3 yards. EPA -1.1WP 53%
5:30 IND 4 & 8 (5:30) 17-H.Smith punts 37 yards to DAL 12, Center-48-J.Snow. 80-R.Swinton to DAL 13 for 1 yard (50-D.Thornton, 31-C.Crosby). EPA +0.3WP 50%
5:21 DAL 1 & 10 (5:21) 42-T.Hambrick right tackle to DAL 22 for 9 yards (93-D.Freeney). EPA +0.8WP 48%
4:51 DAL 2 & 1 (4:51) 44-R.Thomas up the middle to DAL 22 for no gain (99-B.Scioli). EPA -0.6WP 50%
4:10 DAL 3 & 1 (4:10) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 88-A.Bryant (21-W.Harris). EPA -1.6WP 47%
4:05 DAL 4 & 1 (4:05) 10-F.Filipovic punts 15 yards to DAL 37, Center-58-J.Grau, out of bounds. EPA -1.8WP 44%
3:50 IND 1 & 10 (3:50) 32-E.James right end to DAL 37 for no gain (97-L.Glover, 98-G.Ellis). EPA -0.5WP 64%
3:12 IND 2 & 10 (3:12) 18-P.Manning pass to 87-R.Wayne to DAL 31 for 6 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA +0.1WP 62%
2:27 IND 3 & 4 (2:27) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to DAL 24 for 7 yards (27-M.Edwards). EPA +1.3WP 60%
1:48 IND 1 & 10 (1:48) 32-E.James right end to DAL 20 for 4 yards (31-Ro.Williams). EPA -0.2WP 65%
1:09 IND 2 & 6 (1:09) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 11 for 9 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA +0.8WP 64%
1:09 IND 1 & 10 (1:09) 32-E.James up the middle to DAL 8 for 3 yards (31-Ro.Williams). EPA -0.2WP 67%
0:00 IND END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 67%
Quarter 2
15:00 IND 2 & 7 (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to DAL 5 for 3 yards (31-Ro.Williams). FUMBLES (31-Ro.Williams), ball out of bounds at DAL 5. EPA -0.5WP 67%
14:43 IND 3 & 4 (14:43) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 88-M.Harrison. EPA -1.5WP 66%
14:39 IND 4 & 4 (14:39) 13-M.Vanderjagt 23 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA -3.1WP 61%
14:34 DAL 1 & 10 (14:34) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 84-J.Galloway to DAL 35 for 15 yards (94-R.Morris, 52-M.Peterson). EPA +0.8WP 48%
13:59 DAL 1 & 10 (13:59) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 84-J.Galloway pushed ob at DAL 49 for 14 yards (27-D.Macklin). EPA +1.0WP 52%
13:38 DAL 1 & 10 (13:38) 42-T.Hambrick up the middle to DAL 47 for -2 yards (52-M.Peterson). EPA -0.8WP 55%
13:02 DAL 2 & 12 (13:02) 42-T.Hambrick left end to IND 47 for 6 yards (97-J.Cannida, 28-I.Bashir). EPA -0.1WP 51%
12:21 DAL 3 & 6 (12:21) 7-C.Hutchinson sacked at DAL 46 for -7 yards (68-J.Mallard). EPA -2.1WP 51%
11:58 DAL 4 & 13 (11:58) 10-F.Filipovic punts 53 yards to IND 1, Center-58-J.Grau, downed by DAL-89-Ra.Williams. EPA +1.5WP 44%
11:43 IND 1 & 10 (11:43) PENALTY on IND-81-M.Pollard, False Start, 0 yards, enforced at IND 1 - No Play. EPA +0.0WP 51%
11:43 IND 1 & 10 (11:43) PENALTY on IND-36-J.Finn, False Start, 0 yards, enforced at IND 1 - No Play. EPA +0.0WP 51%
11:43 IND 1 & 10 (11:43) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 88-M.Harrison. DAL - Woodson (28) injured on play. EPA -0.4WP 51%
11:37 IND 2 & 10 (11:37) 18-P.Manning pass to 36-J.Finn to IND 1 for no gain (52-D.Coakley). EPA -0.6WP 49%
10:54 IND 3 & 10 (10:54) PENALTY on IND-85-M.Roberg, False Start, 0 yards, enforced at IND 1 - No Play. EPA -0.0WP 46%
10:39 IND 3 & 10 (10:39) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to IND 7 for 6 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA -0.4WP 46%
9:56 IND 4 & 4 (9:56) 17-H.Smith punts 28 yards to IND 35, Center-48-J.Snow, out of bounds. EPA -1.2WP 36%
9:47 DAL 1 & 10 (9:47) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 88-A.Bryant to IND 11 for 24 yards (28-I.Bashir). EPA +1.7WP 60%
9:22 DAL 1 & 10 (9:22) 22-E.Smith up the middle to IND 9 for 2 yards (93-D.Freeney). EPA -0.4WP 62%
8:45 DAL 2 & 8 (8:45) 22-E.Smith left tackle to IND 9 for no gain (52-M.Peterson, 94-R.Morris). EPA -0.7WP 61%
8:08 DAL 3 & 8 (8:08) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 84-J.Galloway pushed ob at IND 3 for 6 yards (21-W.Harris). EPA -0.8WP 60%
7:45 DAL 4 & 2 (7:45) 3-B.Cundiff 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-58-J.Grau, Holder-83-J.Whalen. EPA +0.1WP 60%
7:41 IND 3-B.Cundiff kicks 62 yards from DAL 30 to IND 8. 86-T.Walters to IND 31 for 23 yards (24-T.Dixon). PENALTY on IND-34-J.Doering, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at IND 27. EPA -0.3WP 42%
7:35 IND 1 & 10 (7:35) 32-E.James right end to IND 23 for 6 yards (59-D.Nguyen). EPA +0.3WP 42%
7:35 IND 2 & 4 (7:35) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to IND 33 for 10 yards (31-Ro.Williams). EPA +0.6WP 42%
6:27 IND 1 & 10 (6:27) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 87-R.Wayne. EPA -0.4WP 45%
6:22 IND 2 & 10 (6:22) 32-E.James right tackle to DAL 49 for 18 yards (27-M.Edwards). EPA +1.5WP 43%
5:37 IND 1 & 10 (5:37) 18-P.Manning pass to 32-E.James to DAL 47 for 2 yards (96-E.Ekuban). EPA -0.5WP 47%
4:54 IND 2 & 8 (4:54) 32-E.James up the middle to DAL 45 for 2 yards (97-L.Glover, 93-P.Zellner). EPA -0.5WP 47%
4:10 IND 3 & 6 (4:10) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 38 for 7 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA +1.3WP 45%
3:28 IND 1 & 10 (3:28) 32-E.James left end to DAL 39 for -1 yards (75-B.Noble, 93-P.Zellner). EPA -0.8WP 53%
2:50 IND 2 & 11 (2:50) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 35 for 4 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA +0.1WP 47%
2:06 IND 3 & 7 (2:06) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to DAL 30 for 5 yards (27-M.Edwards). EPA -0.6WP 48%
2:00 IND 4 & 2 (2:00) 13-M.Vanderjagt 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +1.4WP 45%
1:54 DAL 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 68 yards from IND 30 to DAL 2. 80-R.Swinton to DAL 20 for 18 yards (31-C.Crosby, 54-D.Thompson). EPA +0.0WP 49%
1:48 DAL 1 & 10 (1:48) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 42-T.Hambrick to DAL 23 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper, 27-D.Macklin). EPA +0.2WP 49%
1:26 DAL 2 & 7 (1:26) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 32-M.Wiley. EPA -0.4WP 49%
1:22 DAL 3 & 7 (1:22) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 32-M.Wiley to DAL 42 for 19 yards (34-J.Doering, 27-D.Macklin). EPA +1.2WP 46%
1:14 Timeout #1 by DAL at 01:14. EPA +0.0WP 52%
1:14 DAL 1 & 10 (1:14) 42-T.Hambrick left end to IND 47 for 11 yards (99-B.Scioli). EPA +0.7WP 52%
0:52 DAL 1 & 10 (:52) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 88-A.Bryant to IND 35 for 12 yards (52-M.Peterson). EPA +0.5WP 55%
0:44 Timeout #2 by DAL at 00:44. EPA +0.0WP 60%
0:44 DAL 1 & 10 (:44) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 32-M.Wiley (93-D.Freeney). EPA -0.2WP 60%
0:39 DAL 2 & 10 (:39) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 22-E.Smith (68-J.Mallard). EPA -0.3WP 59%
0:35 Timeout #1 by IND at 00:35. EPA +0.0WP 56%
0:35 DAL 3 & 10 (:35) 22-E.Smith left end to IND 34 for 1 yard (99-B.Scioli, 34-J.Doering). EPA -0.1WP 56%
0:03 Timeout #3 by DAL at 00:03. EPA +0.0WP 52%
0:03 DAL 4 & 9 (:03) 3-B.Cundiff 52 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-58-J.Grau, Holder-83-J.Whalen. EPA -1.8WP 52%
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 45%
Quarter 3
15:00 DAL 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 67 yards from IND 30 to DAL 3. 80-R.Swinton to DAL 26 for 23 yards (27-D.Macklin). PENALTY on IND-54-D.Thompson, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at DAL 26. EPA +1.3WP 45%
14:51 DAL 1 & 10 (14:51) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 84-J.Galloway to IND 45 for 14 yards (21-W.Harris). EPA +1.1WP 49%
14:33 DAL 1 & 10 (14:33) 22-E.Smith right end to IND 49 for -4 yards (93-D.Freeney). IND - Cannida (98) injured on play. EPA -1.2WP 51%
14:04 DAL 2 & 14 (14:04) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 83-J.Whalen (27-D.Macklin). EPA -1.0WP 48%
13:57 DAL 3 & 14 (13:57) 7-C.Hutchinson up the middle to IND 44 for 5 yards (50-D.Thornton). EPA -1.0WP 44%
13:16 DAL 4 & 9 (13:16) 10-F.Filipovic punts 37 yards to IND 7, Center-58-J.Grau, fair catch by 86-T.Walters. EPA +0.6WP 42%
13:09 IND 1 & 10 (13:09) 18-P.Manning pass to 81-M.Pollard to IND 15 for 8 yards (52-D.Coakley, 59-D.Nguyen). EPA +0.5WP 54%
12:29 IND 2 & 2 (12:29) 32-E.James right end to IND 13 for -2 yards (59-D.Nguyen). EPA -1.1WP 57%
12:29 IND 3 & 4 (12:29) (Shotgun) PENALTY on IND, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at IND 13 - No Play. EPA -0.7WP 52%
11:21 IND 3 & 9 (11:21) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to IND 35 for 27 yards (24-T.Dixon). EPA +2.9WP 49%
10:34 Timeout #1 by IND at 10:34. EPA +0.0WP 57%
10:34 IND 1 & 10 (10:34) 32-E.James right tackle to IND 48 for 13 yards (24-T.Dixon, 38-D.Hawthorne). EPA +0.9WP 57%
9:57 IND 1 & 10 (9:57) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 43 for 9 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA +0.6WP 59%
9:30 IND 2 & 1 (9:30) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison pushed ob at DAL 28 for 15 yards (27-M.Edwards). EPA +0.8WP 61%
8:55 IND 1 & 10 (8:55) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 86-T.Walters. EPA -0.4WP 66%
8:47 IND 2 & 10 (8:47) 32-E.James right end to DAL 24 for 4 yards (98-G.Ellis, 96-E.Ekuban). EPA -0.1WP 64%
8:07 IND 3 & 6 (8:07) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 87-R.Wayne (59-D.Nguyen). EPA -1.6WP 63%
8:03 IND 4 & 6 (8:03) 13-M.Vanderjagt 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA -3.0WP 58%
7:57 DAL 1 & 10 (7:57) 42-T.Hambrick up the middle to DAL 45 for 13 yards (26-D.Gibson, 28-I.Bashir). EPA +0.8WP 48%
7:22 DAL 1 & 10 (7:22) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 84-J.Galloway (21-W.Harris). EPA -0.5WP 50%
7:05 DAL 2 & 10 (7:05) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 42-T.Hambrick (92-C.Bratzke). Penalty on IND-91-C.Nwokorie, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at DAL 45 - No Play. Penalty on DAL-71-T.Walter, Illegal Touch Pass, offsetting. Penalty on DAL-76-F.Adams, Offensive Holding, offsetting. PLAY NULLIFIED EPA -0.0WP 49%
7:03 DAL 2 & 10 (7:03) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 83-J.Whalen to IND 44 for 11 yards (52-M.Peterson, 53-M.Washington). EPA +1.2WP 49%
6:27 DAL 1 & 10 (6:27) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 84-J.Galloway. EPA -0.5WP 52%
6:12 DAL 2 & 10 (6:12) 42-T.Hambrick left end to IND 40 for 4 yards (94-R.Morris, 91-C.Nwokorie). EPA -0.4WP 50%
5:43 DAL 3 & 6 (5:43) 42-T.Hambrick right end to IND 39 for 1 yard (50-D.Thornton, 52-M.Peterson). EPA -1.8WP 52%
5:05 DAL 4 & 5 (5:05) 10-F.Filipovic punts 29 yards to IND 10, Center-58-J.Grau, fair catch by 86-T.Walters. EPA -0.2WP 46%
4:59 IND 1 & 10 (4:59) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 17 for 7 yards (59-D.Nguyen, 94-M.Myers). EPA +0.4WP 54%
4:17 IND 2 & 3 (4:17) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to IND 38 for 21 yards (27-M.Edwards). EPA +1.3WP 56%
4:17 IND 1 & 10 (4:17) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to IND 43 for 5 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA -2.0WP 58%
4:17 IND 2 & 5 (4:17) 18-P.Manning kneels to IND 42 for -1 yards. EPA +1.1WP 58%
4:17 IND 3 & 6 (4:17) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 45 for 3 yards (51-K.Hardy). EPA -1.2WP 54%
2:07 IND 4 & 3 (2:07) 17-H.Smith punts 36 yards to DAL 19, Center-48-J.Snow, fair catch by 80-R.Swinton. PENALTY on DAL-38-D.Hawthorne, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at IND 45 - No Play. Penalty on DAL-38-D.Hawthorne, Defensive Holding, declined. EPA +2.8WP 50%
1:57 IND 1 & 10 (1:57) 32-E.James left tackle to DAL 44 for 6 yards (93-P.Zellner). EPA +0.1WP 60%
1:17 IND 2 & 4 (1:17) 32-E.James up the middle to DAL 39 for 5 yards (98-G.Ellis). EPA +0.5WP 59%
1:17 IND 1 & 10 (1:17) 32-E.James up the middle pushed ob at DAL 23 for 16 yards (20-D.Ross, 52-D.Coakley). EPA +1.1WP 63%
0:00 IND END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 68%
Quarter 4
15:00 IND 1 & 10 (15:00) 32-E.James right end to DAL 19 for 4 yards (59-D.Nguyen). EPA -0.1WP 68%
15:00 IND 2 & 6 (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 14 for 5 yards (20-D.Ross, 52-D.Coakley). DAL - Coakley (52) injured on play. IND - Harrison (88) injured on play. EPA +0.4WP 66%
13:52 IND 3 & 1 (13:52) 32-E.James left end to DAL 14 for no gain (59-D.Nguyen). EPA -2.0WP 68%
13:52 IND 4 & 1 (13:52) 13-M.Vanderjagt 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +0.3WP 62%
13:06 DAL 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 63 yards from IND 30 to DAL 7. 80-R.Swinton to DAL 25 for 18 yards (25-N.Harper, 98-S.Sword). EPA +0.3WP 33%
13:06 DAL 1 & 10 (13:06) 88-A.Bryant right end to DAL 40 for 15 yards (53-M.Washington). EPA +0.7WP 35%
12:28 DAL 1 & 10 (12:28) 22-E.Smith up the middle to DAL 49 for 9 yards (92-C.Bratzke). EPA +0.9WP 37%
11:53 DAL 2 & 1 (11:53) 22-E.Smith left tackle pushed ob at IND 43 for 8 yards (27-D.Macklin). EPA +0.2WP 41%
11:53 DAL 1 & 10 (11:53) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 88-A.Bryant. EPA -0.5WP 45%
11:53 DAL 2 & 10 (11:53) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 83-J.Whalen to IND 38 for 5 yards (52-M.Peterson, 34-J.Doering). EPA -0.2WP 42%
10:46 DAL 3 & 5 (10:46) 7-C.Hutchinson sacked at IND 41 for -3 yards (93-D.Freeney). EPA -2.2WP 43%
10:15 DAL 4 & 8 (10:15) 10-F.Filipovic punts 41 yards to end zone, Center-58-J.Grau, Touchback. EPA -0.6WP 33%
10:06 IND 1 & 10 (10:06) 32-E.James right tackle to IND 25 for 5 yards (98-G.Ellis). EPA -0.0WP 75%
9:34 IND 2 & 5 (9:34) 32-E.James right tackle to IND 29 for 4 yards (31-Ro.Williams, 98-G.Ellis). EPA +0.2WP 74%
8:51 IND 3 & 1 (8:51) 32-E.James up the middle to IND 33 for 4 yards (31-Ro.Williams). EPA +0.4WP 75%
8:15 IND 1 & 10 (8:15) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison pushed ob at IND 47 for 14 yards (20-D.Ross). EPA +0.8WP 77%
7:43 IND 1 & 10 (7:43) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison ran ob at DAL 48 for 5 yards. EPA -0.1WP 81%
7:14 IND 2 & 5 (7:14) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 88-M.Harrison. EPA -0.7WP 81%
7:09 IND 3 & 5 (7:09) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning up the middle pushed ob at DAL 42 for 6 yards (27-M.Edwards). EPA +1.3WP 79%
6:39 IND 1 & 10 (6:39) 18-P.Manning pass incomplete to 88-M.Harrison. EPA -0.4WP 84%
6:34 IND 2 & 10 (6:34) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters to DAL 36 for 6 yards (75-B.Noble). EPA +0.0WP 82%
5:50 IND 3 & 4 (5:50) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison to DAL 30 for 6 yards (31-Ro.Williams). EPA +1.1WP 83%
5:03 IND 1 & 10 (5:03) 23-J.Mungro up the middle to DAL 31 for -1 yards (94-M.Myers, 98-G.Ellis). EPA -0.8WP 84%
4:24 IND 2 & 11 (4:24) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +4.2WP 83%
4:18 IND 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +0.0WP 94%
4:18 DAL 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 66 yards from IND 30 to DAL 4. 80-R.Swinton to DAL 22 for 18 yards (31-C.Crosby). EPA -0.0WP 6%
4:12 DAL 1 & 10 (4:12) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 84-J.Galloway. EPA -0.4WP 6%
4:07 DAL 2 & 10 (4:07) 7-C.Hutchinson sacked at DAL 11 for -11 yards (93-D.Freeney, 92-C.Bratzke). FUMBLES (93-D.Freeney), touched at DAL 8, RECOVERED by IND-68-J.Mallard at DAL 8. 68-J.Mallard to DAL 8 for no gain (65-A.Gurode). SACK -14 yards. EPA -5.2WP 5%
4:00 IND 1 & 8 (4:00) 23-J.Mungro up the middle to DAL 3 for 5 yards (31-Ro.Williams). EPA +0.4WP 98%
3:21 IND 2 & 3 (3:21) 23-J.Mungro up the middle to DAL 2 for 1 yard (93-P.Zellner, 52-D.Coakley). EPA -0.7WP 99%
2:35 Timeout #2 by IND at 02:35. EPA +0.0WP 99%
2:35 IND 3 & 2 (2:35) 23-J.Mungro right tackle to DAL 1 for 1 yard (94-M.Myers, 59-D.Nguyen). EPA -0.5WP 99%
2:27 Timeout #1 by DAL at 02:27. EPA +0.0WP 99%
2:27 IND 4 & 1 (2:27) 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +2.7WP 99%
2:24 IND 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. EPA +0.0WP 100%
2:24 DAL 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 65 yards from IND 30 to DAL 5. 80-R.Swinton to DAL 20 for 15 yards (25-N.Harper). EPA -0.0WP 0%
2:18 DAL 1 & 10 (2:18) 7-C.Hutchinson pass to 88-A.Bryant to DAL 28 for 8 yards (50-D.Thornton). EPA +0.1WP 0%
2:01 DAL 2 & 2 (2:01) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 32-M.Wiley. PENALTY on DAL-71-T.Walter, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 28 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 0%
1:54 DAL 2 & 12 (1:54) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 32-M.Wiley. PENALTY on IND-93-D.Freeney, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 18 - No Play. EPA +0.4WP 0%
1:48 DAL 2 & 7 (1:48) 7-C.Hutchinson pass incomplete to 32-M.Wiley. PENALTY on DAL-77-S.Page, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 23 - No Play. EPA -0.6WP 0%
1:44 DAL 2 & 17 (1:44) 7-C.Hutchinson sacked at DAL 3 for -10 yards (92-C.Bratzke). FUMBLES (92-C.Bratzke), touched at DAL 6, RECOVERED by IND-68-J.Mallard at DAL 6. 68-J.Mallard to DAL 6 for no gain (65-A.Gurode). EPA -4.7WP 0%
1:37 IND 1 & 6 (1:37) 23-J.Mungro up the middle to DAL 12 for -6 yards (94-M.Myers). EPA -1.2WP 100%
0:34 IND 2 & 12 (:34) 18-P.Manning kneels to DAL 13 for -1 yards. EPA -0.7WP 100%
0:27 IND 3 & 13 (:27) 18-P.Manning kneels to DAL 14 for -1 yards. EPA -3.2WP 100%