From the vault · December 26, 1964 · 1964 AFL Championship Game: The Buffalo Bills beat the San Diego Chargers 20–7 at War Memorial Stadium to win the 1964 AFL championship. Box score
(8:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
0–6
Q2
8:50
CAR
9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
0–7
Q2
0:07
CAR
(:07) 9-G.Gano 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
0–10
Q4
14:16
CAR
(14:16) 65-A.Silatolu reported in as eligible. 40-A.Armah up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
0–16
Q4
8:58
DAL
(8:58) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6–16
Win probability
Home win probability through the game (nflfastR model). Dots mark scores. The dashed line is the Vegas-informed model, which starts from the closing point spread. CAR closed at 100%.
Turning points
Qtr
Clock
Team
Play
Win prob.
Swing
EPA
Q1
6:42
CAR
(6:42) 65-A.Silatolu reported in as eligible. 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DAL 5 for no gain (93-D.Ross). FUMBLES (93-D.Ross), RECOVERED by DAL-90-D.Lawrence at DAL 5. 90-D.Lawrence to DAL 10 for 5 yards (12-D.Moore).
72% → 59%
-13%
-4.86
Q3
5:31
DAL
(5:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to CAR 29 for 16 yards (21-D.Searcy).
16% → 22%
+7%
+2.83
Q1
8:56
CAR
(8:56) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left end to DAL 13 for 29 yards (38-J.Heath).
65% → 72%
+7%
+1.78
Q1
11:03
CAR
(11:03) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 17-D.Funchess [90-D.Lawrence]. PENALTY on DAL-90-D.Lawrence, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 32 - No Play.
59% → 65%
+6%
+2.28
Q2
8:54
CAR
(8:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
71% → 76%
+5%
+1.62
Q2
14:01
DAL
(14:01) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 7 for -7 yards (54-S.Thompson).
42% → 37%
-5%
-1.42
Q3
6:52
CAR
(6:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 13-J.Wright.
85% → 81%
-4%
-1.47
Q3
5:05
DAL
(5:05) (No Huddle) 21-E.Elliott left guard to CAR 26 for 3 yards (90-J.Peppers). CAR-92-V.Butler was injured during the play. His return is Probable. PENALTY on DAL-71-L.Collins, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 29 - No Play.
22% → 19%
-4%
-1.13
The eight plays that moved the offense's win probability the most (WPA); EPA is expected points added.
Each play carries its expected points added, the offense's win probability before the snap and, where charted, formation, personnel and play tags.
Quarter 1
15:00 GAME EPA +0.0WP 43%
15:00 DAL 9-G.Gano kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 43%
15:00 DAL 1 & 10 (15:00) 21-E.Elliott right guard to DAL 24 for -1 yards (55-D.Mayo; 97-M.Addison). EPA -1.0WP 43%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
14:26 DAL 2 & 11 (14:26) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 10-T.Austin to DAL 33 for 9 yards (97-M.Addison). PENALTY on DAL-77-T.Smith, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 24 - No Play. EPA -0.8WP 41%PISTOL 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
14:01 DAL 2 & 21 (14:01) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right end pushed ob at DAL 14 for no gain (59-L.Kuechly; 29-M.Adams). EPA -0.7WP 39%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
13:19 DAL 3 & 21 (13:19) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 14 - No Play. EPA -0.4WP 37% 2 RB, 0 TE, 3 WR
13:02 DAL 3 & 26 (13:02) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right tackle to DAL 13 for 4 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA -0.5WP 35%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12:26 DAL 4 & 22 (12:26) 6-C.Jones punts 55 yards to CAR 32, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 18-D.Byrd. EPA +0.7WP 34%
12:20 CAR 1 & 10 (12:20) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 22-C.McCaffrey to CAR 32 for no gain (99-A.Woods). EPA -0.6WP 63%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
11:44 CAR 2 & 10 (11:44) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 32 for no gain (90-D.Lawrence). EPA -0.8WP 61%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
11:03 CAR 3 & 10 (11:03) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 17-D.Funchess [90-D.Lawrence]. PENALTY on DAL-90-D.Lawrence, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 32 - No Play. EPA +2.3WP 59%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:58 CAR 1 & 10 (10:58) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Funchess. PENALTY on CAR-72-T.Moton, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 47 - No Play. EPA -0.9WP 65%I_FORM 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
10:52 CAR 1 & 20 (10:52) (Shotgun) 12-D.Moore left end pushed ob at CAR 40 for 3 yards (30-A.Brown). EPA -0.5WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:18 CAR 2 & 17 (10:18) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to DAL 44 for 16 yards (35-K.Frazier). EPA +1.5WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:35 CAR 3 & 1 (9:35) 65-A.Silatolu reported in as eligible. 1-C.Newton up the middle to DAL 42 for 2 yards (92-D.Armstrong; 99-A.Woods). EPA +0.5WP 64%JUMBO 6 OL, 2 RB, 1 TE, 1 WR
8:56 CAR 1 & 10 (8:56) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left end to DAL 13 for 29 yards (38-J.Heath). EPA +1.8WP 65%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:06 CAR 1 & 10 (8:06) 20-C.Anderson right guard to DAL 12 for 1 yard (35-K.Frazier; 93-D.Ross). EPA -0.5WP 72%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR
7:22 CAR 2 & 9 (7:22) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 80-I.Thomas pushed ob at DAL 5 for 7 yards (24-C.Awuzie). EPA +0.3WP 71%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WRCROSSCOVER_1
6:42 CAR 3 & 2 (6:42) 65-A.Silatolu reported in as eligible. 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DAL 5 for no gain (93-D.Ross). FUMBLES (93-D.Ross), RECOVERED by DAL-90-D.Lawrence at DAL 5. 90-D.Lawrence to DAL 10 for 5 yards (12-D.Moore). EPA -4.9WP 72% 6 OL, 2 RB, 1 TE, 1 WR
6:36 DAL 1 & 10 (6:36) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 83-T.Williams. EPA -0.6WP 41%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WRCROSSCOVER_3
6:29 DAL 2 & 10 (6:29) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to DAL 21 for 11 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA +1.2WP 40%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_3
5:50 DAL 1 & 10 (5:50) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 13-M.Gallup. PENALTY on CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 21 - No Play. EPA +0.4WP 43%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:46 DAL 1 & 10 (5:46) 21-E.Elliott left tackle to DAL 28 for 2 yards (26-D.Jackson). EPA -0.5WP 44%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
5:14 DAL 2 & 8 (5:14) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 87-G.Swaim to DAL 39 for 11 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA +1.4WP 43%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSCREENCOVER_1
4:33 DAL 1 & 10 (4:33) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to DAL 42 for 3 yards (91-B.Cox, 92-V.Butler). EPA -0.3WP 46%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
3:48 DAL 2 & 7 (3:48) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 21-E.Elliott. PENALTY on DAL-77-T.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 42 - No Play. EPA -1.0WP 45%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR
3:42 DAL 2 & 17 (3:42) (Shotgun) 45-R.Smith right tackle to DAL 37 for 5 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA -0.5WP 42%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
3:01 DAL 3 & 12 (3:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to DAL 45 for 8 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA -0.4WP 41%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
2:24 DAL 4 & 4 (2:24) 6-C.Jones punts 51 yards to CAR 4, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 18-D.Byrd to CAR 18 for 14 yards (48-J.Thomas). EPA -0.3WP 39%
2:12 CAR 1 & 10 (2:12) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 32 for 14 yards (50-S.Lee). EPA +1.1WP 60%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRpressureINCOVER_3
1:33 CAR 1 & 10 (1:33) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 17-D.Funchess to DAL 41 for 27 yards (24-C.Awuzie; 54-J.Smith). PENALTY on CAR-70-T.Turner, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 32 - No Play. EPA -1.3WP 61%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
0:59 CAR 1 & 20 (:59) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 17-D.Funchess (97-T.Charlton). EPA -0.6WP 60%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSLANTCOVER_3
0:55 CAR 2 & 20 (:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 88-G.Olsen to CAR 41 for 19 yards (35-K.Frazier). EPA +2.0WP 58%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRGOCOVER_1
0:10 CAR 3 & 1 (:10) 1-C.Newton right end pushed ob at DAL 47 for 12 yards (24-C.Awuzie). EPA +1.0WP 61%I_FORM 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
0:00 CAR END QUARTER 1 EPA +0.0WP 64%
Quarter 2
15:00 CAR 1 & 10 (15:00) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey right end to DAL 47 for no gain (90-D.Lawrence; 50-S.Lee). EPA -0.5WP 64%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
14:19 CAR 2 & 10 (14:19) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 22-C.McCaffrey (35-K.Frazier). EPA -0.8WP 62%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_3
14:13 CAR 3 & 10 (14:13) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 13-J.Wright (30-A.Brown) [50-S.Lee]. EPA -1.4WP 59%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_1
14:08 Timeout #1 by DAL at 14:08. EPA +0.0WP 57%
14:08 CAR 4 & 10 (14:08) 5-M.Palardy punts 33 yards to DAL 14, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 11-C.Beasley. EPA +0.0WP 57%
14:01 DAL 1 & 10 (14:01) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 7 for -7 yards (54-S.Thompson). EPA -1.4WP 42%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
13:20 DAL 2 & 17 (13:20) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott left guard to DAL 14 for 7 yards (91-B.Cox; 54-S.Thompson). EPA +0.2WP 37%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12:38 DAL 3 & 10 (12:38) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 45-R.Smith. EPA -1.0WP 38%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRpressureSCREENCOVER_4
12:33 DAL 4 & 10 (12:33) 6-C.Jones punts 51 yards to CAR 35, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 18-D.Byrd to DAL 35 for 30 yards (45-R.Smith). EPA -1.3WP 35%
12:18 CAR 1 & 10 (12:18) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey right guard to DAL 30 for 5 yards (48-J.Thomas; 50-S.Lee). EPA +0.0WP 69%PISTOL 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
11:36 CAR 2 & 5 (11:36) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey left guard to DAL 27 for 3 yards (97-T.Charlton; 98-T.Crawford). EPA -0.2WP 68%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:52 Timeout #1 by CAR at 10:52. EPA +0.0WP 68%
10:52 CAR 3 & 2 (10:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 13-J.Wright to DAL 22 for 5 yards (30-A.Brown). EPA +0.9WP 68%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_1
10:16 CAR 1 & 10 (10:16) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 11-T.Smith (50-S.Lee). EPA -0.4WP 70%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
10:11 CAR 2 & 10 (10:11) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DAL 9 for 13 yards (90-D.Lawrence, 30-A.Brown). EPA +1.0WP 69%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:26 CAR 1 & 9 (9:26) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to DAL 4 for 5 yards (90-D.Lawrence). EPA +0.4WP 72%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:54 CAR 2 & 4 (8:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +1.6WP 71%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:50 CAR 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy. EPA +0.1WP 76%
8:50 DAL 9-G.Gano kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 24%
8:50 DAL 1 & 10 (8:50) 10-T.Austin right end to DAL 26 for 1 yard (29-M.Adams; 26-D.Jackson). EPA -0.4WP 24%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
8:09 DAL 2 & 9 (8:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 24 for -2 yards (99-K.Short). EPA -1.0WP 23%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
7:25 DAL 3 & 11 (7:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 17-A.Hurns. EPA -0.9WP 21%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WROUTCOVER_1
7:20 DAL 4 & 11 (7:20) 6-C.Jones punts 49 yards to CAR 27, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 18-D.Byrd to CAR 30 for 3 yards (48-J.Thomas; 91-L.Ladouceur). EPA +0.0WP 18%
7:07 CAR 1 & 10 (7:07) PENALTY on CAR-82-C.Manhertz, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 30 - No Play. EPA -0.6WP 80% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
7:07 CAR 1 & 15 (7:07) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey to CAR 32 for 7 yards (55-L.Vander Esch). EPA +0.2WP 79%SINGLEBACK 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WROUTCOVER_3
6:27 CAR 2 & 8 (6:27) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to CAR 33 for 1 yard (38-J.Heath). EPA -0.6WP 80%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:55 CAR 3 & 7 (5:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Funchess. EPA -1.1WP 79%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRGOCOVER_1
5:49 CAR 4 & 7 (5:49) 5-M.Palardy punts 50 yards to DAL 17, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 10-T.Austin. EPA +0.6WP 77%
5:42 DAL 1 & 10 (5:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 13-M.Gallup to DAL 26 for 9 yards (24-J.Bradberry). EPA +0.7WP 23%EMPTY 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRSLANTCOVER_3
5:03 DAL 2 & 1 (5:03) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-G.Swaim to DAL 33 for 7 yards (54-S.Thompson). EPA +0.3WP 24%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
4:24 DAL 1 & 10 (4:24) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right guard to DAL 36 for 3 yards (29-M.Adams; 92-V.Butler). EPA -0.3WP 24%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
3:47 DAL 2 & 7 (3:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 87-G.Swaim to DAL 36 for no gain (29-M.Adams). EPA -0.4WP 24%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRCROSSCOVER_3
3:03 DAL 3 & 7 (3:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to 89-B.Jarwin. EPA -0.9WP 23%EMPTY 0 RB, 2 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_3
2:55 DAL 4 & 7 (2:55) 6-C.Jones punts 56 yards to CAR 8, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 12-D.Moore to CAR 23 for 15 yards (49-J.Olawale; 35-K.Frazier). PENALTY on DAL-30-A.Brown, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 23. EPA -1.1WP 20%
2:44 CAR 1 & 10 (2:44) 20-C.Anderson left guard to CAR 45 for 7 yards (31-B.Jones). EPA +0.3WP 83%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
2:18 CAR 2 & 3 (2:18) 20-C.Anderson left guard to DAL 49 for 6 yards (57-D.Wilson). EPA +0.5WP 84%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
2:00 CAR 1 & 10 (2:00) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 13-J.Wright to DAL 39 for 10 yards (24-C.Awuzie). FUMBLES (24-C.Awuzie), and recovers at DAL 39. 13-J.Wright to DAL 39 for no gain (98-T.Crawford). EPA +0.1WP 83%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_1
1:40 CAR 1 & 10 (1:40) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete deep right to 22-C.McCaffrey. EPA -0.3WP 86%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureGOCOVER_1
1:35 CAR 2 & 10 (1:35) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 11-T.Smith to DAL 24 for 15 yards (35-K.Frazier). EPA +1.3WP 85%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_1
1:11 CAR 1 & 10 (1:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 13-J.Wright to DAL 16 for 8 yards (54-J.Smith). EPA +0.7WP 88%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
0:45 CAR 2 & 2 (:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short left to 17-D.Funchess (31-B.Jones). PENALTY on CAR-67-R.Kalil, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at DAL 16 - No Play. EPA -1.6WP 89%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
2:00 Timeout #2 by DAL at 02:00. EPA +0.0WP 86%
0:35 CAR 3 & 3 (:35) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 22-C.McCaffrey to DAL 14 for 3 yards (38-J.Heath). EPA +0.7WP 88%PISTOL 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_3
0:42 CAR 2 & 17 (:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey ran ob at DAL 17 for 14 yards (31-B.Jones). EPA +0.9WP 86%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_1
0:30 Timeout #2 by CAR at 00:30. EPA +0.0WP 88%
0:30 CAR 1 & 5 (:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at DAL 9 for 0 yards (54-J.Smith). EPA -1.6WP 89%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
0:08 CAR 2 & 5 (:08) 1-C.Newton spiked the ball to stop the clock. EPA -0.1WP 88% 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCOVER_4
0:07 CAR 3 & 5 (:07) 9-G.Gano 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy. EPA +0.1WP 87%
0:03 DAL 9-G.Gano kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA -0.0WP 15%
0:03 DAL 1 & 10 (:03) 4-D.Prescott kneels to DAL 24 for -1 yards. EPA +0.0WP 15% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
0:00 END QUARTER 2 WP 85%
Quarter 3
15:00 CAR 2-B.Maher kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 85%
Quarter 2
0:35 Timeout #2 by CAR at 00:35. EPA +0.0WP 88%
0:30 CAR 1 & 10 (:30) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL-90-D.Lawrence, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 14 - No Play. EPA +0.5WP 88% 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
Quarter 3
15:00 CAR 1 & 10 (15:00) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey pushed ob at CAR 39 for 14 yards (54-J.Smith). EPA +0.9WP 85%SINGLEBACK 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WRFLATCOVER_3
14:25 CAR 1 & 10 (14:25) 20-C.Anderson right tackle to CAR 48 for 9 yards (24-C.Awuzie). EPA +0.8WP 87%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
14:25 CAR 2 & 1 (14:25) PENALTY on DAL-99-A.Woods, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 48 - No Play. EPA +0.1WP 88% 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
13:29 CAR 1 & 10 (13:29) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 22-C.McCaffrey. EPA -0.5WP 89%I_FORM 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WROUTCOVER_3
13:24 CAR 2 & 10 (13:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 80-I.Thomas to 50 for -3 yards (35-K.Frazier). EPA -1.6WP 88%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSCREENCOVER_3
12:37 CAR 3 & 13 (12:37) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 42 for -8 yards (96-M.Collins). EPA -1.5WP 86%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
11:54 CAR 4 & 21 (11:54) 5-M.Palardy punts 50 yards to DAL 8, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 10-T.Austin. EPA +0.7WP 84%
11:46 DAL 1 & 10 (11:46) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott left end to DAL 10 for 2 yards (54-S.Thompson; 21-D.Searcy). EPA -0.4WP 15%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
11:01 DAL 2 & 8 (11:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 17-A.Hurns to DAL 30 for 20 yards (54-S.Thompson). Penalty on CAR-26-D.Jackson, Illegal Contact, declined. EPA +1.9WP 14%EMPTY 0 RB, 1 TE, 4 WRPOSTCOVER_2
10:32 DAL 1 & 10 (10:32) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 11-C.Beasley. EPA -0.6WP 18%EMPTY 0 RB, 2 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_2
10:28 DAL 2 & 10 (10:28) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right tackle pushed ob at DAL 47 for 17 yards (21-D.Searcy). EPA +1.7WP 16%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
9:49 DAL 1 & 10 (9:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles up the middle to CAR 48 for 5 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA -0.0WP 19%EMPTY 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
9:10 DAL 2 & 5 (9:10) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to CAR 46 for 2 yards (93-K.Love; 90-J.Peppers). EPA -0.4WP 18%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
8:31 DAL 3 & 3 (8:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete deep right to 87-G.Swaim. EPA -1.9WP 18%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_3
8:23 DAL 4 & 3 (8:23) 6-C.Jones punts 31 yards to CAR 15, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, fair catch by 12-D.Moore. EPA -0.8WP 14%
8:16 CAR 1 & 10 (8:16) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey right guard to CAR 17 for 2 yards (50-S.Lee; 35-K.Frazier). EPA -0.5WP 85%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
7:39 CAR 2 & 8 (7:39) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to CAR 20 for 3 yards (35-K.Frazier; 38-J.Heath). EPA -0.4WP 86%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
6:52 CAR 3 & 5 (6:52) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short middle to 13-J.Wright. EPA -1.5WP 85%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureCROSSCOVER_1
6:48 CAR 4 & 5 (6:48) 5-M.Palardy punts 50 yards to DAL 30, Center-44-J.Jansen. 10-T.Austin pushed ob at DAL 45 for 15 yards (80-I.Thomas). EPA -0.4WP 81%
6:36 DAL 1 & 10 (6:36) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to CAR 44 for 11 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). EPA +0.7WP 19%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRINCOVER_3
6:12 DAL 1 & 10 (6:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 21-E.Elliott. EPA -0.5WP 19%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_3
6:08 DAL 2 & 10 (6:08) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at CAR 45 for -1 yards (sack split by 96-W.Horton and 97-M.Addison). EPA -1.2WP 18%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:31 DAL 3 & 11 (5:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to CAR 29 for 16 yards (21-D.Searcy). EPA +2.8WP 16%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_4
5:05 DAL 1 & 10 (5:05) (No Huddle) 21-E.Elliott left guard to CAR 26 for 3 yards (90-J.Peppers). CAR-92-V.Butler was injured during the play. His return is Probable. PENALTY on DAL-71-L.Collins, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at CAR 29 - No Play. EPA -1.1WP 22%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
4:51 DAL 1 & 20 (4:51) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left tackle to CAR 36 for 3 yards (54-S.Thompson). EPA -0.5WP 19%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
4:11 DAL 2 & 17 (4:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 83-T.Williams to CAR 30 for 6 yards (26-D.Jackson). EPA +0.0WP 18%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRHITCHCOVER_4
3:28 DAL 3 & 11 (3:28) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 21-E.Elliott to CAR 29 for 1 yard (29-M.Adams). EPA -0.7WP 17%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WRFLATCOVER_3
2:44 DAL 4 & 10 (2:44) 2-B.Maher 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-6-C.Jones. EPA -3.9WP 13%
2:37 CAR 1 & 10 (2:37) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess to DAL 48 for 15 yards (55-L.Vander Esch). EPA +0.8WP 89%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WRINCOVER_3
2:01 CAR 1 & 10 (2:01) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey left end pushed ob at DAL 33 for 15 yards (31-B.Jones). EPA +0.9WP 90%PISTOL 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
1:21 CAR 1 & 10 (1:21) 20-C.Anderson up the middle to DAL 29 for 4 yards (55-L.Vander Esch; 92-D.Armstrong). EPA -0.1WP 92%SINGLEBACK 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
0:37 CAR 2 & 6 (:37) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess to DAL 15 for 14 yards (31-B.Jones). EPA +1.3WP 91%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WROUTCOVER_3
0:11 CAR 1 & 10 (:11) (No Huddle) 20-C.Anderson right guard to DAL 11 for 4 yards (90-D.Lawrence; 54-J.Smith). PENALTY on DAL-99-A.Woods, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 15 - No Play. EPA +0.3WP 94%I_FORM 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
0:00 CAR END QUARTER 3 EPA +0.0WP 94%
Quarter 4
15:00 CAR 1 & 5 (15:00) (Shotgun) 20-C.Anderson right guard to DAL 1 for 9 yards (38-J.Heath, 53-J.March-Lillard). EPA +1.1WP 94%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
14:16 CAR 1 & 1 (14:16) 65-A.Silatolu reported in as eligible. 40-A.Armah up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +0.5WP 95%JUMBO 6 OL, 2 RB, 2 TE, 0 WR
14:12 CAR (Kick formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-M.Palardy rushes left end. ATTEMPT FAILS. EPA -0.9WP 97%WILDCAT 6 OL, 0 RB, 1 TE, 0 WR,1 P,1 LS,1 DL,1 K
14:12 DAL 9-G.Gano kicks 65 yards from CAR 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 3%
14:12 DAL 1 & 10 (14:12) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 13-M.Gallup. PENALTY on CAR-26-D.Jackson, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at DAL 25 - No Play. EPA +0.5WP 3%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
14:08 DAL 1 & 10 (14:08) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right tackle to CAR 49 for 16 yards (54-S.Thompson; 42-C.Jones). EPA +1.1WP 4%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
13:39 DAL 1 & 10 (13:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott left tackle to CAR 45 for 4 yards (93-K.Love). EPA -0.1WP 3%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
13:06 DAL 2 & 6 (13:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to CAR 39 for 6 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA +0.8WP 4%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRINCOVER_3
12:43 DAL 1 & 10 (12:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 21-E.Elliott to CAR 36 for 3 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA -0.2WP 5%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRANGLECOVER_3
12:16 DAL 2 & 7 (12:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 15-D.Thompson to CAR 23 for 13 yards (41-C.Munnerlyn). EPA +1.5WP 4%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_2
11:39 Timeout #1 by CAR at 11:39. EPA +0.0WP 6%
11:39 DAL 1 & 10 (11:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 11-C.Beasley to CAR 19 for 4 yards (59-L.Kuechly) [99-K.Short]. EPA -0.2WP 6%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRCROSSCOVER_4
10:59 DAL 2 & 6 (10:59) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to CAR 20 for -1 yards (96-W.Horton; 92-V.Butler). EPA -0.7WP 6%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
10:18 DAL 3 & 7 (10:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles left end pushed ob at CAR 11 for 9 yards (54-S.Thompson). EPA +1.4WP 4%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
9:38 DAL 1 & 10 (9:38) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to CAR 4 for 7 yards (42-C.Jones). EPA +0.5WP 5%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:58 DAL 2 & 3 (8:58) (Shotgun) 21-E.Elliott right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TDEPA +1.5WP 5%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:51 DAL TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Prescott rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. EPA +1.1WP 7%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:51 CAR 2-B.Maher kicks 65 yards from DAL 35 to end zone, Touchback. EPA +0.0WP 91%
8:51 CAR 1 & 10 (8:51) (Shotgun) 22-C.McCaffrey up the middle to CAR 29 for 4 yards (97-T.Charlton; 54-J.Smith). CAR-60-D.Williams was injured during the play. He is Out. EPA -0.2WP 91%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
8:31 CAR 2 & 6 (8:31) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey to CAR 36 for 7 yards (38-J.Heath). EPA +0.9WP 91%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_3
7:46 CAR 1 & 10 (7:46) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton up the middle to CAR 35 for -1 yards (90-D.Lawrence). EPA -1.0WP 94%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
7:05 CAR 2 & 11 (7:05) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey pushed ob at CAR 42 for 7 yards (31-B.Jones). PENALTY on CAR-72-T.Moton, Chop Block, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 35 - No Play. EPA -1.0WP 92%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
6:31 Timeout #2 by CAR at 06:31. EPA +0.0WP 93%
6:31 CAR 2 & 26 (6:31) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess to CAR 32 for 12 yards (31-B.Jones). EPA +0.2WP 93%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_3
5:48 CAR 3 & 14 (5:48) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 25 for -7 yards (90-D.Lawrence). EPA -1.2WP 94%EMPTY 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
5:04 CAR 4 & 21 (5:04) 5-M.Palardy punts 52 yards to DAL 23, Center-44-J.Jansen. 10-T.Austin pushed ob at DAL 21 for -2 yards (52-J.Norris). EPA +0.6WP 91%
4:52 DAL 1 & 10 (4:52) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 11-C.Beasley to DAL 38 for 17 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA +1.0WP 9%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_3
4:26 DAL 1 & 10 (4:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 15-D.Thompson to DAL 46 for 8 yards (26-D.Jackson). EPA +0.3WP 9%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRHITCHCOVER_4
3:56 DAL 2 & 2 (3:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short left to 15-D.Thompson to CAR 48 for 6 yards (26-D.Jackson). EPA +0.2WP 9%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRSLANTCOVER_1
3:30 DAL 1 & 10 (3:30) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 47 for -5 yards (96-W.Horton). Penalty on DAL-71-L.Collins, Offensive Holding, declined. EPA -0.9WP 10%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
3:23 DAL 2 & 15 (3:23) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 13-M.Gallup. PENALTY on CAR-29-M.Adams, Illegal Contact, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 47 - No Play. EPA +0.9WP 7%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
3:19 DAL 1 & 10 (3:19) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 44 for -8 yards (99-K.Short). EPA -1.1WP 9%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
2:51 DAL 2 & 18 (2:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 15-D.Thompson [99-K.Short]. EPA -0.5WP 6%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_4
2:46 DAL 3 & 18 (2:46) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DAL, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 44 - No Play. EPA -0.2WP 5% 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
2:46 DAL 3 & 23 (2:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 21-E.Elliott to CAR 48 for 13 yards (54-S.Thompson; 59-L.Kuechly). CAR-59-L.Kuechly was injured during the play. His return is Probable. EPA -0.2WP 5%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRFLATCOVER_4
2:18 DAL 4 & 10 (2:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short left to 15-D.Thompson [90-J.Peppers]. EPA -2.3WP 4%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureOUTCOVER_3
2:13 CAR 1 & 10 (2:13) 20-C.Anderson up the middle to CAR 47 for -1 yards (90-D.Lawrence). EPA -0.6WP 98%I_FORM 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
2:10 Timeout #1 by DAL at 02:10. EPA +0.0WP 98%
2:10 CAR 2 & 11 (2:10) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left guard to CAR 47 for no gain (97-T.Charlton). EPA -0.8WP 98%SHOTGUN 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
2:07 Timeout #2 by DAL at 02:07. EPA +0.0WP 97%
2:07 CAR 3 & 11 (2:07) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left end to CAR 48 for 1 yard (98-T.Crawford). EPA -0.7WP 97%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
2:00 CAR 4 & 10 (2:00) 5-M.Palardy punts 52 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.Jansen, Touchback. EPA -0.6WP 97%
1:51 DAL 1 & 10 (1:51) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short right to 17-A.Hurns. EPA -0.2WP 5%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRpressureHITCHCOVER_3
1:46 DAL 2 & 10 (1:46) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott scrambles right end pushed ob at DAL 23 for 3 yards (59-L.Kuechly). EPA -0.0WP 4%SHOTGUN 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:39 DAL 3 & 7 (1:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 14 for -9 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison) [97-M.Addison], RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at DAL 14. 41-C.Munnerlyn to DAL 14 for no gain (87-G.Swaim). EPA -4.5WP 4% 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
1:27 CAR 1 & 10 (1:27) 1-C.Newton kneels to DAL 15 for -1 yards. EPA -1.5WP 99% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
1:27 Timeout #3 by DAL at 01:27. EPA +0.0WP 99%
1:27 CAR 2 & 11 (1:27) 1-C.Newton kneels to DAL 17 for -2 yards. EPA -0.5WP 99% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
1:17 CAR 3 & 13 (1:17) PENALTY on CAR, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 17 - No Play. EPA +0.0WP 99% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
0:43 CAR 3 & 18 (:43) 1-C.Newton kneels to DAL 25 for -3 yards. EPA -2.3WP 100% 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR